821 Cherry St · Oshkosh, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor Special in Oshkosh!2-bedroom, 1-bath home with great potential, ready for major renovations. Features a large living room, spacious dining area, and a generously sized kitchen. Bonus room on the main level offers flexible use--office, den, or extra living space. Two bedrooms and a full, spacious bath complete the main floor. * Length and width of rooms are estimated * Ideal for investors or buyers looking to build equity. Cash offers preferred.
Key facts
- 3,484 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 14 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer
- Home design: Two-story single-family home; Residential zoning; Lot less than 1/2 acre (approx. 0.08 acre)
- Construction: Constructed year listed as 'Other - See Remarks'
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (approx. 15 x 17)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the upper level (approx. 16 x 18); Second bedroom on the upper level (approx. 9 x 8)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas fuel
- Interior features: Bonus room on the main level; Living room on the main level; Dining room on the main level; Kitchen on the main level; No basement (slab foundation)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $552 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Cap rate 19.5% vs local median 3.7% in Oshkosh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#29 in WI, #574 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+.
- Oshkosh Area School District (urban): math 33% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #246 of 342 in WI (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 82 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 652 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (333 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Winnebago County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 47.31%
- DSCR
- 3.11
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 47.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.12×
- Total profit
- $29,697
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- 53.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.89×
- Total profit
- $82,406
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 54901
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 82
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,267 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$166 /mo · $1,995/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$266
- Net cashflow
- $552
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 825 Wisconsin St Unit 1B Oshkosh, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,199 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 728 Wisconsin St Oshkosh, WI | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 43d | 2 | 0.14mi |
| 728 Wisconsin St Apt 3 Oshkosh, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 919 Wright St Unit A Oshkosh, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 306 Wisconsin St Oshkosh, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 512 Algoma Blvd Unit 212 Oshkosh, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $999 | $1.11 | 13d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 650 N Main St Oshkosh, WI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $1,524 | $1.65 | 21d | 12 | 0.49mi |
| 95 Dawes St Oshkosh, WI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1520 | $1,650 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 155 Jackson St Oshkosh, WI | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 716 | $1,775 | $2.48 | 21d | 8 | 0.65mi |
| 319 E Irving Ave Oshkosh, WI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1384 | $1,250 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 417 Marion Rd Oshkosh, WI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 778 | $2,500 | $3.21 | 13d | 10 | 0.77mi |
| 622 Grand St Oshkosh, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 405 Michigan St Unit 1061622P Oshkosh, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1097 | $2,526 | $2.30 | 21d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 100 N Main St Oshkosh, WI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,495 | $1.36 | 13d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 830 Stillwell Ave Unit 828 Oshkosh, WI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 960 | $1,299 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 532 W 5th Ave Oshkosh, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $2,495 | $2.23 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1525 Arboretum Dr Unit D Oshkosh, WI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,475 | $1.28 | 13d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 548 Bowen St Oshkosh, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 13d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 212 W 8th Ave Oshkosh, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,099 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 513 Evans St Unit 1514469P Oshkosh, WI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1270 | $2,909 | $2.29 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 106 W 9th Ave Oshkosh, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1120 E Parkway Ave Oshkosh, WI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,195 | $1.26 | 13d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 904 W 8th Ave Oshkosh, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1759 | $1,600 | $0.91 | 13d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 835 Waugoo Ave Unit A Oshkosh, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $995 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1119 S Main St Unit 1121 Oshkosh, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1066 | $1,250 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1860 Evans St #3 Oshkosh, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $950 | $1.09 | 13d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2001 Evans St Oshkosh, WI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,399 | $1.55 | 21d | 2 | 1.44mi |
| 1510 Witzel Ave Oshkosh, WI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,399 | $1.47 | 13d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 458-char remark
-
2026-05-05status Active 458-char remark
-
2026-04-30historical 458-char remark
-
2026-04-17$50,000 Active 458-char remark
-
2024-08-01soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,995 · $166/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,995 · $166/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,208
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$1,995
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,217
- − Management
- −$1,217
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $6,275
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,506
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,117/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oshkosh Area School District
- NCES district ID
- 5511190
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,048
- Composite
- 28.92/100
- National rank
- #6634
- State rank
- #246 of 342 in WI
Livability — Oshkosh
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #29
- US rank
- #574
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oshkosh, WI
- County
- Winnebago County · 155,689 people
- City population
- 81,810
- Metro
- Oshkosh-Neenah, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,294
- Household income
- $61,794
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1484.0
Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 175,480 people
- By 2030
- 177,928 · +1.4%
- By 2040
- 180,873 · +3.1%
- By 2050
- 181,302 · +3.3%
- By 2075
- 184,071 · +4.9%
- By 2100
- 175,932 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.9% · R 51.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.4pp toward R · 2008: 11.7pp · 2024: -4.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.8 2020: R+4.0 2016: R+7.4 2012: D+3.8 2008: D+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -128.12%
- Current HPI
- 187.7253
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.97%
- Metro
- Oshkosh-Neenah, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
|
||
Price history
+42.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Sold (MLS) $50,000 METROMLS
- 2026-05-18 Pending — METROMLS
- 2026-05-05 Relisted — METROMLS
- 2026-04-30 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $50,000 METROMLS
- 2024-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2024): $1,995 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…