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2935 Lorena Jordan Rd
D+ Composite 46.29
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.3/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.3/30.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • DSCR +1.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.4/5.0

$364,900

2935 Lorena Jordan Rd · Dallas, TX 75212
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,000 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 2024 Good condition 3,790 sqft lot Est $408k · 11% under $33/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Must See, Gorgeous 4-Bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, 2-story home, 2-Car Garage. Fresh Paint, new Carpet. Ready to move in. Great Location, close to Downtown Dallas, Schools, Major Shopping Centers & major Highways.

Key facts

  • Fresh paint
  • New carpet
  • Great location

Tags

FRESH PAINTNEW CARPETGREAT LOCATIONCLOSE TO DOWNTOWN DALLASSCHOOLSMAJOR SHOPPING CENTERS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; HOA managed by 4Site; HOA covers management fees; Annual HOA fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2 covered/garage parking spaces; Garage approximately 19 ft wide by 19 ft long
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two-story home; New construction (built in 2024)
  • Construction: Built in 2024
  • Exterior features: Back yard with wood fencing; Fenced yard; Grassed vegetation; Clay soil

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Granite counters; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (primary bedroom on second level)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Granite counters; Pantry; Two living areas; One dining area; 10 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater; Other included appliances

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $365k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-482 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $280k (23.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $288k (21.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $280k (23.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Eladio R Martinez Learning Center (math 25% / reading 21%, grade F, #3,277 of 4,322 statewide, top 77%, 536 students, 97% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.2%/yr); 249 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,878/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 892% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $39k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $36k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$63k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $279,819 (23.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
4.71%
Cash-on-cash
-5.66%
DSCR
0.75
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$408,000
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3321 Normandy Brook Rd 0.10mi 4/2.5 2,000 (0%) 14mo $359,900 $180 84
3395 Peyton Lila Rd 0.08mi 4/2.5 1,739 (-13%) 5mo $335,000 $193 70
3179 Normandy Brook Rd 0.20mi 4/2.5 1,800 (-10%) 15mo $350,000 $194 62
3911 Aransas St 0.60mi 4/2.0 1,954 (-2%) 8mo $409,800 $210 60
3423 Toronto St 0.51mi 4/2.0 1,964 (-2%) 15mo $399,999 $204 59
3907 Aransas St 0.60mi 4/2.0 1,954 (-2%) 12mo $409,800 $210 56
3925 Furey St 0.72mi 4/2.5 2,032 (+2%) 10mo $455,000 $224 55
2436 Tan Oak Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,031 (+2%) 14mo $300,000 $148 46
3531 Gallagher St 0.60mi 4/2.5 2,294 (+15%) 9mo $419,000 $183 40
4110 Aransas St 0.72mi 4/3.5 2,154 (+8%) 13mo $505,000 $234 39
3639 Pueblo St 0.72mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,765 (-12%) 4mo $425,000 $241 38
4014 Aransas St 0.65mi 4/3.0 2,224 (+11%) 13mo $430,000 $193 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.4%
Equity multiple
2.56×
Total profit
$159,811
Equity at exit
$328,731
10-year hold
IRR
17.2%
Equity multiple
5.70×
Total profit
$480,009
Equity at exit
$708,920

Cash invested: $102,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75212

Rents YoY
-4.2%
Active inventory
249
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,878 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,914
Tax from tax record
$657 /mo · $7,881/yr
Insurance
$152
HOA
$33
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$604
Net cashflow
$-482

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,488
Max offer price $279,819
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-275 -5% $-378 +0% $-482 +5% $-585 +10% $-688
Rent -10% $-709 -5% $-595 +0% $-482 +5% $-368 +10% $-254
Rate -1.0pp $-298 -0.5pp $-389 base $-482 +0.5pp $-576 +1.0pp $-672

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$91,225
Closing costs
$10,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 30 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3386 Peyton Lila Rd Dallas, TX 4.0 2.5 1739 $2,350 $1.35 44d 1 0.08mi
3232 Peyton Lila Rd Dallas, TX 4.0 2.5 2000 $2,495 $1.25 8d 1 0.17mi
3421 Nomas St Dallas, TX 5.0 3.0 2375 $8,250 $3.47 22d 1 0.48mi
4022 Cedar Elm Ln Dallas, TX 4.0 2.5 2860 $2,700 $0.94 25d 1 0.61mi
3618 McBroom St Dallas, TX 5.0 2.5 2449 $8,700 $3.55 2d 1 0.71mi
2322 Tan Oak Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 2.5 1630 $2,500 $1.53 44d 1 0.72mi
2043 Life Ave Dallas, TX 3.0 3.0 2545 $3,950 $1.55 0d 1 0.77mi
4022 Ivanhoe Ln Dallas, TX 4.0 2.5 2042 $2,795 $1.37 44d 1 0.98mi
1916 Shaw St Dallas, TX 4.0 3.0 2283 $2,675 $1.17 20d 1 1.02mi
2815 Harston St Unit 2815 Dallas, TX 3.0 2.5 2800 $3,800 $1.36 11d 1 1.07mi
2811 Harston St Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1937 $2,950 $1.52 44d 1 1.08mi
1723 Shaw St Dallas, TX 4.0 3.0 1720 $2,699 $1.57 8d 1 1.22mi
3807 Vilbig Rd Dallas, TX 3.0 2.5 2000 $5,500 $2.75 44d 1 1.23mi
3226 Navaro St Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1547 $2,500 $1.62 44d 1 1.28mi
3237 Chihuahua Ave Dallas, TX 4.0 2.5 2251 $4,500 $2.00 44d 1 1.29mi
3500 W Colorado Blvd Dallas, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1107 $2,798 $2.53 4d 24 1.29mi
1849 Pollard St Dallas, TX 4.0 4.5 2438 $3,995 $1.64 44d 1 1.30mi
4128 Mart St Dallas, TX 3.0 2.5 1754 $2,800 $1.60 25d 1 1.30mi
3105 Chihuahua Ave Dallas, TX 4.0 2.5 2214 $3,200 $1.45 16d 1 1.31mi
1610 Life Ave Dallas, TX 3.0 2.5 1657 $2,800 $1.69 44d 1 1.31mi
3122 Chihuahua Ave Unit 1510240P Dallas, TX 4.0 3.0 2174 $5,369 $2.47 0d 1 1.33mi
3321 Rutz St Dallas, TX 3.0 2.5 1436 $2,550 $1.78 4d 1 1.33mi
3129 Rutz St Dallas, TX 4.0 2.5 2102 $7,850 $3.73 44d 1 1.34mi
3129 Rutz St Unit 1241909P Dallas, TX 4.0 2.5 2098 $9,353 $4.46 22d 1 1.34mi
3525 Rutz St Dallas, TX 3.0 2.5 2451 $4,000 $1.63 8d 1 1.34mi
4120 Tram Dr Unit 1019501P Dallas, TX 5.0 2.5 2475 $7,484 $3.02 44d 1 1.40mi
4124 Tram Dr Dallas, TX 5.0 2.5 2478 $8,250 $3.33 22d 1 1.40mi
3517 Chicago St Dallas, TX 3.0 3.0 1538 $1,200 $0.78 6d 1 1.45mi
2635 Carmelita St Dallas, TX 3.0 3.5 2237 $3,399 $1.52 25d 1 1.46mi
2654 Carolwood Ln Dallas, TX 3.0 3.5 2174 $3,500 $1.61 44d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$33 · $396/yr

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $364,900 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $364,900 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $364,900 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $364,900 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $364,900 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $364,900 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $364,900 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    remarks 210-char remark
  9. 2026-06-07
    listed $364,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$7,881 · $657/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,881 · $657/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,538
− Mortgage interest
−$20,440
− Property taxes
−$7,881
− Insurance
−$1,824
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,763
− Management
−$2,763
− HOA
−$396
− Depreciation
−$10,615
Taxable loss
−$12,145
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,915
After-tax cash flow
$-2,865/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in excellent condition with minimal repairs needed. It's move-in ready and has the potential to be a great investment with some cosmetic updates.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and rental value
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and attracts buyers
  • Both Installing new flooring in the bathrooms — Enhances the look and feel of the bathrooms

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and rental value
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and attracts buyers
  • Both Installing new flooring in the bathrooms — Enhances the look and feel of the bathrooms

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dallas ISD
NCES district ID
4816230
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$42,881
Composite
28.41/100
National rank
#6763
State rank
#559 of 826 in TX

Livability — Dallas

Score
81/100
State rank
#24
US rank
#1380

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dallas, TX
County
Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
City population
1,168,437
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
28,259
Household income
$59,750
Rent vs Own
43.6% rent · 56.4% own
Severe rent burden
892.0

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,979,839 people
By 2030
3,191,823 · +7.1%
By 2040
3,619,611 · +21.5%
By 2050
4,026,915 · +35.1%
By 2075
4,957,073 · +66.4%
By 2100
5,508,725 · +84.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (67%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 67% Two or more races 26% Black 23% White 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 55%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
42% English-only · Spanish 52% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 138.69%
Current HPI
477.2035
Rent YoY
▼ -4.21%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $364,900 NTREIS

Property tax history

+739.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,881 · +739.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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