🌊 Lakefront
32781 Us Hwy 231 · Ashville, AL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$108,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A long list of recent updates has transformed this gorgeous brick home into a property anyone would be proud to call their own. You will live on a large 1.5-acre lot with expanses of outdoor space to enjoy along with a prime location close to schools, parks and the center of Ashville. The three-bedroom, two-bathroom layout is spacious and inviting with updated flooring (2019), quality finishes and fresh paint in the main living areas. The eager cook will adore the well-appointed kitchen with a double oven, electric stovetop, granite counters, a breakfast bar and a separate dining room that’s ready to host guests. A new roof and gutters were installed this year plus the HVAC was installed in 2020 and there are ceiling fans throughout, generous closets and covered parking. A new privacy fence envelops the back of the property while the DIY enthusiast will appreciate the workshop and storage building.
Key facts
- 1.5 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1990
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property sits on approximately 1.5 acres; Subdivision: ASHVILLE
- HOA & community: Garbage fee billed quarterly
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; Parking at map level; 2-car carport
- Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Electric water heater; Internet availability unknown
- Home design: Existing structure; Four-sided brick construction; Slab foundation; Tri-level: No; Split level: No; Split foyer: No
- Construction: 4-side brick construction; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: No pool; No patio; No deck; No garden/patio space; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Stone countertops; Electric cooktop; Built-in dishwasher; Built-in microwave; Double oven
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level; Two additional bedrooms on main level; Den/family room on main level
- Flooring: Hardwood laminate; Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Tub/shower combo
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Heat pump; Central cooling
- Interior features: Smooth ceilings; No special interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Pull-down attic
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $108k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $814 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $108k).
- Cap rate 15.3% vs local median 3.7% in Ashville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#385 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- St Clair County (rural): math 21% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #33 of 129 in AL (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ashville Elementary School (math 27% / reading 57%, grade F, #213 of 627 statewide, top 37%, 506 students, 72% FRL); Ashville High School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #90 of 305 statewide, top 35%, 385 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 41% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 557 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $747 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.82% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.30%
- DSCR
- 2.44
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $508,406
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256 Co Rd | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,400 (+10%) | 16mo | $560,000 | $233 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.14×
- Total profit
- $34,359
- Equity at exit
- $16,103
- IRR
- 34.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.20×
- Total profit
- $96,760
- Equity at exit
- $9,338
Cash invested: $30,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35953
- Home prices YoY
- -15.2%
- Active inventory
- 57
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,961 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$566
- Tax from tax record
- −$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$412
- Net cashflow
- $814
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,000
- Closing costs
- $3,240
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $108,000 Pending 9 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $108,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $108,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $108,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $108,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 559-char remark
-
2026-06-03$108,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,485 · $124/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,485 · $124/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,529
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,050
- − Property taxes
- −$1,485
- − Insurance
- −$540
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,882
- − Management
- −$1,882
- − Depreciation
- −$3,142
- Taxable income
- $8,548
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,052
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,715/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St Clair County
- NCES district ID
- 0103062
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -34.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,324
- Composite
- 31.79/100
- National rank
- #5887
- State rank
- #33 of 129 in AL
Livability — Ashville
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #385
- US rank
- #21873
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ashville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,020
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 94,158 people
- By 2030
- 97,008 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 101,615 · +7.9%
- By 2050
- 104,537 · +11.0%
- By 2075
- 109,350 · +16.1%
- By 2100
- 106,785 · +13.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Black 8% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.1) · D 17.6% · R 81.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.9pp no change · 2008: -63.2pp · 2024: -64.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.1 2020: R+64.0 2016: R+68.6 2012: R+66.1 2008: R+63.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.36%
- Current HPI
- 180.043
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
-50.7% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $108,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-12-06 Sold (MLS) $225,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-10-27 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-10-21 Price Changed $225,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-10-07 Listed $235,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-09-29 Coming Soon $235,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2019-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $166,300 Public Records
- 2019-06-12 Sold (MLS) $166,300 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2019-04-15 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2019-04-09 Price Changed $179,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2019-03-12 Price Changed $199,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2019-02-27 Listed $219,000 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
+12.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,485 · +99.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…