232 SE Cazares Cir · Sonoma, CA 95476

$225,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · Manufactured · 54 Days on market

Good condition $188/sqft · 52% above area ↓ 2% since listing

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.5/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Schools +3.4/10.0
• Rent growth +2.7/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Updated & Move-In Ready! Enjoy this beautifully updated home featuring new luxury vinyl flooring and a modern kitchen with stainless refrigerator, gas range, and upgraded cabinetry & countertops. This home offers remodeled bathrooms, ductless A/C & heat (2 zones), and a whole-home water filtration system for added comfort. Additional highlights include a dedicated laundry room (washer & dryer included), two large storage sheds, and covered parking for up to 3 vehicles. Located in a desirable park with a community pool, just minutes from shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences.

Key facts

• Upgraded cabinetry
• Modern kitchen
• Gas range

Tags

• LUXURY VINYL FLOORING
• MODERN KITCHEN
• STAINLESS REFRIGERATOR
• GAS RANGE
• UPGRADED CABINETRY
• REMODELED BATHROOMS

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: No on-site power production (solar) reported
• Financial info: Monthly land lease payment
• HOA & community: No association; Not a senior community

Exterior

• Parking: 3 parking spaces; Covered parking; On-street parking available
• Utilities: Private sewer
• Home design: Manufactured in park; Double wide; Updated/remodeled
• Construction: EDGEWOOD double wide manufacturer: VIKING
• Exterior features: Located in Moon Valley Residential park; Land lease required; Property faces southeast; Aluminum skirting

Interior

• Kitchen: Built-in gas oven; Built-in gas range; Free-standing gas range; Free-standing refrigerator; Laminate counters
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Shower stall(s); Tile finishes in bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Ductless cooling
• Interior features: Updated/remodeled condition; Dining/Family combo and Dining/Living combo; Kitchen/Family combo
• Laundry & utility: Washer included; Dryer included; Laundry located inside

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $225k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $947 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $225k).
• Recommended offer: $218k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 1.4% in Sonoma — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#146 in CA, #4,943 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, cost of living F.
• Sonoma Valley Unified (town): math 27% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #849 of 1,400 in CA (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 263 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,039 units permitted in Sonoma County in 2024 (185 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($105k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Sonoma County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $218,250 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.45% ✓
• Cap rate: 11.70%
• Cash-on-cash: 19.31%
• DSCR: 1.86
• GRM: 5.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $148,150
• List price: $225,000
• Delta: 51.87%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
314 Janero Pl	0.05mi	2/2.0	1,200 (0%)	2mo	$190,000	$158	96
185 Pas Pajaros Calle	0.07mi	2/2.0	1,200 (0%)	10mo	$145,000	$121	88
180 Pas Pajaros Calle	0.09mi	2/2.0	1,200 (0%)	12mo	$215,000	$179	86
160 Chiquita Camino	0.10mi	2/2.0	1,120 (-7%)	1mo	$199,000	$178	83
213 Cazares Cir #213	0.01mi	2/2.0	1,160 (-3%)	19mo	$120,000	$103	78
148 Chiquita Camino	0.11mi	2/2.0	1,140 (-5%)	11mo	$140,000	$123	78
270 Manuella Ln	0.04mi	2/2.0	1,040 (-13%)	2mo	$160,000	$154	75
171 Chiquita Camino	0.09mi	2/1.5	1,160 (-3%)	18mo	$155,500	$134	74
312 Janero Pl	0.12mi	2/2.0	1,150 (-4%)	17mo	$115,000	$100	73
341 El Castillo Vista Way #341	0.09mi	2/2.0	1,080 (-10%)	10mo	$199,000	$184	71
102 Hermosillo Dr	0.23mi	2/2.0	1,344 (+12%)	20mo	$339,000	$252	53
34 Mazatlan Dr	0.17mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,344 (+12%)	20mo	$339,000	$252	51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.79% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 7.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.27×
• Total profit: $16,894
• Equity at exit: $33,548

10-year hold

• IRR: 14.3%
• Equity multiple: 2.03×
• Total profit: $65,000
• Equity at exit: $19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State California: 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 95476

• Rents YoY: 0.8%
• Active inventory: 263
• Price-to-rent: 5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,252 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,180
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$281 /mo · $3,375/yr
• Insurance: −$94
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$683
• Net cashflow: $947

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,052

Max offer price $225,000

Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $56,250
• Closing costs: $6,750
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 16 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
790 2nd St W Sonoma, CA	1.0–2.0	1.0–1.5	975	$2,660	$2.73	14d	3	0.62mi
208 Todd Ave Sonoma, CA	3.0	2.5	1384	$3,800	$2.75	14d	1	0.63mi
655 W Spain St Sonoma, CA	2.0	2.5	1349	$3,525	$2.61	14d	1	0.69mi
1211 Broadway Unit 1213 Sonoma, CA	2.0	2.5	1200	$3,600	$3.00	23d	1	0.71mi
1207 Broadway Unit 1209 Sonoma, CA	2.0	2.5	1200	$3,750	$3.12	44d	1	0.71mi
1207 Broadway Sonoma, CA	2.0	2.5	1200	$3,600	$3.00	23d	1	0.71mi
434 Bernice Ln Unit 1546207P Sonoma, CA	2.0	2.0	979	$4,564	$4.66	14d	1	0.72mi
663 Spring Ln Sonoma, CA	2.0	1.0	1050	$3,200	$3.05	44d	1	0.72mi
342 Church St Sonoma, CA	1.0	1.0	700	$2,600	$3.71	44d	1	0.78mi
340 Church St Sonoma, CA	3.0	2.5	1282	$3,750	$2.93	44d	1	0.79mi
210 Tuscany Pl Sonoma, CA	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	1200	$2,750	$2.29	14d	1	0.94mi
21 Ramon St Sonoma, CA	2.0	2.0	1440	$2,250	$1.56	23d	1	1.05mi
19019 5th St W Sonoma, CA	3.0	2.0	1286	$3,400	$2.64	14d	1	1.22mi
336 Las Casitas Ct Sonoma, CA	2.0	1.5	1158	$2,500	$2.16	44d	1	1.32mi
126 Blue Wing Dr Sonoma, CA	2.0	2.0	1156	$2,975	$2.57	14d	2	1.38mi
126 Blue Wing Dr #11 Sonoma, CA	2.0	2.0	1156	$3,200	$2.77	14d	1	1.39mi

Listing history 19 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $225,000 Active 54 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $225,000 Active 53 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $225,000 Active 52 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $225,000 Active 51 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $225,000 Active 49 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $225,000 Active 48 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $225,000 Active 46 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $225,000 Active 45 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $225,000 Active 44 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $225,000 Active 43 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $229,000 Active 40 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $229,000 Contingent (No Show) 39 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $229,000 Contingent (No Show) 38 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $229,000 Contingent (No Show) 37 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $229,000 Contingent (No Show) 36 DOM
16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $229,000 Contingent (No Show) 35 DOM
17. 2026-05-16
    status Active 615-char remark
18. 2026-05-14
    historical Contingent (No Show) 615-char remark
19. 2026-04-25
    listed $229,000 Active 615-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 19 unhealthy d/yr today · 19 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $39,019
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,603
• − Property taxes: −$3,375
• − Insurance: −$1,922
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,122
• − Management: −$3,122
• − Depreciation: −$6,545
• Taxable income: $8,329
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,999
• After-tax cash flow: $9,369/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This beautifully updated manufactured home is move-in ready with new flooring, modern kitchen, and remodeled bathrooms. It offers ductless A/C, heat, and a whole-home water filtration system. Additional updates like painting the exterior and replacing windows can further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
• Both Replace windows — Newer windows can improve energy efficiency and increase property value.
• Both Upgrade flooring in bathrooms — Modern flooring can enhance the aesthetic and functionality of the bathrooms.
• Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and appeal to potential buyers/renters.
• Both Add outdoor lighting — Outdoor lighting can improve safety and curb appeal, making the property more attractive to potential buyers/renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
• Both Replace windows — Newer windows can improve energy efficiency and increase property value. ↑
• Both Upgrade flooring in bathrooms — Modern flooring can enhance the aesthetic and functionality of the bathrooms. ↑
• Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and appeal to potential buyers/renters. ↑
• Both Add outdoor lighting — Outdoor lighting can improve safety and curb appeal, making the property more attractive to potential buyers/renters. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Sonoma Valley Unified
• NCES district ID: 0637200
• Math proficiency: 27% ▼ -1.00%
• Reading proficiency: 42% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $63,880
• Composite: 33.88/100
• National rank: #10355
• State rank: #849 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Sonoma

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #146
• US rank: #4943

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living F Crime A- Employment A+ Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Sonoma, CA
• County: Sonoma County · 449,805 people
• City population: 35,196
• Metro: Santa Rosa-Petaluma, CA
• Population (ZIP): 35,196
• Household income: $105,374
• Rent vs Own: 32.8% rent · 67.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 1218.0

Population outlook (Sonoma County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 539,935 people
• By 2030: 554,870 · +2.8%
• By 2040: 573,262 · +6.2%
• By 2050: 580,715 · +7.6%
• By 2075: 579,229 · +7.3%
• By 2100: 547,835 · +1.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (66%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 66% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 13% Asian 2% Black 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 23%
• Common ancestry: Italian 5% Lithuanian 4% Portuguese 3%
• Foreign-born: 16% · Canada, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 75% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Sonoma

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+46.2) · D 71.4% · R 25.2% · Other 3.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -3.4pp toward R · 2008: 49.6pp · 2024: 46.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+46.2 2020: D+51.5 2016: D+47.9 2012: D+44.9 2008: D+49.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -1116.03%
• Current HPI: 236.6408
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.79%
• Metro: Santa Rosa-Petaluma, CA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.21%
• F500 in state: 116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	27	$1,492B
▸Financial Services	3	$174B
▸Retail	3	$44B
▸Insurance	3	$26B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$115B
▸Pharmaceuticals / Biotech	2	$62B

Price history

-1.7% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-05 Price Changed $225,000 BAREIS
• 2026-06-04 Relisted — BAREIS
• 2026-05-20 Contingent — BAREIS
• 2026-05-16 Relisted — BAREIS
• 2026-05-14 Contingent — BAREIS
• 2026-04-25 Listed $229,000 BAREIS