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1221 N 8th St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 76.86
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,000

1221 N 8th St · Wichita Falls, TX 76306
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 744 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 46 Days on market
Built 1934 7,013 sqft lot $52/sqft · 48% below area Est $75k · 48% under ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Bring your ideas to this great home. Great potential and strong bones. 15 property-package offered as a bundle. 12 residential and 3 commercial, not listed here. See attached offer package with the addresses and proposal. The price for all of them combined is $575,000. A potential of over $1,200,000 ARV and a potential monthly rental income of $12,000 per month. Finaciamiento de DUENO A DUENO disponible. Terminos flexibles con 20 porciento de down. 3 commercial properties: 705 N Broadway St, 302 Jefferson St, and 709 N Broadway St. All information provided is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified.

Key facts

  • 7,013 sq ft lot
  • Built 1934
  • Listed 45 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Residential property in Scotland subdivision, Wichita County, United States; No known restrictions
  • Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or owner will carry; Loan type treated as clear; No second mortgage
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage, carport, or covered parking
  • Security: Security features: Unknown/other
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; No municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Not attached to another property
  • Construction: Built in 1934; Siding exterior; Composition/shingle roof; Concrete perimeter foundation and other foundation details
  • Exterior features: No known easements; Lot less than 0.5 acre (approx. 0.161 acres)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Other appliances
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (10 x 12)
  • Flooring: Hardwood and other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling
  • Interior features: One living area and one dining area; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry: Other or none

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $39,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$74,955) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $39k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $647 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $39k).
  • Recommended offer: $38k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 26.2% vs local median 4.7% in Wichita Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#437 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, crime D.
  • Wichita Falls ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #585 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Scotland Park El (math 20% / reading 24%, grade F, #3,333 of 4,322 statewide, top 80%, 473 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 54% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $270 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1934 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $37,830 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1934 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.96%
Cap rate
26.19%
Cash-on-cash
71.07%
DSCR
4.16
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$74,955
List price
$39,000
Delta
-47.97%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
70.5%
Equity multiple
4.17×
Total profit
$34,665
Equity at exit
$5,815
10-year hold
IRR
74.4%
Equity multiple
8.54×
Total profit
$82,385
Equity at exit
$3,372

Cash invested: $10,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76306

Home prices YoY
-30.1%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
114
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,155 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$205
Tax from tax record
$45 /mo · $540/yr
Insurance
$16
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$243
Net cashflow
$647

Break-even live

Break-even rent $336
Max offer price $39,000
Occupancy floor 39%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,750
Closing costs
$1,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
504 Fillmore St Wichita Falls, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 734 $895 $1.22 43d 6 1.20mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $39,000 Active 46 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,000 Active 45 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $39,000 Active 44 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $39,000 Active 43 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,000 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $39,000 Active 40 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,000 Active 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $39,000 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,000 Active 36 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,000 Active 35 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,000 Active 34 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $39,000 Active 31 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $39,000 Active 29 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $39,000 Active 28 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,000 Active 27 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $39,000 Active 26 DOM
  17. 2026-05-04
    listed $39,000 Active 829-char remark
  18. 2023-04-25
    status Pending 652-char remark
    Show marketing remark (652 chars)

    Bring your ideas to this great home. Great potential and strong bones. 15 property-package offered as a bundle. 12 residential and 3 commercial, not listed here. See attached offer package with the addresses and proposal. The price for all of them combined is $575,000. A potential of over $1,200,000 ARV and a potential monthly rental income of $12,000 per month. Finaciamiento de DUENO A DUENO disponible. Terminos flexibles con 20 porciento de down. 3 commercial properties: 705 N Broadway St, 302 Jefferson St, and 709 N Broadway St. All information provided is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified.

  19. 2023-04-25
    soldstatus Closed 652-char remark
    Show marketing remark (652 chars)

    Bring your ideas to this great home. Great potential and strong bones. 15 property-package offered as a bundle. 12 residential and 3 commercial, not listed here. See attached offer package with the addresses and proposal. The price for all of them combined is $575,000. A potential of over $1,200,000 ARV and a potential monthly rental income of $12,000 per month. Finaciamiento de DUENO A DUENO disponible. Terminos flexibles con 20 porciento de down. 3 commercial properties: 705 N Broadway St, 302 Jefferson St, and 709 N Broadway St. All information provided is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified.

  20. 2023-02-09
    listed $44,900 Active 652-char remark
    Show marketing remark (652 chars)

    Bring your ideas to this great home. Great potential and strong bones. 15 property-package offered as a bundle. 12 residential and 3 commercial, not listed here. See attached offer package with the addresses and proposal. The price for all of them combined is $575,000. A potential of over $1,200,000 ARV and a potential monthly rental income of $12,000 per month. Finaciamiento de DUENO A DUENO disponible. Terminos flexibles con 20 porciento de down. 3 commercial properties: 705 N Broadway St, 302 Jefferson St, and 709 N Broadway St. All information provided is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified.

  21. 2022-11-29
    historical
  22. 2022-08-15
    listed $44,900 Active
  23. 2022-07-25
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$540 · $45/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$714 · $59/mo
Expected delta
+$174/yr (+$15/mo · 32.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,860
− Mortgage interest
−$2,185
− Property taxes
−$540
− Insurance
−$195
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,109
− Management
−$1,109
− Depreciation
−$1,135
Taxable income
$7,589
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,821
After-tax cash flow
$5,939/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wichita Falls ISD
NCES district ID
4845780
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,604
Composite
27.06/100
National rank
#7051
State rank
#585 of 826 in TX

Livability — Wichita Falls

Score
69/100
State rank
#437
US rank
#8940

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wichita Falls, TX
County
Wichita County · 95,694 people
City population
95,694
Metro
Wichita Falls, TX
Population (ZIP)
13,963
Household income
$46,957
Rent vs Own
41.4% rent · 58.6% own
Severe rent burden
235.0

Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
129,638 people
By 2030
128,366 · -1.0%
By 2040
124,466 · -4.0%
By 2050
120,499 · -7.0%
By 2075
113,884 · -12.2%
By 2100
101,818 · -21.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 16% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 8% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wichita

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
2008→2024 swing
-5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.29%
Current HPI
165.6314
Rent YoY
▲ 2.81%
Metro
Wichita Falls, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.1% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $39,000 NTREIS
  • 2023-04-25 Pending NTREIS
  • 2023-04-25 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2023-02-09 Listed $44,900 NTREIS
  • 2022-11-29 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2022-08-15 Listed $44,900 NTREIS
  • 2022-07-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $540 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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