413 W Hughes St · Longview, TX
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 58.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.4/30.0
- ARV discount +8.8/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.7/5.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Longview ISD is a great opportunity for those looking to invest or create a personalized starter home. It needs some TLC, but with the right updates, it has solid potential. Featuring a functional layout and good bones, this property is ready for your vision—whether you're planning to renovate and rent, flip, or settle in and make it your own.
Key facts
- 9,148 sq ft lot
- Built 1958
- Listed 39 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One-story
- Exterior features: Composition roof
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace (1); Electric water heater; 6 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $101 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.0% in Longview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#213 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, schools D.
- Longview ISD (urban): math 49% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #244 of 826 in TX (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.9%/yr); 283 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 193 units permitted in Gregg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.78%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $154,372
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -2.83%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-9,630
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $37,407
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75662
- Home prices YoY
- -16.9%
- Rents YoY
- 8.9%
- Active inventory
- 283
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,547 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$206 /mo · $2,469/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$325
- Net cashflow
- $101
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 801 Roosevelt St Longview, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,514 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 801 W Walnut St Longview, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,690 | $1.30 | 13d | 1 | 0.57mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $150,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $150,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $150,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $150,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-07$150,000 Active 648-char remark
-
2025-09-26soldstatus
-
2025-09-25soldstatus Closed 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Longview ISD is a great opportunity for those looking to invest or create a personalized starter home. It needs some TLC, but with the right updates, it has solid potential. Featuring a functional layout and good bones, this property is ready for your vision—whether you're planning to renovate and rent, flip, or settle in and make it your own.
-
2025-08-12status Pending 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Longview ISD is a great opportunity for those looking to invest or create a personalized starter home. It needs some TLC, but with the right updates, it has solid potential. Featuring a functional layout and good bones, this property is ready for your vision—whether you're planning to renovate and rent, flip, or settle in and make it your own.
-
2025-07-30$70,000 Active 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Longview ISD is a great opportunity for those looking to invest or create a personalized starter home. It needs some TLC, but with the right updates, it has solid potential. Featuring a functional layout and good bones, this property is ready for your vision—whether you're planning to renovate and rent, flip, or settle in and make it your own.
-
2025-06-05price $99,999
-
2025-04-28price $95,000
-
2025-03-20$106,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,469 · $206/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,745 · $229/mo
- Expected delta
- +$276/yr (+$23/mo · 11.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 58% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,566
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,469
- − Insurance
- −$1,547
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,485
- − Management
- −$1,485
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$1,188
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$285
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,496/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Longview ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4828110
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,837
- Composite
- 39.76/100
- National rank
- #3889
- State rank
- #244 of 826 in TX
Livability — Longview
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #213
- US rank
- #5287
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Longview, TX
- County
- Gregg County · 128,826 people
- City population
- 103,792
- Metro
- Longview, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,034
- Household income
- $70,096
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 486.0
Population outlook (Gregg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 125,947 people
- By 2030
- 126,542 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 127,311 · +1.1%
- By 2050
- 127,289 · +1.1%
- By 2075
- 124,954 · -0.8%
- By 2100
- 113,737 · -9.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 22% Black 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 18%
Political lean MEDSL · Gregg
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.2) · D 28.5% · R 70.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.6pp toward R · 2008: -37.6pp · 2024: -42.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.2 2020: R+36.9 2016: R+41.3 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+37.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.09%
- Current HPI
- 247.1337
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.89%
- Metro
- Longview, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+41.5% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) — LAAR
- 2026-05-07 Listed $150,000 LAAR
- 2025-09-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-09-25 Sold (MLS) — LAAR
- 2025-08-12 Pending — LAAR
- 2025-07-30 Listed $70,000 LAAR
- 2025-06-05 Price Changed $99,999 LAAR
- 2025-04-28 Price Changed $95,000 LAAR
- 2025-03-20 Listed $106,000 LAAR
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,469 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…