233 N US Hwy 45 · Cisne, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.1/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$63,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent Location, Great Layout, Lovely Yard, Amazing Price. This adorable 3 Bdrm home is priced at only $45,000 and has it all just ready for a new owner. The exterior is maintenance free, the yard has lots of shade and the perennials are planted, it has a detached 1 car garage plus separate storage area and dog pin. The interior features a nice size private master with a 11 x 7 walk in closet, a conveniently located laundry room with lots of storage, and a spacious eat-in kitchen. Located on the North edge of Cisne you are just close enough but not to far away from town. If you are looking for a cute affordable home in the Cisne area then don't wait. Homes with 3 bedrooms, this nice, at this price sell fast. None
Key facts
- Laundry room
- Detached hobby shop
- Enclosed breezeway
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $64k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $363 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($943 rent vs $64k).
- Recommended offer: $56k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,064 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
- North Wayne CUSD 200 (rural): math 30% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #440 of 919 in IL (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($439 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.3% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 183 days — a 12% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask is 41% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $48k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 183 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.49%
- DSCR
- 2.09
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $147,442
- List price
- $63,500
- Delta
- -56.93%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
2.27% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.59×
- Total profit
- $28,331
- Equity at exit
- $25,992
- IRR
- 30.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.02×
- Total profit
- $71,536
- Equity at exit
- $38,169
Cash invested: $17,780 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62823
- Home prices YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 7
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $943 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$333
- Tax from tax record
- −$23 /mo · $272/yr
- Insurance
- −$26
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$198
- Net cashflow
- $363
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,875
- Closing costs
- $1,905
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $63,500 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $63,500 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $63,500 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $63,500 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $63,500 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $63,500 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $63,500 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $63,500 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $63,500 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $63,500 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $63,500 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $63,500 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $63,500 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $63,500 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $63,500 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $63,500
-
2026-03-10price $84,500
-
2026-01-06historical
-
2025-10-16Active
-
2019-11-14soldstatus $48,000
-
2018-07-31soldstatus $43,500
-
2018-07-27soldstatus $43,500 725-char remark
Show marketing remark (725 chars)
Excellent Location, Great Layout, Lovely Yard, Amazing Price. This adorable 3 Bdrm home is priced at only $45,000 and has it all just ready for a new owner. The exterior is maintenance free, the yard has lots of shade and the perennials are planted, it has a detached 1 car garage plus separate storage area and dog pin. The interior features a nice size private master with a 11 x 7 walk in closet, a conveniently located laundry room with lots of storage, and a spacious eat-in kitchen. Located on the North edge of Cisne you are just close enough but not to far away from town. If you are looking for a cute affordable home in the Cisne area then don't wait. Homes with 3 bedrooms, this nice, at this price sell fast. None
-
2018-07-27soldstatus $43,500 725-char remark
Show marketing remark (725 chars)
Excellent Location, Great Layout, Lovely Yard, Amazing Price. This adorable 3 Bdrm home is priced at only $45,000 and has it all just ready for a new owner. The exterior is maintenance free, the yard has lots of shade and the perennials are planted, it has a detached 1 car garage plus separate storage area and dog pin. The interior features a nice size private master with a 11 x 7 walk in closet, a conveniently located laundry room with lots of storage, and a spacious eat-in kitchen. Located on the North edge of Cisne you are just close enough but not to far away from town. If you are looking for a cute affordable home in the Cisne area then don't wait. Homes with 3 bedrooms, this nice, at this price sell fast. None
-
2018-05-22$45,000 725-char remark
Show marketing remark (725 chars)
Excellent Location, Great Layout, Lovely Yard, Amazing Price. This adorable 3 Bdrm home is priced at only $45,000 and has it all just ready for a new owner. The exterior is maintenance free, the yard has lots of shade and the perennials are planted, it has a detached 1 car garage plus separate storage area and dog pin. The interior features a nice size private master with a 11 x 7 walk in closet, a conveniently located laundry room with lots of storage, and a spacious eat-in kitchen. Located on the North edge of Cisne you are just close enough but not to far away from town. If you are looking for a cute affordable home in the Cisne area then don't wait. Homes with 3 bedrooms, this nice, at this price sell fast. None
-
2018-05-22$45,000 725-char remark
Show marketing remark (725 chars)
Excellent Location, Great Layout, Lovely Yard, Amazing Price. This adorable 3 Bdrm home is priced at only $45,000 and has it all just ready for a new owner. The exterior is maintenance free, the yard has lots of shade and the perennials are planted, it has a detached 1 car garage plus separate storage area and dog pin. The interior features a nice size private master with a 11 x 7 walk in closet, a conveniently located laundry room with lots of storage, and a spacious eat-in kitchen. Located on the North edge of Cisne you are just close enough but not to far away from town. If you are looking for a cute affordable home in the Cisne area then don't wait. Homes with 3 bedrooms, this nice, at this price sell fast. None
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $272 · $23/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $857 · $71/mo
- Expected delta
- +$585/yr (+$49/mo · 214.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,316
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,557
- − Property taxes
- −$272
- − Insurance
- −$318
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$905
- − Management
- −$905
- − Depreciation
- −$1,847
- Taxable income
- $3,512
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$843
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,511/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Wayne CUSD 200
- NCES district ID
- 1710240
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -20.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,451
- Composite
- 30.75/100
- National rank
- #11402
- State rank
- #440 of 919 in IL
Livability — Cisne
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1064
- US rank
- #20361
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cisne, IL
- City population
- 1,962
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,962
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,695 people
- By 2030
- 15,277 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 14,526 · -7.4%
- By 2050
- 13,826 · -11.9%
- By 2075
- 12,049 · -23.2%
- By 2100
- 9,912 · -36.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · German/W. Germanic 14% Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+70.9) · D 14.0% · R 84.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.7pp toward R · 2008: -35.2pp · 2024: -70.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+70.9 2020: R+70.5 2016: R+71.7 2012: R+58.2 2008: R+35.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.27%
- Current HPI
- 112.1101
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+41.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $63,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $84,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-16 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 2018-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $43,500 Public Records
- 2018-07-27 Sold (MLS) $43,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-27 Sold (MLS) $43,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-05-22 Listed $45,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-05-22 Listed $45,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-6.6%/yrLatest (2024): $272 · -10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…