1482 N Lawnwood Cir Unit 30-d · Fort Pierce, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- Cash flow +9.4/30.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$162,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover the perfect blend of affordability and convenience in this charming two-story townhome, ideally situated just minutes from Historic Downtown Fort Pierce and the pristine beaches of Florida's Treasure Coast. Nestled in a quiet corner of the community, this residence offers exceptional privacy while remaining only a short stroll from the sparkling community pool. With spacious living areas and endless potential, this townhome is ready for your personal touch to transform it into the cozy retreat you've been dreaming of. New roof in 2024 and no upcoming assessments!
Key facts
- Two story townhome
- New roof in 2024
- $460 HOA
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community of 128 units; Monthly HOA fee of $460; HOA covers insurance, grounds maintenance, common real estate tax, and recreation facilities; Community amenities include parking, a pool, and tennis courts; Pets allowed with possible size limits and restrictions
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer and water available
- Home design: Townhouse; Resale condition; Two-story building; North-facing
- Construction: CBS construction; Composition/shingle roof
- Exterior features: Patio; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: No additional interior features listed; Blinds on windows
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area located inside the unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $162k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-115 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $145k (10.3% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $162k).
- Recommended offer: $143k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.7% in Fort Pierce — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#226 in FL, #3,360 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, amenities F.
- St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,854/mo this rent would consume 73% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1995% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 182 days — a 12% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 182 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.05%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $191,232
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 Colonial Rd #6 | 0.74mi | 2/2.5 | 1,428 (+8%) | 20mo | $205,000 | $144 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-27,627
- Equity at exit
- $24,155
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-7,630
- Equity at exit
- $14,007
Cash invested: $45,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34950
- Home prices YoY
- -20.2%
- Rents YoY
- 5.9%
- Active inventory
- 165
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,854 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$850
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$202 /mo · $2,430/yr
- Insurance
- −$68
- HOA
- −$460
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$389
- Net cashflow
- $-115
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,500
- Closing costs
- $4,860
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1433 Captains Walk Unit A Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $2,500 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1439 Captains Walk Unit 20D Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $2,000 | $1.56 | 21d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1567 Pheasant Walk Unit B Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,900 | $1.48 | 14d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1800 Nebraska Ave Unit 202 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1312 | $1,749 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1800 Nebraska Ave Unit 103 Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1042 | $1,799 | $1.73 | 23d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1810 Nebraska Ave Unit 106 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1042 | $1,699 | $1.63 | 14d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1810 Nebraska Ave Apt 101 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $1,699 | $1.64 | 23d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1830 Nebraska Ave Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 924 | $1,799 | $1.95 | 14d | 5 | 0.31mi |
| 1840 Nebraska Ave Apt 106 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 997 | $1,679 | $1.68 | 14d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1840 Nebraska Ave Apt 101 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $1,699 | $1.64 | 14d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1820 Nebraska Ave Apt 201 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $1,699 | $1.64 | 23d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1820 Nebraska Ave Apt 102 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 997 | $1,679 | $1.68 | 23d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1904 Havana Ave #16 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,900 | $1.59 | 14d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 624 S 12th St Unit B Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 14d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1701 Sunrise Blvd Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1518 | $2,000 | $1.32 | 14d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1406 Citrus Ave Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,600 | $1.72 | 14d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1016 Chipola Rd Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2016 S 10th St Unit A Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1120 | $1,595 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2050 Oleander Blvd Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 833 | $2,350 | $2.82 | 23d | 4 | 0.72mi |
| 308 S 8th St Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1696 | $1,900 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2302 Sunrise Blvd #201 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $1,500 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2050 Oleander Blvd Unit 703 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1014 | $1,800 | $1.78 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2513 S 17th St #207 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,600 | $1.34 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 306 N 18th Ct #2 Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $2,150 | $1.80 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2517 S 17th St Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1007 | $1,795 | $1.78 | 14d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2516 S 19th St #208 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,700 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 205 N 22nd St Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,500 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2016 Golfview Ct Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1055 | $1,750 | $1.66 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1607 Avenue D Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $1,700 | $1.65 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3208 Louisiana Ave Apt 3 Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,500 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2008 S 30th St Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1505 | $2,450 | $1.63 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 513 N 9th St Unit B Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,300 | $1.84 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3005 Tennessee Ave Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $2,400 | $1.96 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 204 N 28th St Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 20 Orange Ave Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $3,025 | $2.46 | 23d | 2 | 1.27mi |
| 1617 Avenue E Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2101 Linda Sue Cir Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,750 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1405 Avenue G Apt A Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $2,200 | $2.07 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 704 N 18th St Unit B Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1352 | $1,700 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2625 Heathcote Dr Unit 2623 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 23d | 1 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $460 · $5,520/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $162,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $162,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $162,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $162,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $162,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $162,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $162,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $162,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $162,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $162,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $162,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $162,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $162,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-04-23price $162,000
-
2026-03-12price $167,000
-
2026-02-11price $170,000
-
2025-12-15$175,000 Active
-
2014-10-16historical
-
2006-05-30$155,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,245
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,075
- − Property taxes
- −$2,430
- − Insurance
- −$810
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,780
- − Management
- −$1,780
- − HOA
- −$5,520
- − Depreciation
- −$4,713
- Taxable loss
- −$3,862
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$927
- After-tax cash flow
- $-454/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Lucie
- NCES district ID
- 1201770
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,737
- Composite
- 37.28/100
- National rank
- #4449
- State rank
- #51 of 73 in FL
Livability — Fort Pierce
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #226
- US rank
- #3360
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Pierce, FL
- County
- Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
- City population
- 78,556
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,461
- Household income
- $30,400
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1995.0
Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 338,016 people
- By 2030
- 355,687 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 385,521 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 406,106 · +20.1%
- By 2075
- 441,054 · +30.5%
- By 2100
- 436,885 · +29.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% Hispanic / Latino 19% White 17% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 17% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 12% Other Indo-European 4%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.20%
- Current HPI
- 384.8532
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.94%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+4.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $162,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $167,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $170,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-12-15 Listed $175,000 Beaches MLS
- 2014-10-16 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2006-05-30 Listed $155,000 Beaches MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…