508 Kenneth Ave S · Monahans, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 9/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Alert: Corner Lot Potential in Monahans! Looking for your next project or a way to build immediate equity? This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bathroom fixer-upper sits on a massive corner lot and is bursting with potential for the right visionary. Whether you are an investor looking for a high-yield rental or a DIY homeowner ready to create a custom masterpiece, this home provides the perfect bones to start with. Being sold as-is, offering a fantastic opportunity to roll up your sleeves/reap rewards!
Key facts
- Custom masterpiece
- Massive lot
- Corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $737 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#687 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Monahans-Wickett-Pyote ISD (town): math 33% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #532 of 826 in TX (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Ward County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ward County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.81% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.90%
- DSCR
- 2.42
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.12×
- Total profit
- $30,913
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 34.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.15×
- Total profit
- $87,448
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79756
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,794 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,438/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$377
- Net cashflow
- $737
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-07status Active 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
Investor Alert: Corner Lot Potential in Monahans! Looking for your next project or a way to build immediate equity? This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bathroom fixer-upper sits on a massive corner lot and is bursting with potential for the right visionary. Whether you are an investor looking for a high-yield rental or a DIY homeowner ready to create a custom masterpiece, this home provides the perfect bones to start with. Being sold as-is, offering a fantastic opportunity to roll up your sleeves/reap rewards!
-
2026-04-22status Pending
-
2026-04-07historical Active Under Contract 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
Investor Alert: Corner Lot Potential in Monahans! Looking for your next project or a way to build immediate equity? This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bathroom fixer-upper sits on a massive corner lot and is bursting with potential for the right visionary. Whether you are an investor looking for a high-yield rental or a DIY homeowner ready to create a custom masterpiece, this home provides the perfect bones to start with. Being sold as-is, offering a fantastic opportunity to roll up your sleeves/reap rewards!
-
2026-04-07status Active 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
Investor Alert: Corner Lot Potential in Monahans! Looking for your next project or a way to build immediate equity? This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bathroom fixer-upper sits on a massive corner lot and is bursting with potential for the right visionary. Whether you are an investor looking for a high-yield rental or a DIY homeowner ready to create a custom masterpiece, this home provides the perfect bones to start with. Being sold as-is, offering a fantastic opportunity to roll up your sleeves/reap rewards!
-
2026-04-04status Pending 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
Investor Alert: Corner Lot Potential in Monahans! Looking for your next project or a way to build immediate equity? This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bathroom fixer-upper sits on a massive corner lot and is bursting with potential for the right visionary. Whether you are an investor looking for a high-yield rental or a DIY homeowner ready to create a custom masterpiece, this home provides the perfect bones to start with. Being sold as-is, offering a fantastic opportunity to roll up your sleeves/reap rewards!
-
2026-03-24historical 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
Investor Alert: Corner Lot Potential in Monahans! Looking for your next project or a way to build immediate equity? This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bathroom fixer-upper sits on a massive corner lot and is bursting with potential for the right visionary. Whether you are an investor looking for a high-yield rental or a DIY homeowner ready to create a custom masterpiece, this home provides the perfect bones to start with. Being sold as-is, offering a fantastic opportunity to roll up your sleeves/reap rewards!
-
2026-03-17price $99,000 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
Investor Alert: Corner Lot Potential in Monahans! Looking for your next project or a way to build immediate equity? This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bathroom fixer-upper sits on a massive corner lot and is bursting with potential for the right visionary. Whether you are an investor looking for a high-yield rental or a DIY homeowner ready to create a custom masterpiece, this home provides the perfect bones to start with. Being sold as-is, offering a fantastic opportunity to roll up your sleeves/reap rewards!
-
2026-03-16price $99,000
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
Investor Alert: Corner Lot Potential in Monahans! Looking for your next project or a way to build immediate equity? This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bathroom fixer-upper sits on a massive corner lot and is bursting with potential for the right visionary. Whether you are an investor looking for a high-yield rental or a DIY homeowner ready to create a custom masterpiece, this home provides the perfect bones to start with. Being sold as-is, offering a fantastic opportunity to roll up your sleeves/reap rewards!
-
2026-03-16price $99,000 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
Investor Alert: Corner Lot Potential in Monahans! Looking for your next project or a way to build immediate equity? This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bathroom fixer-upper sits on a massive corner lot and is bursting with potential for the right visionary. Whether you are an investor looking for a high-yield rental or a DIY homeowner ready to create a custom masterpiece, this home provides the perfect bones to start with. Being sold as-is, offering a fantastic opportunity to roll up your sleeves/reap rewards!
-
2026-03-12status Active
-
2026-03-10$105,000 Active
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
Investor Alert: Corner Lot Potential in Monahans! Looking for your next project or a way to build immediate equity? This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bathroom fixer-upper sits on a massive corner lot and is bursting with potential for the right visionary. Whether you are an investor looking for a high-yield rental or a DIY homeowner ready to create a custom masterpiece, this home provides the perfect bones to start with. Being sold as-is, offering a fantastic opportunity to roll up your sleeves/reap rewards!
-
2026-03-10$105,000 Active 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
Investor Alert: Corner Lot Potential in Monahans! Looking for your next project or a way to build immediate equity? This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bathroom fixer-upper sits on a massive corner lot and is bursting with potential for the right visionary. Whether you are an investor looking for a high-yield rental or a DIY homeowner ready to create a custom masterpiece, this home provides the perfect bones to start with. Being sold as-is, offering a fantastic opportunity to roll up your sleeves/reap rewards!
-
2026-02-27$105,000 Active 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
Investor Alert: Corner Lot Potential in Monahans! Looking for your next project or a way to build immediate equity? This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bathroom fixer-upper sits on a massive corner lot and is bursting with potential for the right visionary. Whether you are an investor looking for a high-yield rental or a DIY homeowner ready to create a custom masterpiece, this home provides the perfect bones to start with. Being sold as-is, offering a fantastic opportunity to roll up your sleeves/reap rewards!
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2015-01-09soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,438 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,812 · $151/mo
- Expected delta
- +$374/yr (+$31/mo · 26.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
- Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,525
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,438
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,722
- − Management
- −$1,722
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $7,723
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,853
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,989/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Monahans-Wickett-Pyote ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4831170
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,117
- Composite
- 29.12/100
- National rank
- #6592
- State rank
- #532 of 826 in TX
Livability — Monahans
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #687
- US rank
- #12856
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Monahans, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,558
Population outlook (Ward County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,048 people
- By 2030
- 15,329 · +9.1%
- By 2040
- 18,112 · +28.9%
- By 2050
- 21,301 · +51.6%
- By 2075
- 29,199 · +107.9%
- By 2100
- 33,968 · +141.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 54% White 39% Two or more races 11% Black 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 48%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 35% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Ward
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+66.1) · D 16.7% · R 82.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.0pp toward R · 2008: -49.1pp · 2024: -66.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+66.1 2020: R+61.0 2016: R+51.6 2012: R+47.2 2008: R+49.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -167.06%
- Current HPI
- 194.6219
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-5.7% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Relisted — ODMLS
- 2026-04-22 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-04-07 Contingent — HARMLS
- 2026-04-07 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2026-04-04 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-03-24 Delisted — ODMLS
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $99,000 ODMLS
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $99,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $99,000 HARMLS
- 2026-03-12 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-03-10 Listed $105,000 HARMLS
- 2026-03-10 Listed $105,000 NTREIS
- 2026-02-27 Listed $105,000 ODMLS
- 2015-01-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+10.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,438 · +11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…