516 Barfield St · Hahira, GA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +6.2/30.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- ARV discount +3.0/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.9/10.0
- DSCR +0.6/10.0
$365,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Come experience Hahira living!! Come enjoy this golf cart community!!! The exterior features stone and concrete board siding with custom wood shutters. The property has a fenced in back yard complete with a cozy covered porch! The laundry room is equipped with custom cabinets and Quartz countertops. The kitchen is gorgeous with creamy white cabinets, a stained island, Quartz countertops, a farm sink, and a large pantry! The living room is huge with a beautiful stained Beam in the vaulted ceiling which opens up to the dining room. The foyer will welcome your guest with a wood four-light front door and shiplap accents. The master suite is spacious with a master bath complete with custom cabin
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Custom cabinets
- Farm sink
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $365k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-658 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $249k (31.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (41.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $214k (41.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#161 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, health & safety D.
- Lowndes County (rural): math 59% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #8 of 174 in GA (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 189 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 896 units permitted in Lowndes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $39k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $36k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Lowndes County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$63k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.59% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.73%
- DSCR
- 0.66
- GRM
- 14.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $331,996
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 535 Cottonwood Cv | 0.29mi | 4/2.5 | 2,074 (+4%) | 0mo | $335,000 | $162 | 79 |
| 769 Carriage Xing | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 | 1,930 (-3%) | 1mo | $319,900 | $166 | 69 |
| 629 Barnside Ln | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 | 2,110 (+6%) | 1mo | $291,900 | $138 | 69 |
| 751 Fry Rd | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 | 1,839 (-8%) | 2mo | $349,900 | $190 | 67 |
| 1213 Phats Way | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 | 1,799 (-10%) | 2mo | $303,000 | $168 | 52 |
| 1205 Phats Way | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 | 1,799 (-10%) | 2mo | $303,000 | $168 | 51 |
| 1105 Hannah Dr | 0.53mi | 4/2.5 | 2,259 (+14%) | 3mo | $335,900 | $149 | 50 |
| 1155 Hannah Dr | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 1,799 (-10%) | 3mo | $309,000 | $172 | 49 |
| 117 Sparrow Dr | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 1,748 (-12%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $154 | 48 |
| 1151 Hannah Dr | 0.66mi | 4/2.5 | 2,259 (+14%) | 2mo | $339,000 | $150 | 45 |
| 6616 Brookridge Dr | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 1,701 (-14%) | 1mo | $319,900 | $188 | 40 |
| 220 Wood Duck Pt | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,739 (-12%) | 1mo | $289,900 | $167 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.53×
- Total profit
- $156,799
- Equity at exit
- $328,821
- IRR
- 17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.84×
- Total profit
- $494,560
- Equity at exit
- $709,115
Cash invested: $102,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31632
- Home prices YoY
- 8.1%
- Active inventory
- 189
- Price-to-rent
- 14.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,138 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,914
- Tax from tax record
- −$281 /mo · $3,375/yr
- Insurance
- −$152
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$449
- Net cashflow
- $-658
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $91,250
- Closing costs
- $10,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305 Barfield St Hahira, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1361 | $1,495 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-13status Under Contract
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2026-05-12$365,000 Active
-
2022-11-30soldstatus $327,000
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2022-07-20$327,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,375 · $281/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,375 · $281/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,661
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,446
- − Property taxes
- −$3,375
- − Insurance
- −$1,825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,053
- − Management
- −$2,053
- − Depreciation
- −$10,618
- Taxable loss
- −$14,709
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,530
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,367/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lowndes County
- NCES district ID
- 1303390
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,221
- Composite
- 47.21/100
- National rank
- #2317
- State rank
- #8 of 174 in GA
Livability — Hahira
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #161
- US rank
- #10280
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hahira, GA
- County
- Lowndes County · 107,801 people
- Metro
- Valdosta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,942
- Household income
- $83,946
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 73.0
Population outlook (Lowndes County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 120,348 people
- By 2030
- 123,469 · +2.6%
- By 2040
- 128,482 · +6.8%
- By 2050
- 131,907 · +9.6%
- By 2075
- 139,080 · +15.6%
- By 2100
- 133,649 · +11.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Lowndes
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.0) · D 40.8% · R 58.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.4pp · 2024: -18.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.0 2020: R+12.0 2016: R+18.2 2012: R+10.5 2008: R+9.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 19.44%
- Current HPI
- 259.01
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Valdosta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+11.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — FSBO.com
- 2026-05-12 Listed $365,000 FSBO.com
- 2022-11-30 Sold (MLS) $327,000 SGMLS
- 2022-07-20 Listed $327,000 SGMLS
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,375 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…