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161 Hughes Rd
B+ Composite 76.73
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$36,000

161 Hughes Rd · Lamar, AR 72846
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,628 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1978 0.83 ac lot ↓ 30% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming updated home on the edge of Lamar features 4brs & a 30x20 shop (adjoining 30x15 slab). Nice flat lot w/ garden spot and many outdoor spaces including a full length front covered porch, deck, & patio. New flooring & paint as well as updated baths and kitchen provide a move-in-ready space. Tankless HHH (2018, and new HVAC (2018) & metal roof add to the value. Schedule to see this beautiful property today!!!

Key facts

  • Generous lot
  • Large workshop
  • Outdoor improvements

Tags

LARGE WORKSHOPGENEROUS LOTOUTDOOR IMPROVEMENTSPOTENTIAL FOR EXPANSION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.83 acres
  • Financial info: Financial details not provided
  • HOA & community: HOA fee listed as monthly

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; 2 covered parking spaces; Has carport
  • Security: No specific security features listed
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Septic available (septic tank)
  • Home design: Single-story; Metal roof; Brick, frame, and wood siding construction; Foundation: crawlspace and slab; Lot located in a subdivision; Paved public road frontage
  • Construction: Built with brick, frame, and wood siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Gravel driveway; Covered patio/porch; Deck; Outbuilding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen details not provided
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom information not provided
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Simulated wood; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: No additional interior features listed
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry/utility details not provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $36k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $503 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $36k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#47 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, employment D, amenities F.
  • Lamar School District (rural): math 32% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #152 of 238 in AR (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($249 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
  • Johnson County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (6.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $36,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.86%
Cap rate
23.06%
Cash-on-cash
59.89%
DSCR
3.66
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$211,640
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
101 N Cumberland St 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,620 (-0%) 11mo $135,000 $83 61
150 Ash St 0.47mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,714 (+5%) 23mo $184,900 $108 43
141 Meadow Ln 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,780 (+9%) 10mo $239,000 $134 37
152 Cedarwood Dr 0.75mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,388 (-15%) 9mo $180,000 $130 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.25% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
68.2%
Equity multiple
5.27×
Total profit
$43,032
Equity at exit
$23,208
10-year hold
IRR
65.0%
Equity multiple
11.06×
Total profit
$101,455
Equity at exit
$42,593

Cash invested: $10,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72846

Home prices YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
36
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,028 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$189
Tax from tax record
$105 /mo · $1,264/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$216
Net cashflow
$503

Break-even live

Break-even rent $391
Max offer price $36,000
Occupancy floor 46%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,000
Closing costs
$1,080
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $36,000 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $36,000 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $36,000 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $36,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $36,000 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $36,000 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $36,000 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    remarks 539-char remark
  9. 2026-06-09
    listed $36,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,264 · $105/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,264 · $105/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,337
− Mortgage interest
−$2,017
− Property taxes
−$1,264
− Insurance
−$180
− Repairs & maintenance
−$987
− Management
−$987
− Depreciation
−$1,047
Taxable income
$5,856
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,405
After-tax cash flow
$4,632/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lamar School District
NCES district ID
0508700
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$34,106
Composite
25.53/100
National rank
#7432
State rank
#152 of 238 in AR

Livability — Lamar

Score
71/100
State rank
#47
US rank
#7257

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lamar, AR
Population (ZIP)
3,874

Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
27,452 people
By 2030
28,003 · +2.0%
By 2040
28,960 · +5.5%
By 2050
29,627 · +7.9%
By 2075
31,000 · +12.9%
By 2100
31,173 · +13.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Johnson

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.3% · R 74.7% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-28.4pp toward R · 2008: -23.1pp · 2024: -51.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.4 2020: R+49.0 2016: R+40.6 2012: R+28.0 2008: R+23.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.25%
Current HPI
193.3176
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-29.8% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $36,000 NWARMLS
  • 2026-01-27 Price Changed $59,000 NWARMLS
  • 2025-11-14 Price Changed $69,000 NWARMLS
  • 2025-10-13 Price Changed $70,000 NWARMLS
  • 2025-09-12 Price Changed $72,000 NWARMLS
  • 2025-06-12 Price Changed $76,000 NWARMLS
  • 2025-04-01 Price Changed $80,000 NWARMLS
  • 2020-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $126,000 Public Records
  • 2020-10-09 Sold (MLS) $126,000 NWARMLS
  • 2020-07-28 Listed $119,900 NWARMLS
  • 2014-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
  • 2008-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
  • 2007-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 2006-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $22,606 Public Records
  • 2003-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $51,295 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,264 · +39.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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