510 Dexter Ave · Mobile, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.5/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 510 Dexter Avenue located minutes from Downtown. Spacious rooms with high ceilings and one of the rooms could be used as a fourth bedroom. Lots of updates were done in 2023. All appliances in the kitchen remain at no value. Beautiful floors with no carpet through out the house. Large oversized front porch perfect for a big swing on it to sip your morning coffee. Please call your favorite Realtor today for a personal tour. May be subject to the Alabama One Year Right of Redemption.
Key facts
- High ceilings
- Beautiful floors
- 5,745 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $766 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 5.1% in Mobile — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Leinkauf Elementary School (math 8% / reading 26%, grade F, #499 of 627 statewide, top 80%, 538 students, 91% FRL); Calloway Smith Middle School (math 0% / reading 18%, grade F, #235 of 257 statewide, top 93%, 396 students, 96% FRL); Lillie B Williamson High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #273 of 305 statewide, top 89%, 956 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 67% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 11% at this address vs 27% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Mobile County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 125 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 71d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.8% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 193 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $110k; list at $165k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 193 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.90%
- DSCR
- 1.89
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $190,567
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- -13.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 304 S Georgia Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 2,012 (-3%) | 6mo | $390,000 | $194 | 69 |
| 208 Tuttle Ave | 0.37mi | 3/3.0 | 2,012 (-3%) | 10mo | $240,000 | $119 | 65 |
| 551 Tisdale St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,897 (-8%) | 6mo | $95,000 | $50 | 60 |
| 78 Etheridge St | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 | 2,176 (+5%) | 2mo | $435,000 | $200 | 59 |
| 201 Catherine St S | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,922 (-7%) | 6mo | $405,000 | $211 | 54 |
| 302 Stocking St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,771 (-14%) | 2mo | $174,000 | $98 | 52 |
| 1814 La Salle St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,966 (-5%) | 8mo | $37,900 | $19 | 52 |
| 361 Regina Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,860 (-10%) | 10mo | $265,000 | $142 | 49 |
| 123 Macy Pl | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 | 1,861 (-10%) | 3mo | $375,000 | $202 | 47 |
| 1747 Hunter Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,788 (-14%) | 2mo | $357,000 | $200 | 43 |
| 1415 Brown St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,778 (-14%) | 11mo | $342,600 | $193 | 32 |
| 1706 Hunter Ave | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,789 (-14%) | 11mo | $270,000 | $151 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $23,849
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.97×
- Total profit
- $91,071
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 20 active · 14 under contract
- Months of supply
- 5.2 mo (19%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $329,950 ($168/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 98 d
- This list price
- 10% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -45.2% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 36604
- Rents YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 125
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,295 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$113 /mo · $1,351/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$482
- Net cashflow
- $766
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $860 | -5% $813 | +0% $766 | +5% $719 | +10% $673 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $585 | -5% $675 | +0% $766 | +5% $857 | +10% $947 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $849 | -0.5pp $808 | base $766 | +0.5pp $723 | +1.0pp $680 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1204 Seneca St Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $1,345 | $0.94 | 63d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 84 S Lafayette St Unit 1043577P Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $3,116 | $2.08 | 63d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1754 Hunter Ave Unit 1043550P Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2723 | $3,903 | $1.43 | 70d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1660 Laurel St Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1768 | $2,200 | $1.24 | 63d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 107 Macy Pl Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,250 | $1.25 | 93d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1704 McGill Ave Unit B Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 93d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1141 Montauk Ave Unit 1043864P Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $2,741 | $1.93 | 63d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 814 S Broad St Unit 1043690P Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1991 | $3,562 | $1.79 | 63d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 611 Dauphin Island Pkwy Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,300 | $0.90 | 93d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 107 Michael Donald Ave Unit 1043461P Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2195 | $3,962 | $1.81 | 63d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 618 Clarke St Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1427 | $1,200 | $0.84 | 93d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1321 SpringHill Ave Unit B Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2006 | $950 | $0.47 | 93d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 961 Old Shell Rd Unit A Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $1,295 | $0.81 | 93d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 129 Shell Road Pl Unit 1043713P Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $3,389 | $2.27 | 70d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $165,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $165,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $165,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $165,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $165,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $165,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $165,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $165,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $165,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $165,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $165,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $165,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $165,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $165,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $165,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $165,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $165,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $165,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $165,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $165,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $165,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-07-11pricedays on market $165,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $175,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $175,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $175,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $175,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $175,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $175,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $175,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $175,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $175,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $175,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $175,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $175,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $175,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $175,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $175,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $175,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $175,000 Active 146 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $175,000 Active 145 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 141 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 140 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 139 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $175,000 Active 137 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 136 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $175,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-09price $175,000 Active 132 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 132 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,351 · $113/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,351 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,535
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$1,351
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,203
- − Management
- −$2,203
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $6,911
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,659
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,535/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This property is in good condition with recent updates, making it a solid investment opportunity for both resale and rental markets.
Components & finishes AI
Deferred maintenance Est. $2,500–$10,000 screening
- Minor Roof (roof) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the roof.
- Minor Windows (windows) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the windows.
- Minor Electrical (electrical) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the electrical components.
- Minor Plumbing (plumbing) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the plumbing.
- Minor Exterior (exterior) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the exterior.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics, attracting more buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve curb appeal and add value to the property. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Mobile
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #4262
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mobile, AL
- County
- Mobile County · 415,303 people
- City population
- 205,729
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,836
- Household income
- $66,357
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 42% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -143.27%
- Current HPI
- 205.7241
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.78%
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+68.2% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $185,000 GCMLS AL
- 2026-03-28 Price Changed $195,000 GCMLS AL
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $205,000 GCMLS AL
- 2026-01-27 Listed $215,000 GCMLS AL
- 2024-09-26 Price Changed $230,000 GCMLS AL
- 2024-09-12 Price Changed $245,000 GCMLS AL
- 2024-09-05 Price Changed $255,000 GCMLS AL
- 2024-01-20 Price Changed $265,000 GCMLS AL
- 2024-01-15 Price Changed $279,000 GCMLS AL
- 2023-10-04 Price Changed $255,000 GCMLS AL
- 2023-09-22 Price Changed $265,000 GCMLS AL
- 2022-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2022-06-30 Sold (MLS) $110,000 GCMLS AL
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,351 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…