10146 Evergreen Dr · Manito, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.1/30.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- ARV discount +3.0/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
You must see 10146 Evergreen Drive in Manito, IL. It offers a charming residence with three bedrooms, an extra-large detached garage, main floor laundry and inviting front porch. The three-seasons room, spacious dining area and an additional sunken family room make entertaining guests a dream. With recent updates to the flooring and paint, this move in ready home provides comfort, convenience, and a pleasant living environment for its residents. Call today to see if you will be saying "yes" to this address.
Key facts
- Main floor laundry
- 3 seasons room
- Large pantry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: Lakewood Terrace; Directions: Springlake Rd to Evergreen Dr.
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 3 spaces; Gravel parking surfaces
- Utilities: Shared well water; Septic system
- Home design: Single-family residence; Not new construction; Living area reported as 1632
- Construction: Built in 1975
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Level lot; Paved road access; Lot dimensions about 179 x 115
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with vinyl flooring
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; Bedroom 1 on main level (carpet, egress window, ~13.03 x 17.04); Bedroom 2 on main level (carpet, egress window, ~9.1 x 17.04); Bedroom 3 on main level (carpet, egress window, ~8.1 x 11.04)
- Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms; Laminate in living and family rooms; Vinyl in dining room and kitchen
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Propane forced-air heating; Propane (rented) and gas water heater
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Washer; Dryer; Three-season room; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $46 ($553/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (14.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $120k (14.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#711 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Midwest Central CUSD 191 (rural): math 19% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #398 of 620 in IL (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Midwest Central High School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #567 of 693 statewide, top 83%, 252 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 47% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 77 units permitted in Tazewell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tazewell County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $140k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.41%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $127,296
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10333 Evergreen Dr | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,660 (+2%) | 8mo | $104,000 | $63 | 81 |
| 10376 Bellair Dr | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,658 (+2%) | 19mo | $137,000 | $83 | 67 |
| 3923 Lakeview Dr | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 | 1,590 (-3%) | 15mo | $98,900 | $62 | 64 |
| 10381 Evergreen Dr | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,474 (-10%) | 14mo | $114,900 | $78 | 59 |
| 10133 Edgewood Dr | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 | 1,392 (-15%) | 12mo | $141,000 | $101 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-19,753
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- -5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-13,505
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61546
- Home prices YoY
- -20.1%
- Active inventory
- 9
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,201 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,331/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $46
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $139,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $139,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $139,900 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $139,900 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $139,900 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $139,900 Active 12 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $139,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-19$149,900 Active
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2023-06-29soldstatus $80,000 Closed 523-char remark
Show marketing remark (523 chars)
You must see 10146 Evergreen Drive in Manito, IL. It offers a charming residence with three bedrooms, an extra-large detached garage, main floor laundry and inviting front porch. The three-seasons room, spacious dining area and an additional sunken family room make entertaining guests a dream. With recent updates to the flooring and paint, this move in ready home provides comfort, convenience, and a pleasant living environment for its residents. Call today to see if you will be saying "yes" to this address.
-
2023-06-29soldstatus $80,000
Show marketing remark (523 chars)
You must see 10146 Evergreen Drive in Manito, IL. It offers a charming residence with three bedrooms, an extra-large detached garage, main floor laundry and inviting front porch. The three-seasons room, spacious dining area and an additional sunken family room make entertaining guests a dream. With recent updates to the flooring and paint, this move in ready home provides comfort, convenience, and a pleasant living environment for its residents. Call today to see if you will be saying "yes" to this address.
-
2023-06-15status Pending 523-char remark
Show marketing remark (523 chars)
You must see 10146 Evergreen Drive in Manito, IL. It offers a charming residence with three bedrooms, an extra-large detached garage, main floor laundry and inviting front porch. The three-seasons room, spacious dining area and an additional sunken family room make entertaining guests a dream. With recent updates to the flooring and paint, this move in ready home provides comfort, convenience, and a pleasant living environment for its residents. Call today to see if you will be saying "yes" to this address.
-
2023-06-06$89,900 Active 523-char remark
Show marketing remark (523 chars)
You must see 10146 Evergreen Drive in Manito, IL. It offers a charming residence with three bedrooms, an extra-large detached garage, main floor laundry and inviting front porch. The three-seasons room, spacious dining area and an additional sunken family room make entertaining guests a dream. With recent updates to the flooring and paint, this move in ready home provides comfort, convenience, and a pleasant living environment for its residents. Call today to see if you will be saying "yes" to this address.
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2023-05-27status Active
-
2023-05-27historical
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2023-05-19status Pending
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2023-05-17Active
-
2021-08-10historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,331 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,253 · $188/mo
- Expected delta
- +$923/yr (+$77/mo · 69.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,414
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$1,331
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,153
- − Management
- −$1,153
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable loss
- −$1,828
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$439
- After-tax cash flow
- $992/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Midwest Central CUSD 191
- NCES district ID
- 1743962
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,499
- Composite
- 18.97/100
- National rank
- #8852
- State rank
- #398 of 620 in IL
Livability — Manito
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #711
- US rank
- #14466
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,682
Population outlook (Tazewell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 131,252 people
- By 2030
- 128,028 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 120,443 · -8.2%
- By 2050
- 111,872 · -14.8%
- By 2075
- 89,843 · -31.5%
- By 2100
- 66,468 · -49.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Serbian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Tazewell
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+26.7) · D 35.8% · R 62.5% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.0pp · 2024: -26.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+26.7 2020: R+25.6 2016: R+28.5 2012: R+17.9 2008: R+6.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -48.61%
- Current HPI
- 193.6723
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+66.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $149,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2023-06-29 Sold (MLS) $80,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-15 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-06 Listed $89,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-27 Relisted — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-27 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-19 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-17 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-10 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-4.5%/yrLatest (2024): $1,331 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…