CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
622 Yale St
B Composite 74.95
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

622 Yale St · Southport, NY 14904
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 880 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 56 Days on market
Built 1910 8,250 sqft lot $102/sqft · 25% below area Est $120k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This cozy 3-bedroom home is just waiting to welcome you in! From the moment you step inside, you’ll feel the warmth and charm, with a bright eat-in kitchen, a spacious pantry. One of the true highlights is the enclosed porch—surrounded by windows and filled with natural light, it’s the perfect spot for morning coffee, a good book, or simply unwinding at the end of the day. Outside you’ll find a large, fully fenced-in backyard. There’s also off-street parking, a 1-car garage with an attached storage shed, plus a back porch/storage area for all your extras. With a newer water heater already in place and just a touch of TLC needed, this home offers the perfect ble

Key facts

  • Spacious pantry
  • Eat-in kitchen
  • Enclosed porch

Tags

EAT-IN KITCHENSPACIOUS PANTRYENCLOSED PORCHFULLY FENCED-IN BACKYARDOFF-STREET PARKINGATTACHED STORAGE SHED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; One garage space
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Septic sewer
  • Home design: Single-story existing home
  • Construction: Composite siding; Poured foundation
  • Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Open porch; Fully fenced yard; Gravel driveway; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 75 x 110

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Mixed/varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Bedroom on main level; Full basement; One fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $391 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 6.5% in Southport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#690 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, employment D, health & safety D.
  • Elmira City School District (urban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #580 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 101 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 91 units permitted in Chemung County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chemung County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $41k; list at $90k implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,300 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
11.51%
Cash-on-cash
18.63%
DSCR
1.83
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$119,940
List price
$90,000
Delta
-24.96%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
635 Newtown St 0.14mi 2/1.0 (-1) 913 (+4%) 8mo $123,500 $135 76
284 Universal Ave 0.41mi 2/1.0 (-1) 888 (+1%) 4mo $159,900 $180 71
266 Robert St 0.46mi 3/1.0 864 (-2%) 5mo $95,000 $110 71
268 Robert St 0.47mi 3/1.0 828 (-6%) 4mo $75,000 $91 65
928 Cedar 0.31mi 2/1.0 (-1) 940 (+7%) 12mo $110,000 $117 59
614 Chester St 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 875 (-1%) 4mo $112,765 $129 56
719 Dubois St 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,008 (+14%) 4mo $120,000 $119 55
649 Newtown St 0.12mi 2/1.0 (-1) 768 (-13%) 16mo $50,000 $65 54
763 Chester St 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (-2%) 4mo $117,000 $135 54
650 Medina St 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 857 (-3%) 17mo $45,000 $53 50
235 Marion St 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 828 (-6%) 14mo $72,500 $88 49
604 Spruce St 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 792 (-10%) 12mo $79,000 $100 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.4%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$10,352
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
2.63×
Total profit
$41,177
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14904

Home prices YoY
-9.6%
Active inventory
101
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,283 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$113 /mo · $1,357/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$269
Net cashflow
$391

Break-even live

Break-even rent $788
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $442 -5% $417 +0% $391 +5% $366 +10% $340
Rent -10% $290 -5% $341 +0% $391 +5% $442 +10% $493
Rate -1.0pp $437 -0.5pp $414 base $391 +0.5pp $368 +1.0pp $344

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
235 Allen St Elmira, NY 2.0 1.0 780 $950 $1.22 44d 1 0.50mi
419 Jefferson St Unit A Elmira, NY 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,995 $1.81 44d 1 0.81mi
711 W Water St Unit 1 Elmira, NY 2.0 1.0 590 $1,100 $1.86 44d 1 1.41mi
363 W Water St #2 Elmira, NY 3.0 1.0 1084 $1,250 $1.15 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $90,000 Active 56 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $90,000 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $90,000 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $90,000 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    price $90,000 Active 52 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $96,000 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $96,000 Active 50 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $96,000 Active Under Contract 49 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $96,000 Active Under Contract 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $96,000 Active Under Contract 45 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $96,000 Active Under Contract 44 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $96,000 Active Under Contract 41 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $96,000 Active Under Contract 40 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $96,000 Active Under Contract 39 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $96,000 Active 38 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $96,000 Active 37 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $96,000 Active 36 DOM
  18. 2026-04-24
    listed $96,000 Active 867-char remark
  19. 2006-09-10
    soldstatus $41,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,357 · $113/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,439 · $120/mo
Expected delta
+$82/yr (+$7/mo · 6.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,399
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$1,357
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,232
− Management
−$1,232
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$3,468
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$832
After-tax cash flow
$3,862/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elmira City School District
NCES district ID
3610560
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$40,180
Composite
24.39/100
National rank
#7688
State rank
#580 of 590 in NY

Livability — Southport

Score
65/100
State rank
#690
US rank
#13026

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D Housing A Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Southport, NY
Population (ZIP)
14,276

Population outlook (Chemung County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
82,931 people
By 2030
80,356 · -3.1%
By 2040
74,745 · -9.9%
By 2050
69,012 · -16.8%
By 2075
55,689 · -32.8%
By 2100
41,428 · -50.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 7% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Chemung

2024 margin
R (+16.8) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
2008→2024 swing
-15.6pp toward R · 2008: -1.2pp · 2024: -16.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.8 2020: R+13.4 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+1.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.33%
Current HPI
220.688
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+119.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Price Changed $90,000 UNYREIS
  • 2026-06-13 Relisted UNYREIS
  • 2026-06-02 Contingent UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $96,000 UNYREIS
  • 2006-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,357 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…