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D+ Composite 46.9
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.4/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.4/30.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$162,000

1482 N Lawnwood Cir Unit 30-d · Fort Pierce, FL 34950
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,328 sqft · Townhouse · 182 Days on market
Built 1985 811 sqft lot Est $191k · 15% under $460/mo HOA · 25% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover the perfect blend of affordability and convenience in this charming two-story townhome, ideally situated just minutes from Historic Downtown Fort Pierce and the pristine beaches of Florida's Treasure Coast. Nestled in a quiet corner of the community, this residence offers exceptional privacy while remaining only a short stroll from the sparkling community pool. With spacious living areas and endless potential, this townhome is ready for your personal touch to transform it into the cozy retreat you've been dreaming of. New roof in 2024 and no upcoming assessments!

Key facts

  • Two story townhome
  • New roof in 2024
  • $460 HOA

Tags

TWO STORY TOWNHOMEQUIET CORNER OF THE COMMUNITYNEW ROOF IN 2024

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Community of 128 units; Monthly HOA fee of $460; HOA covers insurance, grounds maintenance, common real estate tax, and recreation facilities; Community amenities include parking, a pool, and tennis courts; Pets allowed with possible size limits and restrictions

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer and water available
  • Home design: Townhouse; Resale condition; Two-story building; North-facing
  • Construction: CBS construction; Composition/shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Patio; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: No additional interior features listed; Blinds on windows
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry area located inside the unit

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $162k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-115 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $145k (10.3% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $162k).
  • Recommended offer: $143k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.7% in Fort Pierce — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#226 in FL, #3,360 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, amenities F.
  • St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,854/mo this rent would consume 73% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1995% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 182 days — a 12% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $142,560 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 182 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
5.44%
Cash-on-cash
-3.05%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$191,232
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2020 Colonial Rd #6 0.74mi 2/2.5 1,428 (+8%) 20mo $205,000 $144 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.5%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-27,627
Equity at exit
$24,155
10-year hold
IRR
-2.1%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-7,630
Equity at exit
$14,007

Cash invested: $45,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34950

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Rents YoY
5.9%
Active inventory
165
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,854 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$850
Tax est. 1.5%
$202 /mo · $2,430/yr
Insurance
$68
HOA
$460
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$389
Net cashflow
$-115

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,999
Max offer price $145,344
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,500
Closing costs
$4,860
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1433 Captains Walk Unit A Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1850 $2,500 $1.35 23d 1 0.10mi
1439 Captains Walk Unit 20D Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1280 $2,000 $1.56 21d 1 0.14mi
1567 Pheasant Walk Unit B Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1280 $1,900 $1.48 14d 1 0.27mi
1800 Nebraska Ave Unit 202 Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1312 $1,749 $1.33 23d 1 0.28mi
1800 Nebraska Ave Unit 103 Fort Pierce, FL 1.0 1.5 1042 $1,799 $1.73 23d 1 0.28mi
1810 Nebraska Ave Unit 106 Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1042 $1,699 $1.63 14d 1 0.30mi
1810 Nebraska Ave Apt 101 Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1035 $1,699 $1.64 23d 1 0.30mi
1830 Nebraska Ave Fort Pierce, FL 1.0–2.0 1.5–2.0 924 $1,799 $1.95 14d 5 0.31mi
1840 Nebraska Ave Apt 106 Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 997 $1,679 $1.68 14d 1 0.31mi
1840 Nebraska Ave Apt 101 Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1035 $1,699 $1.64 14d 1 0.31mi
1820 Nebraska Ave Apt 201 Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1035 $1,699 $1.64 23d 1 0.33mi
1820 Nebraska Ave Apt 102 Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 997 $1,679 $1.68 23d 1 0.33mi
1904 Havana Ave #16 Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1196 $1,900 $1.59 14d 1 0.42mi
624 S 12th St Unit B Fort Pierce, FL 1.0 1.0 1000 $1,650 $1.65 14d 1 0.42mi
1701 Sunrise Blvd Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1518 $2,000 $1.32 14d 1 0.44mi
1406 Citrus Ave Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 1.0 930 $1,600 $1.72 14d 1 0.61mi
1016 Chipola Rd Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,200 $2.00 23d 1 0.70mi
2016 S 10th St Unit A Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.5 1120 $1,595 $1.42 23d 1 0.72mi
2050 Oleander Blvd Fort Pierce, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 833 $2,350 $2.82 23d 4 0.72mi
308 S 8th St Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1696 $1,900 $1.12 23d 1 0.76mi
2302 Sunrise Blvd #201 Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 1.0 966 $1,500 $1.55 23d 1 0.80mi
2050 Oleander Blvd Unit 703 Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1014 $1,800 $1.78 23d 1 0.88mi
2513 S 17th St #207 Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1190 $1,600 $1.34 23d 1 0.97mi
306 N 18th Ct #2 Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1192 $2,150 $1.80 23d 1 0.97mi
2517 S 17th St Fort Pierce, FL 1.0 1.0 1007 $1,795 $1.78 14d 1 0.97mi
2516 S 19th St #208 Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1190 $1,700 $1.43 23d 1 0.99mi
205 N 22nd St Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,500 $1.43 23d 1 1.04mi
2016 Golfview Ct Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 1.0 1055 $1,750 $1.66 23d 1 1.06mi
1607 Avenue D Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1029 $1,700 $1.65 14d 1 1.17mi
3208 Louisiana Ave Apt 3 Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,500 $1.43 23d 1 1.20mi
2008 S 30th St Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1505 $2,450 $1.63 14d 1 1.20mi
513 N 9th St Unit B Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1250 $2,300 $1.84 23d 1 1.25mi
3005 Tennessee Ave Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1222 $2,400 $1.96 23d 1 1.26mi
204 N 28th St Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 23d 1 1.26mi
20 Orange Ave Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1228 $3,025 $2.46 23d 2 1.27mi
1617 Avenue E Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 23d 1 1.30mi
2101 Linda Sue Cir Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 1.5 1300 $1,750 $1.35 23d 1 1.36mi
1405 Avenue G Apt A Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1064 $2,200 $2.07 23d 1 1.37mi
704 N 18th St Unit B Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 1.0 1352 $1,700 $1.26 23d 1 1.39mi
2625 Heathcote Dr Unit 2623 Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,700 $1.70 23d 1 1.40mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$460 · $5,520/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $162,000 Active 182 DOM
  2. 2026-06-14
    days on market $162,000 Active 180 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $162,000 Active 179 DOM
  4. 2026-06-10
    days on market $162,000 Active 177 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $162,000 Active 176 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $162,000 Active 175 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $162,000 Active 174 DOM
  8. 2026-06-05
    days on market $162,000 Active 171 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $162,000 Active 170 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $162,000 Active 169 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $162,000 Active 168 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $162,000 Active 167 DOM
  13. 2026-05-30
    days on market $162,000 Active 166 DOM
  14. 2026-04-23
    price $162,000
  15. 2026-03-12
    price $167,000
  16. 2026-02-11
    price $170,000
  17. 2025-12-15
    listed $175,000 Active
  18. 2014-10-16
    historical
  19. 2006-05-30
    listed $155,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,245
− Mortgage interest
−$9,075
− Property taxes
−$2,430
− Insurance
−$810
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,780
− Management
−$1,780
− HOA
−$5,520
− Depreciation
−$4,713
Taxable loss
−$3,862
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$927
After-tax cash flow
$-454/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Lucie
NCES district ID
1201770
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,737
Composite
37.28/100
National rank
#4449
State rank
#51 of 73 in FL

Livability — Fort Pierce

Score
76/100
State rank
#226
US rank
#3360

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Pierce, FL
County
Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
City population
78,556
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
Population (ZIP)
17,461
Household income
$30,400
Rent vs Own
61.1% rent · 38.9% own
Severe rent burden
1995.0

Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
338,016 people
By 2030
355,687 · +5.2%
By 2040
385,521 · +14.1%
By 2050
406,106 · +20.1%
By 2075
441,054 · +30.5%
By 2100
436,885 · +29.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 63% Hispanic / Latino 19% White 17% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 17% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
23% · Canada
Languages at home
69% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 12% Other Indo-European 4%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -97.20%
Current HPI
384.8532
Rent YoY
▲ 5.94%
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $162,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $167,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2026-02-11 Price Changed $170,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2025-12-15 Listed $175,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2014-10-16 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2006-05-30 Listed $155,000 Beaches MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…