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821 Cherry St
B Composite 70.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$50,000

821 Cherry St · Oshkosh, WI 54901
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,288 sqft · Other public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1920 3,484 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor Special in Oshkosh!2-bedroom, 1-bath home with great potential, ready for major renovations. Features a large living room, spacious dining area, and a generously sized kitchen. Bonus room on the main level offers flexible use--office, den, or extra living space. Two bedrooms and a full, spacious bath complete the main floor. * Length and width of rooms are estimated * Ideal for investors or buyers looking to build equity. Cash offers preferred.

Key facts

  • 3,484 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 14 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer
  • Home design: Two-story single-family home; Residential zoning; Lot less than 1/2 acre (approx. 0.08 acre)
  • Construction: Constructed year listed as 'Other - See Remarks'
  • Exterior features: Vinyl exterior

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (approx. 15 x 17)
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the upper level (approx. 16 x 18); Second bedroom on the upper level (approx. 9 x 8)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas fuel
  • Interior features: Bonus room on the main level; Living room on the main level; Dining room on the main level; Kitchen on the main level; No basement (slab foundation)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $552 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Cap rate 19.5% vs local median 3.7% in Oshkosh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#29 in WI, #574 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+.
  • Oshkosh Area School District (urban): math 33% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #246 of 342 in WI (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 82 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 652 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (333 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Winnebago County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $50,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.53%
Cap rate
19.54%
Cash-on-cash
47.31%
DSCR
3.11
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
47.2%
Equity multiple
3.12×
Total profit
$29,697
Equity at exit
$7,455
10-year hold
IRR
53.9%
Equity multiple
6.89×
Total profit
$82,406
Equity at exit
$4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 54901

Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
82
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,267 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$166 /mo · $1,995/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$266
Net cashflow
$552

Break-even live

Break-even rent $569
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 51%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
825 Wisconsin St Unit 1B Oshkosh, WI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,199 $1.00 43d 1 0.08mi
728 Wisconsin St Oshkosh, WI 2.0–3.0 1.0 950 $1,100 $1.16 43d 2 0.14mi
728 Wisconsin St Apt 3 Oshkosh, WI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,100 $1.16 21d 1 0.14mi
919 Wright St Unit A Oshkosh, WI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 0.22mi
306 Wisconsin St Oshkosh, WI 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,500 $1.00 43d 1 0.36mi
512 Algoma Blvd Unit 212 Oshkosh, WI 2.0 1.0 900 $999 $1.11 13d 1 0.37mi
650 N Main St Oshkosh, WI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 925 $1,524 $1.65 21d 12 0.49mi
95 Dawes St Oshkosh, WI 3.0 2.0 1520 $1,650 $1.09 43d 1 0.54mi
155 Jackson St Oshkosh, WI 2.0 1.0–2.0 716 $1,775 $2.48 21d 8 0.65mi
319 E Irving Ave Oshkosh, WI 3.0 1.5 1384 $1,250 $0.90 43d 1 0.71mi
417 Marion Rd Oshkosh, WI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 778 $2,500 $3.21 13d 10 0.77mi
622 Grand St Oshkosh, WI 2.0 1.0 900 $895 $0.99 43d 1 0.79mi
405 Michigan St Unit 1061622P Oshkosh, WI 2.0 1.0 1097 $2,526 $2.30 21d 1 0.92mi
100 N Main St Oshkosh, WI 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,495 $1.36 13d 1 0.94mi
830 Stillwell Ave Unit 828 Oshkosh, WI 3.0 1.5 960 $1,299 $1.35 21d 1 0.94mi
532 W 5th Ave Oshkosh, WI 2.0 1.0 1120 $2,495 $2.23 43d 1 0.96mi
1525 Arboretum Dr Unit D Oshkosh, WI 2.0 2.0 1150 $1,475 $1.28 13d 1 0.96mi
548 Bowen St Oshkosh, WI 2.0 1.0 900 $850 $0.94 13d 1 1.06mi
212 W 8th Ave Oshkosh, WI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,099 $1.00 21d 1 1.11mi
513 Evans St Unit 1514469P Oshkosh, WI 3.0 1.5 1270 $2,909 $2.29 21d 1 1.13mi
106 W 9th Ave Oshkosh, WI 2.0 1.0 900 $995 $1.11 43d 1 1.17mi
1120 E Parkway Ave Oshkosh, WI 2.0 2.0 950 $1,195 $1.26 13d 1 1.25mi
904 W 8th Ave Oshkosh, WI 3.0 1.0 1759 $1,600 $0.91 13d 1 1.27mi
835 Waugoo Ave Unit A Oshkosh, WI 2.0 1.0 1000 $995 $0.99 43d 1 1.33mi
1119 S Main St Unit 1121 Oshkosh, WI 3.0 1.0 1066 $1,250 $1.17 21d 1 1.39mi
1860 Evans St #3 Oshkosh, WI 2.0 1.0 875 $950 $1.09 13d 1 1.43mi
2001 Evans St Oshkosh, WI 3.0 1.5 900 $1,399 $1.55 21d 2 1.44mi
1510 Witzel Ave Oshkosh, WI 3.0 2.0 950 $1,399 $1.47 13d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 458-char remark
  2. 2026-05-05
    status Active 458-char remark
  3. 2026-04-30
    historical 458-char remark
  4. 2026-04-17
    listed $50,000 Active 458-char remark
  5. 2024-08-01
    soldstatus $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,995 · $166/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,995 · $166/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,208
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$1,995
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,217
− Management
−$1,217
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$6,275
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,506
After-tax cash flow
$5,117/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oshkosh Area School District
NCES district ID
5511190
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,048
Composite
28.92/100
National rank
#6634
State rank
#246 of 342 in WI

Livability — Oshkosh

Score
85/100
State rank
#29
US rank
#574

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oshkosh, WI
County
Winnebago County · 155,689 people
City population
81,810
Metro
Oshkosh-Neenah, WI
Population (ZIP)
37,294
Household income
$61,794
Rent vs Own
50.4% rent · 49.6% own
Severe rent burden
1484.0

Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
175,480 people
By 2030
177,928 · +1.4%
By 2040
180,873 · +3.1%
By 2050
181,302 · +3.3%
By 2075
184,071 · +4.9%
By 2100
175,932 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.9% · R 51.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-16.4pp toward R · 2008: 11.7pp · 2024: -4.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.8 2020: R+4.0 2016: R+7.4 2012: D+3.8 2008: D+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -128.12%
Current HPI
187.7253
Rent YoY
▲ 4.97%
Metro
Oshkosh-Neenah, WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+42.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Sold (MLS) $50,000 METROMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Pending METROMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Relisted METROMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listing Removed METROMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $50,000 METROMLS
  • 2024-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,995 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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