323 S 2nd St · Brighton, MI
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.0/30.0
- ARV discount +6.4/15.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$360,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LISTED AND SOLD SAME DAY
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1967
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $360k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $43 ($518/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $303k (15.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $303k (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.4% in Brighton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#108 in MI, #2,621 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Brighton Area Schools (suburban): math 59% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #22 of 540 in MI (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Hornung Elementary School (math 72% / reading 72%, grade A-, #51 of 1,397 statewide, top 5%, 545 students, 14% FRL); Scranton Middle School (math 56% / reading 71%, grade B+, #42 of 493 statewide, top 8%, 828 students, 16% FRL); Brighton High School (math 54% / reading 75%, grade B-, #46 of 713 statewide, top 7%, 1,961 students, 13% FRL) — zoned schools at 14% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 181 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 488 units permitted in Livingston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($107k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Livingston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.51%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $351,780
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 323 S 2nd St | 0.00mi | 5/1.5 | 1,804 (0%) | 0mo | $360,000 | $200 | 100 |
| 224 S 2nd St | 0.09mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 1,895 (+5%) | 4mo | $370,000 | $195 | 73 |
| 217 N 5th St | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,898 (+5%) | 1mo | $323,700 | $171 | 66 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-55,626
- Equity at exit
- $53,677
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-45,062
- Equity at exit
- $31,126
Cash invested: $100,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48116
- Active inventory
- 181
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,026 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,888
- Tax from tax record
- −$310 /mo · $3,716/yr
- Insurance
- −$150
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$636
- Net cashflow
- $43
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $247 | -5% $145 | +0% $43 | +5% $-59 | +10% $-161 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-196 | -5% $-76 | +0% $43 | +5% $163 | +10% $282 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $224 | -0.5pp $135 | base $43 | +0.5pp $-50 | +1.0pp $-145 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $90,000
- Closing costs
- $10,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-21$360,000
Show marketing remark (24 chars)
LISTED AND SOLD SAME DAY
-
2026-04-21historical
Show marketing remark (24 chars)
LISTED AND SOLD SAME DAY
-
2026-04-21$360,000 24-char remark
Show marketing remark (24 chars)
LISTED AND SOLD SAME DAY
-
2026-04-21historical 24-char remark
Show marketing remark (24 chars)
LISTED AND SOLD SAME DAY
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,716 · $310/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,630 · $386/mo
- Expected delta
- +$914/yr (+$76/mo · 24.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,315
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,166
- − Property taxes
- −$3,716
- − Insurance
- −$1,800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,905
- − Management
- −$2,905
- − Depreciation
- −$10,473
- Taxable loss
- −$5,650
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,356
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,874/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brighton Area Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2606870
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $84,114
- Composite
- 57.62/100
- National rank
- #1062
- State rank
- #22 of 540 in MI
Livability — Brighton
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #108
- US rank
- #2621
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brighton, MI
- County
- Livingston County · 121,626 people
- City population
- 27,289
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,289
- Household income
- $106,763
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 495.0
Population outlook (Livingston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,920 people
- By 2030
- 209,173 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 216,878 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 217,485 · +7.2%
- By 2075
- 217,590 · +7.2%
- By 2100
- 197,095 · -2.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Italian 6% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Livingston
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.9) · D 37.4% · R 61.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.3pp · 2024: -23.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.9 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+29.6 2012: R+23.3 2008: R+13.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -300.62%
- Current HPI
- 183.6902
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-21 Listed $360,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-21 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-21 Listed $360,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,716 · -5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…