CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
224 Ellicott St Multi-family
B+ Composite 77.11
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

224 Ellicott St · Batavia, NY 14020
6 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,772 sqft · MultiFamily · 42 Days on market
Built 1880 7,405 sqft lot $61/sqft · 21% below area Est $214k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Nice location and offices for attorney, insurance, real estate, doctor or retail.

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • 10 garage spots
  • Built 1880

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Property contains 2 total units with separate gas and electric meters for each unit; Owner pays water; water included in rent/operating income; Operating expenses include water/sewer; One unit currently rented month-to-month for $1,100

Exterior

  • Parking: 10 garage spaces; Multiple parking spaces (two or more)
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Two-story multi-family building; Resale property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Existing construction
  • Exterior features: Near public transit; Rectangular lot (approx. 44 x 165)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven/range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Varied flooring in places
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has one full bathroom; one unit also has a half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Full basement; Laminate and varied flooring throughout; Eat-in kitchen (in at least one unit)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in unit (at least in one unit); Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/1.5-bath multifamily listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $170k).
  • Recommended offer: $165k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 5.5% in Batavia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#536 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities F.
  • Batavia City School District (town): math 38% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #477 of 590 in NY (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: John Kennedy School (math 35% / reading 50%, grade F, #1,356 of 2,108 statewide, top 64%, 481 students, 56% FRL); Batavia Middle School (math 23% / reading 50%, grade F, #464 of 729 statewide, top 64%, 595 students, 54% FRL); Batavia High School (math 87% / reading 75%, grade A, #485 of 1,100 statewide, top 45%, 645 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 55 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,046/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 817% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $1k; list at $170k implies a 14058% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $164,803 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.79%
Cap rate
15.00%
Cash-on-cash
31.08%
DSCR
2.38
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$214,434
List price
$169,900
Delta
-20.77%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.9%
Equity multiple
2.07×
Total profit
$50,994
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
33.6%
Equity multiple
4.06×
Total profit
$145,646
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14020

Home prices YoY
-10.4%
Active inventory
90
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,046 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax est. 1.5%
$212 /mo · $2,548/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$640
Net cashflow
$1,232

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,486
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,350 -5% $1,291 +0% $1,232 +5% $1,173 +10% $1,115
Rent -10% $992 -5% $1,112 +0% $1,232 +5% $1,353 +10% $1,473
Rate -1.0pp $1,318 -0.5pp $1,275 base $1,232 +0.5pp $1,188 +1.0pp $1,143

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 3 1.5 $1,632
1× unit 0 0 $1,414
Total (2 units) $3,046

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $169,900 Active 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,900 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,900 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,900 Active 39 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,900 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $169,900 Active 36 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $169,900 Active 35 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,900 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,900 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,900 Active 30 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,900 Active 29 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $169,900 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,900 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,900 Active 24 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Active 23 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Active 22 DOM
  17. 2026-05-06
    listed $169,900 Active 584-char remark
  18. 2007-04-10
    soldstatus $1,200 81-char remark
    Show marketing remark (81 chars)

    Nice location and offices for attorney, insurance, real estate, doctor or retail.

  19. 2006-09-06
    listed $1,200 81-char remark
    Show marketing remark (81 chars)

    Nice location and offices for attorney, insurance, real estate, doctor or retail.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,552
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$2,548
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,924
− Management
−$2,924
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable income
$12,846
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,083
After-tax cash flow
$11,703/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Batavia City School District
NCES district ID
3603990
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$43,288
Composite
37.13/100
National rank
#4490
State rank
#477 of 590 in NY

Livability — Batavia

Score
68/100
State rank
#536
US rank
#9660

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Batavia, NY
County
Genesee County · 22,002 people
City population
22,002
Metro
Batavia, NY
Population (ZIP)
22,002
Household income
$62,655
Rent vs Own
37.0% rent · 63.0% own
Severe rent burden
817.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
56,113 people
By 2030
54,140 · -3.5%
By 2040
49,368 · -12.0%
By 2050
43,911 · -21.7%
By 2075
32,511 · -42.1%
By 2100
21,695 · -61.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.0) · D 33.0% · R 67.0%
2008→2024 swing
-15.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -34.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.0 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+37.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -30.58%
Current HPI
263.2147
Rent YoY
Metro
Batavia, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+14058.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $169,900 WNYREIS
  • 2007-04-10 Sold (MLS) $1,200 UNYREIS
  • 2006-09-06 Listed $1,200 UNYREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…