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233 N US Hwy 45
B Composite 74.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$63,500

233 N US Hwy 45 · Cisne, IL 62823
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · SingleFamily · 183 Days on market
Built 1940 6,098 sqft lot $58/sqft · 57% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent Location, Great Layout, Lovely Yard, Amazing Price. This adorable 3 Bdrm home is priced at only $45,000 and has it all just ready for a new owner. The exterior is maintenance free, the yard has lots of shade and the perennials are planted, it has a detached 1 car garage plus separate storage area and dog pin. The interior features a nice size private master with a 11 x 7 walk in closet, a conveniently located laundry room with lots of storage, and a spacious eat-in kitchen. Located on the North edge of Cisne you are just close enough but not to far away from town. If you are looking for a cute affordable home in the Cisne area then don't wait. Homes with 3 bedrooms, this nice, at this price sell fast. None

Key facts

  • Laundry room
  • Detached hobby shop
  • Enclosed breezeway

Tags

UPDATED VINYL FLOORINGLAUNDRY ROOMENCLOSED BREEZEWAYDETACHED GARAGEDETACHED HOBBY SHOPBEAUTIFULLY LANDSCAPED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $64k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $363 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($943 rent vs $64k).
  • Recommended offer: $56k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,064 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
  • North Wayne CUSD 200 (rural): math 30% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #440 of 919 in IL (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($439 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.3% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 183 days — a 12% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask is 41% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $48k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $55,880 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 183 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
13.15%
Cash-on-cash
24.49%
DSCR
2.09
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$147,442
List price
$63,500
Delta
-56.93%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

2.27% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.2%
Equity multiple
2.59×
Total profit
$28,331
Equity at exit
$25,992
10-year hold
IRR
30.4%
Equity multiple
5.02×
Total profit
$71,536
Equity at exit
$38,169

Cash invested: $17,780 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62823

Home prices YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
7
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$943 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$333
Tax from tax record
$23 /mo · $272/yr
Insurance
$26
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$198
Net cashflow
$363

Break-even live

Break-even rent $484
Max offer price $63,500
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,875
Closing costs
$1,905
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $63,500 Active 183 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $63,500 Active 182 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $63,500 Active 181 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $63,500 Active 180 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $63,500 Active 178 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $63,500 Active 177 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $63,500 Active 174 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $63,500 Active 173 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $63,500 Active 172 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $63,500 Active 171 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $63,500 Active 168 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $63,500 Active 167 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $63,500 Active 166 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $63,500 Active 165 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $63,500 Active 164 DOM
  16. 2026-05-04
    price $63,500
  17. 2026-03-10
    price $84,500
  18. 2026-01-06
    historical
  19. 2025-10-16
    listed Active
  20. 2019-11-14
    soldstatus $48,000
  21. 2018-07-31
    soldstatus $43,500
  22. 2018-07-27
    soldstatus $43,500 725-char remark
    Show marketing remark (725 chars)

    Excellent Location, Great Layout, Lovely Yard, Amazing Price. This adorable 3 Bdrm home is priced at only $45,000 and has it all just ready for a new owner. The exterior is maintenance free, the yard has lots of shade and the perennials are planted, it has a detached 1 car garage plus separate storage area and dog pin. The interior features a nice size private master with a 11 x 7 walk in closet, a conveniently located laundry room with lots of storage, and a spacious eat-in kitchen. Located on the North edge of Cisne you are just close enough but not to far away from town. If you are looking for a cute affordable home in the Cisne area then don't wait. Homes with 3 bedrooms, this nice, at this price sell fast. None

  23. 2018-07-27
    soldstatus $43,500 725-char remark
    Show marketing remark (725 chars)

    Excellent Location, Great Layout, Lovely Yard, Amazing Price. This adorable 3 Bdrm home is priced at only $45,000 and has it all just ready for a new owner. The exterior is maintenance free, the yard has lots of shade and the perennials are planted, it has a detached 1 car garage plus separate storage area and dog pin. The interior features a nice size private master with a 11 x 7 walk in closet, a conveniently located laundry room with lots of storage, and a spacious eat-in kitchen. Located on the North edge of Cisne you are just close enough but not to far away from town. If you are looking for a cute affordable home in the Cisne area then don't wait. Homes with 3 bedrooms, this nice, at this price sell fast. None

  24. 2018-05-22
    listed $45,000 725-char remark
    Show marketing remark (725 chars)

    Excellent Location, Great Layout, Lovely Yard, Amazing Price. This adorable 3 Bdrm home is priced at only $45,000 and has it all just ready for a new owner. The exterior is maintenance free, the yard has lots of shade and the perennials are planted, it has a detached 1 car garage plus separate storage area and dog pin. The interior features a nice size private master with a 11 x 7 walk in closet, a conveniently located laundry room with lots of storage, and a spacious eat-in kitchen. Located on the North edge of Cisne you are just close enough but not to far away from town. If you are looking for a cute affordable home in the Cisne area then don't wait. Homes with 3 bedrooms, this nice, at this price sell fast. None

  25. 2018-05-22
    listed $45,000 725-char remark
    Show marketing remark (725 chars)

    Excellent Location, Great Layout, Lovely Yard, Amazing Price. This adorable 3 Bdrm home is priced at only $45,000 and has it all just ready for a new owner. The exterior is maintenance free, the yard has lots of shade and the perennials are planted, it has a detached 1 car garage plus separate storage area and dog pin. The interior features a nice size private master with a 11 x 7 walk in closet, a conveniently located laundry room with lots of storage, and a spacious eat-in kitchen. Located on the North edge of Cisne you are just close enough but not to far away from town. If you are looking for a cute affordable home in the Cisne area then don't wait. Homes with 3 bedrooms, this nice, at this price sell fast. None

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$272 · $23/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$857 · $71/mo
Expected delta
+$585/yr (+$49/mo · 214.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,316
− Mortgage interest
−$3,557
− Property taxes
−$272
− Insurance
−$318
− Repairs & maintenance
−$905
− Management
−$905
− Depreciation
−$1,847
Taxable income
$3,512
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$843
After-tax cash flow
$3,511/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Wayne CUSD 200
NCES district ID
1710240
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -20.00%
Median HH income
$47,451
Composite
30.75/100
National rank
#11402
State rank
#440 of 919 in IL

Livability — Cisne

Score
59/100
State rank
#1064
US rank
#20361

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cisne, IL
City population
1,962
Population (ZIP)
1,962

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,695 people
By 2030
15,277 · -2.7%
By 2040
14,526 · -7.4%
By 2050
13,826 · -11.9%
By 2075
12,049 · -23.2%
By 2100
9,912 · -36.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
82% English-only · German/W. Germanic 14% Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.9) · D 14.0% · R 84.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-35.7pp toward R · 2008: -35.2pp · 2024: -70.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.9 2020: R+70.5 2016: R+71.7 2012: R+58.2 2008: R+35.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.27%
Current HPI
112.1101
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+41.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $63,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $84,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-16 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
  • 2018-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $43,500 Public Records
  • 2018-07-27 Sold (MLS) $43,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-07-27 Sold (MLS) $43,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-05-22 Listed $45,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-05-22 Listed $45,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-6.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $272 · -10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…