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144 Silver Charm Ln
D- Composite 38.7
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.4/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.7/30.0
  • Schools +6.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$245,000

144 Silver Charm Ln · Caddo Mills, TX 75135
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,575 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 82 Days on market
Built 2021 Good condition 1,583 sqft lot Garage $156/sqft · 8% below area Est $268k · 9% under $38/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

New! Open concept, four bedroom with two full baths and covered patio. Home includes, island kitchen, granite counters throughout, LED lighting, full sprinkler system and much more! Located in a desirable neighborhood in Caddo Mills ISD with community pool and playground, easy access to surrounding areas. Schedule a tour today!

Key facts

  • Open-concept home
  • Led lighting
  • Covered patio

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT HOMECOVERED PATIOLARGE ISLANDGRANITE COUNTERTOPSFULL SPRINKLER SYSTEMLED LIGHTING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $245k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-388 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $176k (28.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (18.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $176k (28.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#216 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Caddo Mills ISD (rural): math 59% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #60 of 826 in TX (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Kathryn Griffis El (math 62% / reading 64%, grade B, #300 of 4,322 statewide, top 7%, 568 students, 34% FRL); Caddo Mills Middle (math 51% / reading 53%, grade C+, #301 of 1,662 statewide, top 19%, 416 students, 28% FRL); Caddo Mills H S (math 72% / reading 77%, grade B+, #82 of 1,632 statewide, top 6%, 681 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools at 30% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 369 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 42d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 68% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,289 units permitted in Hunt County in 2024 (527 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hunt County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($230k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $176,370 (28.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
4.39%
Cash-on-cash
-6.80%
DSCR
0.70
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$268,120
List price
$245,000
Delta
-8.62%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
157 Cigar Ct 0.10mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,607 (+2%) 4mo $249,900 $156 84
173 Seabiscuit Dr 0.26mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,607 (+2%) 5mo $219,900 $137 75
141 Seabiscuit Dr 0.39mi 4/2.0 1,575 (0%) 10mo $237,900 $151 73
122 Funny Cide Ln 0.13mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,607 (+2%) 15mo $265,000 $165 73
103 Gallant Fox Ln 0.34mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,607 (+2%) 10mo $220,000 $137 67
3390 Meadow Dr 0.40mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,680 (+7%) 2mo $279,000 $166 64
119 Easy Goer Trl 0.49mi 4/2.0 1,690 (+7%) 5mo $239,000 $141 61
103 Omaha Ln 0.29mi 4/2.0 1,811 (+15%) 10mo $250,000 $138 53
102 Admiral Ln 0.50mi 4/2.0 1,811 (+15%) 7mo $247,500 $137 46
3629 County Road 2618 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,413 (-10%) 17mo $349,000 $247 43
115 Easy Goer Trl 0.49mi 4/2.0 1,801 (+14%) 14mo $269,900 $150 42
3080 Fm 36 S 0.65mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,809 (+15%) 8mo $199,900 $111 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-27.9%
Equity multiple
0.06×
Total profit
$-64,247
Equity at exit
$36,530
10-year hold
IRR
-26.3%
Equity multiple
-0.27×
Total profit
$-87,007
Equity at exit
$21,183

Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
7 active
Months of supply
8.4 mo (12%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$290,000 ($156/sqft)
Median days on market
194 d
This list price
14% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+9.4% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 75135

Home prices YoY
-13.5%
Active inventory
369
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,995 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,285
Tax from tax record
$540 /mo · $6,475/yr
Insurance
$102
HOA
$38
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$419
Net cashflow
$-388

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,487
Max offer price $176,370
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-250 -5% $-319 +0% $-388 +5% $-458 +10% $-527
Rent -10% $-546 -5% $-467 +0% $-388 +5% $-310 +10% $-231
Rate -1.0pp $-265 -0.5pp $-326 base $-388 +0.5pp $-452 +1.0pp $-517

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,250
Closing costs
$7,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
125 Smarty Jones St Caddo Mills, TX 4.0 2.0 1690 $2,100 $1.24 21d 1 0.17mi
100 Stovall Ln Caddo Mills, TX 4.0 2.0 2096 $1,850 $0.88 33d 1 0.17mi
110 Real Quiet Ln Caddo Mills, TX 4.0 3.0 2158 $2,100 $0.97 71d 1 0.24mi
181 Seabiscuit Dr Caddo Mills, TX 4.0 2.0 1598 $1,995 $1.25 93d 1 0.26mi
111 Real Quiet Ln Caddo Mills, TX 4.0 2.0 2106 $2,000 $0.95 23d 1 0.28mi
104 Omaha Ln Caddo Mills, TX 4.0 2.0 1575 $1,995 $1.27 62d 1 0.29mi
208 Alice Springs Ln Caddo Mills, TX 4.0 3.0 2118 $1,995 $0.94 17d 1 0.36mi
208 Alice Springs Ln Caddo Mills, TX 4.0 3.0 2118 $1,995 $0.94 32d 1 0.36mi
151 Seabiscuit Dr Caddo Mills, TX 4.0 2.0 1690 $1,750 $1.04 93d 1 0.38mi
113 Alydar Ln Caddo Mills, TX 4.0 2.0 1690 $2,000 $1.18 93d 1 0.43mi
113 Alydar Ln Caddo Mills, TX 4.0 2.0 1690 $1,900 $1.12 14d 1 0.43mi
116 Easy Goer Trl Caddo Mills, TX 4.0 2.0 1864 $1,795 $0.96 43d 1 0.49mi
123 Easy Goer Trl Caddo Mills, TX 4.0 3.0 2092 $2,000 $0.96 41d 1 0.53mi
217 Redbarn Ln Caddo Mills, TX 4.0 2.0 2017 $2,150 $1.07 73d 1 0.56mi
206 Greenshade Ln Caddo Mills, TX 5.0 2.0 2012 $2,195 $1.09 93d 1 0.66mi
132 Whitetail Way Caddo Mills, TX 3.0 2.0 1780 $2,400 $1.35 61d 1 1.17mi
176 Mockingbird Way Caddo Mills, TX 4.0 2.0 2035 $1,995 $0.98 1d 1 1.18mi
152 Whitetail Way Caddo Mills, TX 4.0 2.0 1826 $1,900 $1.04 4d 1 1.21mi
187 Longhorn Pass Caddo Mills, TX 4.0 2.0 2003 $2,195 $1.10 54d 1 1.28mi
2475 Circle Dr Unit 2477 Caddo Mills, TX 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,550 $1.24 62d 1 1.28mi
116 Kiskadee Trl Caddo Mills, TX 4.0 2.0 2018 $1,995 $0.99 32d 1 1.29mi
210 Calico Ln Caddo Mills, TX 4.0 2.0 2012 $2,350 $1.17 10d 1 1.38mi
218 Whitetail Way Caddo Mills, TX 3.0 2.0 1735 $2,195 $1.27 93d 1 1.40mi
221 Longhorn Pass Caddo Mills, TX 4.0 2.0 2010 $1,950 $0.97 17d 1 1.42mi
221 Longhorn Pass Caddo Mills, TX 4.0 2.0 2014 $2,000 $0.99 32d 1 1.42mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Listing is active and offered via Exclusive Right To Sell
Financial info
Accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, USDA Loan, VA Loan
HOA & community
Mandatory associationSemi-annual HOA fee of $225HOA includes full use of facilitiesHOA managed by Neighborhood Management

Exterior

Parking
Attached garage2 covered/garage spaces
Utilities
City waterCity sewerMunicipal utility district
Home design
Single family residenceOne storyResidential property
Construction
Built in 2021Composition roofSlab foundation
Exterior features
Community poolPlaygroundLess than 0.5 acre lot

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherDisposalElectric rangeMicrowavePantryKitchen islandBreakfast barNatural stone/granite countertopsPlumbed for gas in kitchenElectric water heater
Bedrooms
4 bedrooms (all on main level)Primary bedroom (main level) with walk-in closet
Flooring
CarpetCeramic tileLaminate
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Central heating (electric)Central airCeiling fansElectric heating
Interior features
Cable TV availableHigh speed internet availableOne living areaOne dining areaSeven total roomsKitchen with breakfast bar, island, built-in cabinets and pantryPrimary bedroom with walk-in closet
Laundry & utility
Full-size washer/dryer areaWasher hookupElectric dryer hookupUtility room

HOA detail $38/mo · $456/yr

Likely covers
pool

Listing history 43 events

  1. 2026-07-14
    days on market $245,000 Active 82 DOM
  2. 2026-07-13
    days on market $245,000 Active 81 DOM
  3. 2026-07-13
    days on market $245,000 Active 80 DOM
  4. 2026-07-11
    days on market $245,000 Active 79 DOM
  5. 2026-07-10
    days on market $245,000 Active 78 DOM
  6. 2026-07-09
    days on market $245,000 Active 77 DOM
  7. 2026-07-07
    days on market $245,000 Active 75 DOM
  8. 2026-07-06
    days on market $245,000 Active 74 DOM
  9. 2026-07-06
    days on market $245,000 Active 73 DOM
  10. 2026-07-05
    days on market $245,000 Active 72 DOM
  11. 2026-07-03
    days on market $245,000 Active 71 DOM
  12. 2026-07-02
    days on market $245,000 Active 70 DOM
  13. 2026-07-01
    days on market $245,000 Active 69 DOM
  14. 2026-06-30
    days on market $245,000 Active 68 DOM
  15. 2026-06-29
    days on market $245,000 Active 67 DOM
  16. 2026-06-28
    days on market $245,000 Active 66 DOM
  17. 2026-06-27
    days on market $245,000 Active 65 DOM
  18. 2026-06-26
    days on market $245,000 Active 64 DOM
  19. 2026-06-24
    days on market $245,000 Active 62 DOM
  20. 2026-06-22
    days on market $245,000 Active 60 DOM
  21. 2026-06-21
    days on market $245,000 Active 59 DOM
  22. 2026-06-18
    days on market $245,000 Active 56 DOM
  23. 2026-06-17
    pricedays on market $245,000 Active 55 DOM
  24. 2026-06-16
    days on market $247,500 Active 54 DOM
  25. 2026-06-15
    days on market $247,500 Active 53 DOM
  26. 2026-06-13
    days on market $247,500 Active 51 DOM
  27. 2026-06-13
    days on market $247,500 Active 50 DOM
  28. 2026-06-09
    days on market $247,500 Active 47 DOM
  29. 2026-06-08
    days on market $247,500 Active 46 DOM
  30. 2026-06-07
    days on market $247,500 Active 45 DOM
  31. 2026-06-04
    remarks 699-char remark
  32. 2026-06-04
    pricedays on market $247,500 Active 42 DOM
  33. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,990 Active 41 DOM
  34. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,990 Active 40 DOM
  35. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,990 Active 39 DOM
  36. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,990 Active 38 DOM
  37. 2026-05-14
    status Active 897-char remark
  38. 2026-05-14
    historical Active Option Contract 897-char remark
  39. 2026-05-12
    price $249,990 897-char remark
  40. 2026-04-21
    listed $254,999 Active 897-char remark
  41. 2021-12-06
    soldstatus Sold 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    New! Open concept, four bedroom with two full baths and covered patio. Home includes, island kitchen, granite counters throughout, LED lighting, full sprinkler system and much more! Located in a desirable neighborhood in Caddo Mills ISD with community pool and playground, easy access to surrounding areas. Schedule a tour today! Stage 3

  42. 2021-09-14
    status Pending 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    New! Open concept, four bedroom with two full baths and covered patio. Home includes, island kitchen, granite counters throughout, LED lighting, full sprinkler system and much more! Located in a desirable neighborhood in Caddo Mills ISD with community pool and playground, easy access to surrounding areas. Schedule a tour today! Stage 3

  43. 2021-08-23
    listed $241,990 Active 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    New! Open concept, four bedroom with two full baths and covered patio. Home includes, island kitchen, granite counters throughout, LED lighting, full sprinkler system and much more! Located in a desirable neighborhood in Caddo Mills ISD with community pool and playground, easy access to surrounding areas. Schedule a tour today! Stage 3

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,475 · $540/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,475 · $540/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,938
− Mortgage interest
−$13,724
− Property taxes
−$6,475
− Insurance
−$1,225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,915
− Management
−$1,915
− HOA
−$456
− Depreciation
−$7,127
Taxable loss
−$8,898
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,136
After-tax cash flow
$-2,526/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $7,875–$23,625 screening

This move-in-ready home in Caddo Mills features modern updates and a well-maintained exterior, making it an attractive option for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both painting — fresh paint improves appearance and value
  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

C Composite school gradezoned avg 63/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Kathryn Griffis El B TX #300/4,322 Nat'l #5,998/41,679 Middle Caddo Mills Middle C+ TX #301/1,662 Nat'l #3,033/14,009 High Caddo Mills H S B+ TX #82/1,632 Nat'l #1,629/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Caddo Mills ISD
NCES district ID
4812390
Math proficiency
59% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$65,383
Composite
51.73/100
National rank
#1684
State rank
#60 of 826 in TX
B Composite livability gradescore 73/100

Livability — Caddo Mills

Score
73/100
State rank
#216
US rank
#5332

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Caddo Mills, TX
County
Hunt · 97,090 people
City population
10,265
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
10,265
Household income
$95,428
Rent vs Own
13.0% rent · 87.0% own
Severe rent burden
20% of renters

Population outlook (Hunt County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
97,090 people
By 2030
100,452 · +3.5%
By 2040
106,544 · +9.7%
By 2050
111,218 · +14.6%
By 2075
121,695 · +25.3%
By 2100
123,683 · +27.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 14% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 13% Korean 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hunt

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.5) · D 21.9% · R 77.4%
2008→2024 swing
-14.9pp toward R · 2008: -40.6pp · 2024: -55.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.5 2020: R+52.5 2016: R+56.3 2012: R+51.2 2008: R+40.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+1.2% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Price Changed $245,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-06-03 Price Changed $247,500 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-14 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-05-14 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $249,990 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $254,999 NTREIS
  • 2021-12-06 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2021-09-14 Pending NTREIS
  • 2021-08-23 Listed $241,990 NTREIS

Property tax history

+57.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,475 · -3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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