CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1030 Bradbourne Ave #42
B- Composite 66.15
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.0/30.0
  • DSCR +9.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$249,900

1030 Bradbourne Ave #42 · Duarte, CA 91010
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · Manufactured · 88 Days on market
Built 2025 Good condition $237/sqft · 78% above area ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Seller is motivated to sell, and will entertain all offers. The new manufactured home has arrived at Bradbury Vista MHP a 55+ Community in Duarte. The home will is a 2025 Skyline manufactured home with 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms at 1056 sq. ft. approx. The home has an open floor plan with a spacious living room. The kitchen has an island, with new stainless steel appliances: a Refrigerator, Dishwasher, Oven/Range, and Built-In Microwave Oven. The bedrooms are nicely sized and the primary bedroom has an adjoining bathroom with a walk-in shower and linen storage area. The laundry room has hookups for a full-size washer and dryer. The home has Central A/C and Heating, and an attached Covered Carport.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Laundry room hookups
  • Walk-in shower

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANKITCHEN ISLANDSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESWALK-IN SHOWERLINEN STORAGE AREALAUNDRY ROOM HOOKUPS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $250k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $777 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
  • Recommended offer: $235k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 3.1% in Duarte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#97 in CA, #3,529 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety D, cost of living F.
  • Duarte Unified (suburban): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #241 of 517 in CA (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 38 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($103k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $234,906 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
10.02%
Cash-on-cash
13.32%
DSCR
1.59
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$140,292
List price
$249,900
Delta
78.13%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1030 Bradbourne Ave #44 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,000 (-5%) 2mo $125,000 $125 86
1030 Bradbourne Ave #9 0.00mi 2/1.5 956 (-10%) 10mo $77,400 $81 74
1020 BRADBUORNE #82 0.02mi 2/1.0 1,100 (+4%) 18mo $97,000 $88 73
1020 BRADBOURNE Ave #27 0.06mi 2/2.0 1,152 (+9%) 14mo $268,000 $233 71
1020 BRADBOURNE Ave #4 0.06mi 3/2.0 (+1) 960 (-9%) 8mo $158,000 $165 70
1020 Bradourne Ave #72 0.06mi 2/1.0 920 (-13%) 21mo $85,000 $92 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.1%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$-262
Equity at exit
$37,261
10-year hold
IRR
6.2%
Equity multiple
1.40×
Total profit
$27,776
Equity at exit
$21,607

Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 91010

Rents YoY
-2.5%
Active inventory
38
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,169 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax est. 1.5%
$312 /mo · $3,748/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$666
Net cashflow
$777

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,186
Max offer price $249,900
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $949 -5% $863 +0% $777 +5% $690 +10% $604
Rent -10% $526 -5% $652 +0% $777 +5% $902 +10% $1,027
Rate -1.0pp $903 -0.5pp $840 base $777 +0.5pp $712 +1.0pp $646

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,475
Closing costs
$7,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2305 Sesmas St Duarte, CA 2.0 1.0 787 $3,200 $4.07 8d 1 0.21mi
917 Oak Ave Duarte, CA 3.0 2.0 1353 $3,500 $2.59 44d 1 0.54mi
1708 Second St Duarte, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $2,500 $3.33 44d 1 0.55mi
1700 Fasana Rd Duarte, CA 3.0 1.0–3.0 851 $3,551 $4.17 0d 48 0.74mi
1750 Fasana Rd Duarte, CA 4.0 1.0–4.0 1480 $4,087 $2.76 0d 37 0.74mi
1413 E Huntington Dr Duarte, CA 1.0 1.0 761 $2,774 $3.64 0d 6 0.92mi
1014 Junipero Dr Duarte, CA 3.0 1.5 1178 $2,950 $2.50 25d 1 0.96mi
1353 Pengra St Duarte, CA 3.0 2.0 1075 $3,100 $2.88 44d 1 1.21mi
1543 Delford Ave Unit 1/2 Duarte, CA 3.0 2.0 1000 $3,400 $3.40 44d 1 1.28mi
1032 Royal Oaks Dr Unit C Monrovia, CA 3.0 2.0 1192 $3,700 $3.10 8d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $249,900 Active 88 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $249,900 Active 85 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $249,900 Active 84 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,900 Active 83 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,900 Active 82 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $249,900 Active 80 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $249,900 Active 79 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $249,900 Active 76 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $249,900 Active 75 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,900 Active 74 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $249,900 Active 71 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,900 Active 70 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,900 Active 69 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,900 Active 68 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,900 Active 67 DOM
  16. 2026-04-15
    price $249,900 706-char remark
    Show marketing remark (706 chars)

    Seller is motivated to sell, and will entertain all offers. The new manufactured home has arrived at Bradbury Vista MHP a 55+ Community in Duarte. The home will is a 2025 Skyline manufactured home with 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms at 1056 sq. ft. approx. The home has an open floor plan with a spacious living room. The kitchen has an island, with new stainless steel appliances: a Refrigerator, Dishwasher, Oven/Range, and Built-In Microwave Oven. The bedrooms are nicely sized and the primary bedroom has an adjoining bathroom with a walk-in shower and linen storage area. The laundry room has hookups for a full-size washer and dryer. The home has Central A/C and Heating, and an attached Covered Carport.

  17. 2026-03-25
    listed $259,900 Active 706-char remark
    Show marketing remark (706 chars)

    Seller is motivated to sell, and will entertain all offers. The new manufactured home has arrived at Bradbury Vista MHP a 55+ Community in Duarte. The home will is a 2025 Skyline manufactured home with 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms at 1056 sq. ft. approx. The home has an open floor plan with a spacious living room. The kitchen has an island, with new stainless steel appliances: a Refrigerator, Dishwasher, Oven/Range, and Built-In Microwave Oven. The bedrooms are nicely sized and the primary bedroom has an adjoining bathroom with a walk-in shower and linen storage area. The laundry room has hookups for a full-size washer and dryer. The home has Central A/C and Heating, and an attached Covered Carport.

  18. 2026-03-09
    historical
  19. 2025-12-19
    historical
  20. 2025-12-09
    listed $259,900 Active
  21. 2025-12-09
    listed $259,900 Active
  22. 2025-10-27
    historical
  23. 2025-08-17
    status Active
  24. 2025-07-18
    listed $279,900 Active
  25. 2025-06-28
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$38,032
− Mortgage interest
−$13,998
− Property taxes
−$3,748
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,043
− Management
−$3,043
− Depreciation
−$7,270
Taxable income
$5,681
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,363
After-tax cash flow
$7,958/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in good condition with a fresh paint job and new appliances, making it a good investment for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior — A fresh coat of paint can enhance curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior — A fresh coat of paint can enhance curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duarte Unified
NCES district ID
0611520
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$63,411
Composite
33.66/100
National rank
#5392
State rank
#241 of 517 in CA

Livability — Duarte

Score
76/100
State rank
#97
US rank
#3529

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B Employment A+ Housing B Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Duarte, CA
County
Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
City population
27,589
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
27,589
Household income
$102,705
Rent vs Own
39.0% rent · 61.0% own
Severe rent burden
844.0

Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,940,515 people
By 2030
11,256,481 · +2.9%
By 2040
11,729,929 · +7.2%
By 2050
11,948,407 · +9.2%
By 2075
11,818,114 · +8.0%
By 2100
10,842,928 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 56% Two or more races 21% White 20% Asian 16% Black 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 42%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
33% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
42% English-only · Spanish 42% Chinese 6% Tagalog/Filipino 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -790.18%
Current HPI
381.0753
Rent YoY
▼ -2.46%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $249,900 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $259,900 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-12-19 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-12-09 Listed $259,900 CRMLS
  • 2025-12-09 Listed $259,900 CRMLS
  • 2025-10-27 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-08-17 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2025-07-18 Listed $279,900 CRMLS
  • 2025-06-28 Coming Soon CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…