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10146 Evergreen Dr
D- Composite 36.46
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.1/30.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.0/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

10146 Evergreen Dr · Manito, IL 61546
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,632 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1975 0.47 ac lot Est $127k · 10% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

You must see 10146 Evergreen Drive in Manito, IL. It offers a charming residence with three bedrooms, an extra-large detached garage, main floor laundry and inviting front porch. The three-seasons room, spacious dining area and an additional sunken family room make entertaining guests a dream. With recent updates to the flooring and paint, this move in ready home provides comfort, convenience, and a pleasant living environment for its residents. Call today to see if you will be saying "yes" to this address.

Key facts

  • Main floor laundry
  • 3 seasons room
  • Large pantry

Tags

MAIN FLOOR LAUNDRYSPACIOUS FAMILY ROOM3 SEASONS ROOMLARGE PANTRYOVERSIZED GARAGENO NEIGHBORS BEHIND

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: Lakewood Terrace; Directions: Springlake Rd to Evergreen Dr.
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with 3 spaces; Gravel parking surfaces
  • Utilities: Shared well water; Septic system
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Not new construction; Living area reported as 1632
  • Construction: Built in 1975
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Level lot; Paved road access; Lot dimensions about 179 x 115

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with vinyl flooring
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; Bedroom 1 on main level (carpet, egress window, ~13.03 x 17.04); Bedroom 2 on main level (carpet, egress window, ~9.1 x 17.04); Bedroom 3 on main level (carpet, egress window, ~8.1 x 11.04)
  • Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms; Laminate in living and family rooms; Vinyl in dining room and kitchen
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Propane forced-air heating; Propane (rented) and gas water heater
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Washer; Dryer; Three-season room; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $46 ($553/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (14.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $120k (14.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#711 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Midwest Central CUSD 191 (rural): math 19% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #398 of 620 in IL (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Midwest Central High School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #567 of 693 statewide, top 83%, 252 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 47% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 77 units permitted in Tazewell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tazewell County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $140k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $120,120 (14.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.69%
Cash-on-cash
1.41%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$127,296
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10333 Evergreen Dr 0.20mi 3/1.0 1,660 (+2%) 8mo $104,000 $63 81
10376 Bellair Dr 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,658 (+2%) 19mo $137,000 $83 67
3923 Lakeview Dr 0.38mi 3/1.5 1,590 (-3%) 15mo $98,900 $62 64
10381 Evergreen Dr 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,474 (-10%) 14mo $114,900 $78 59
10133 Edgewood Dr 0.09mi 3/1.5 1,392 (-15%) 12mo $141,000 $101 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.1%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-19,753
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
-5.3%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-13,505
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61546

Home prices YoY
-20.1%
Active inventory
9
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,201 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$111 /mo · $1,331/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$46

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,143
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $139,900 Active 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $139,900 Active 24 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 23 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,900 Active 21 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 20 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 18 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $139,900 Active 15 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 13 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 12 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 11 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $139,900 Active 10 DOM
  17. 2026-05-19
    listed $149,900 Active
  18. 2023-06-29
    soldstatus $80,000 Closed 523-char remark
    Show marketing remark (523 chars)

    You must see 10146 Evergreen Drive in Manito, IL. It offers a charming residence with three bedrooms, an extra-large detached garage, main floor laundry and inviting front porch. The three-seasons room, spacious dining area and an additional sunken family room make entertaining guests a dream. With recent updates to the flooring and paint, this move in ready home provides comfort, convenience, and a pleasant living environment for its residents. Call today to see if you will be saying "yes" to this address.

  19. 2023-06-29
    soldstatus $80,000
    Show marketing remark (523 chars)

    You must see 10146 Evergreen Drive in Manito, IL. It offers a charming residence with three bedrooms, an extra-large detached garage, main floor laundry and inviting front porch. The three-seasons room, spacious dining area and an additional sunken family room make entertaining guests a dream. With recent updates to the flooring and paint, this move in ready home provides comfort, convenience, and a pleasant living environment for its residents. Call today to see if you will be saying "yes" to this address.

  20. 2023-06-15
    status Pending 523-char remark
    Show marketing remark (523 chars)

    You must see 10146 Evergreen Drive in Manito, IL. It offers a charming residence with three bedrooms, an extra-large detached garage, main floor laundry and inviting front porch. The three-seasons room, spacious dining area and an additional sunken family room make entertaining guests a dream. With recent updates to the flooring and paint, this move in ready home provides comfort, convenience, and a pleasant living environment for its residents. Call today to see if you will be saying "yes" to this address.

  21. 2023-06-06
    listed $89,900 Active 523-char remark
    Show marketing remark (523 chars)

    You must see 10146 Evergreen Drive in Manito, IL. It offers a charming residence with three bedrooms, an extra-large detached garage, main floor laundry and inviting front porch. The three-seasons room, spacious dining area and an additional sunken family room make entertaining guests a dream. With recent updates to the flooring and paint, this move in ready home provides comfort, convenience, and a pleasant living environment for its residents. Call today to see if you will be saying "yes" to this address.

  22. 2023-05-27
    status Active
  23. 2023-05-27
    historical
  24. 2023-05-19
    status Pending
  25. 2023-05-17
    listed Active
  26. 2021-08-10
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,331 · $111/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,253 · $188/mo
Expected delta
+$923/yr (+$77/mo · 69.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,414
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$1,331
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,153
− Management
−$1,153
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable loss
−$1,828
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$439
After-tax cash flow
$992/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Midwest Central CUSD 191
NCES district ID
1743962
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$52,499
Composite
18.97/100
National rank
#8852
State rank
#398 of 620 in IL

Livability — Manito

Score
64/100
State rank
#711
US rank
#14466

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,682

Population outlook (Tazewell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
131,252 people
By 2030
128,028 · -2.5%
By 2040
120,443 · -8.2%
By 2050
111,872 · -14.8%
By 2075
89,843 · -31.5%
By 2100
66,468 · -49.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Serbian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Tazewell

2024 margin
Strong R (+26.7) · D 35.8% · R 62.5% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.0pp · 2024: -26.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+26.7 2020: R+25.6 2016: R+28.5 2012: R+17.9 2008: R+6.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -48.61%
Current HPI
193.6723
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+66.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $149,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 2023-06-29 Sold (MLS) $80,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-15 Pending RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-06 Listed $89,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-27 Relisted RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-27 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-19 Pending RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-17 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-10 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-4.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,331 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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