101 Windsor Ct · Daphne, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.8/15.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$244,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
So much added value in this spacious Lake Forest craftsman. This property boasts a massive level yard that includes two exterior storage buildings, tile and LVP throughout, 10 x 27 screened in back porch with power, ceiling fans, and doggie door, spacious chef's kitchen with gas range and loads of cabinet space, two living areas, and a12 x 13 attached Florida room just to name a few. Call your favorite agent today for your personal tour. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
Key facts
- Massive level yard
- Gas range
- 0.35 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-13 ($-159/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $243k (1.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (22.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $190k (22.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.9% in Daphne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#18 in AL, #3,949 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Baldwin County (rural): math 33% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #18 of 129 in AL (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Daphne Elementary School (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #142 of 627 statewide, top 25%, 693 students, 53% FRL); Daphne Middle School (math 25% / reading 62%, grade D, #45 of 257 statewide, top 18%, 846 students, 45% FRL); Daphne High School (math 41% / reading 40%, grade F, #33 of 305 statewide, top 11%, 1,725 students, 40% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 590 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,883 units permitted in Baldwin County in 2024 (481 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baldwin County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.23%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $270,911
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 Windsor Ct | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,949 (0%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $128 | 95 |
| 111 Tibidow Cir | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,937 (-1%) | 1mo | $288,000 | $149 | 77 |
| 566 Stuart St | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,893 (-3%) | 8mo | $242,900 | $128 | 70 |
| 119 Lake Forest Blvd | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,839 (-6%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $98 | 69 |
| 28374 N Main St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 2,010 (+3%) | 5mo | $260,000 | $129 | 69 |
| 7001 Wedgewood Ct | 0.21mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,007 (+3%) | 6mo | $288,000 | $143 | 69 |
| 134 Fairway Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,960 (+1%) | 2mo | $240,000 | $122 | 67 |
| 139 Fairway Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,928 (-1%) | 1mo | $290,000 | $150 | 65 |
| 192 Ridgewood Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,833 (-6%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $136 | 59 |
| 103 Shirley Cir | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,703 (-13%) | 6mo | $267,000 | $157 | 56 |
| 137 Fairway Dr | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,008 (+3%) | 3mo | $320,000 | $159 | 55 |
| 130 Chatam Loop | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,692 (-13%) | 8mo | $235,000 | $139 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-43,020
- Equity at exit
- $36,515
- IRR
- -12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-48,522
- Equity at exit
- $21,174
Cash invested: $68,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36526
- Home prices YoY
- -21.3%
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 590
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,895 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,284
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $647/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$70
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$398
- Net cashflow
- $-13
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,225
- Closing costs
- $7,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110 Windsor Dr Daphne, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1706 | $1,800 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 200 Parma Dr Unit 04 Daphne, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $1,600 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 200 Parma Dr Unit A-2 Daphne, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $1,550 | $1.09 | 13d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2 Lake Shore Dr Daphne, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1380 | $2,350 | $1.70 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 233 Ridgewood Dr Daphne, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1922 | $1,750 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 662 Ridgewood Dr Daphne, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2548 | $2,500 | $0.98 | 13d | 1 | 1.08mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $70 · $840/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-14status Pending
-
2026-04-12$244,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $647 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,004 · $84/mo
- Expected delta
- +$357/yr (+$30/mo · 55.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,740
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,718
- − Property taxes
- −$647
- − Insurance
- −$1,224
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,819
- − Management
- −$1,819
- − HOA
- −$840
- − Depreciation
- −$7,124
- Taxable loss
- −$4,453
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,069
- After-tax cash flow
- $910/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baldwin County
- NCES district ID
- 0100270
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,677
- Composite
- 38.61/100
- National rank
- #4157
- State rank
- #18 of 129 in AL
Livability — Daphne
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #3949
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Daphne, AL
- County
- Baldwin County · 181,514 people
- City population
- 36,484
- Metro
- Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,484
- Household income
- $88,750
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 535.0
Population outlook (Baldwin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,264 people
- By 2030
- 270,315 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 312,967 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 352,262 · +41.9%
- By 2075
- 438,841 · +76.8%
- By 2100
- 487,736 · +96.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 12% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baldwin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.2) · D 20.5% · R 78.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.7pp toward R · 2008: -51.5pp · 2024: -58.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.2 2020: R+53.8 2016: R+57.8 2012: R+55.8 2008: R+51.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.47%
- Current HPI
- 227.2692
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.72%
- Metro
- Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Pending — BCAR
- 2026-04-12 Listed $244,900 BCAR
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2021): $647 · -6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…