🏷️ Likely Rental
1221 N 8th St · Wichita Falls, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.66%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bring your ideas to this great home. Great potential and strong bones. 15 property-package offered as a bundle. 12 residential and 3 commercial, not listed here. See attached offer package with the addresses and proposal. The price for all of them combined is $575,000. A potential of over $1,200,000 ARV and a potential monthly rental income of $12,000 per month. Finaciamiento de DUENO A DUENO disponible. Terminos flexibles con 20 porciento de down. 3 commercial properties: 705 N Broadway St, 302 Jefferson St, and 709 N Broadway St. All information provided is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified.
Key facts
- 7,013 sq ft lot
- Built 1934
- Listed 45 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential property in Scotland subdivision, Wichita County, United States; No known restrictions
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or owner will carry; Loan type treated as clear; No second mortgage
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: No garage, carport, or covered parking
- Security: Security features: Unknown/other
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; No municipal utility district
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Not attached to another property
- Construction: Built in 1934; Siding exterior; Composition/shingle roof; Concrete perimeter foundation and other foundation details
- Exterior features: No known easements; Lot less than 0.5 acre (approx. 0.161 acres)
Interior
- Kitchen: Other appliances
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (10 x 12)
- Flooring: Hardwood and other flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling
- Interior features: One living area and one dining area; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Laundry: Other or none
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $39k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $647 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $39k).
- Recommended offer: $38k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 26.2% vs local median 4.7% in Wichita Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#437 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, crime D.
- Wichita Falls ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #585 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Scotland Park El (math 20% / reading 24%, grade F, #3,333 of 4,322 statewide, top 80%, 473 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 54% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $270 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1934 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1934 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.96% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 71.07%
- DSCR
- 4.16
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $74,955
- List price
- $39,000
- Delta
- -47.97%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 70.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.17×
- Total profit
- $34,665
- Equity at exit
- $5,815
- IRR
- 74.4%
- Equity multiple
- 8.54×
- Total profit
- $82,385
- Equity at exit
- $3,372
Cash invested: $10,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76306
- Home prices YoY
- -30.1%
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 114
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,155 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$205
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $540/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$243
- Net cashflow
- $647
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,750
- Closing costs
- $1,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 504 Fillmore St Wichita Falls, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 734 | $895 | $1.22 | 43d | 6 | 1.20mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $39,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $39,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $39,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $39,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $39,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $39,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $39,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $39,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $39,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $39,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $39,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $39,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $39,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $39,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $39,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $39,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-04$39,000 Active 829-char remark
-
2023-04-25status Pending 652-char remark
Show marketing remark (652 chars)
Bring your ideas to this great home. Great potential and strong bones. 15 property-package offered as a bundle. 12 residential and 3 commercial, not listed here. See attached offer package with the addresses and proposal. The price for all of them combined is $575,000. A potential of over $1,200,000 ARV and a potential monthly rental income of $12,000 per month. Finaciamiento de DUENO A DUENO disponible. Terminos flexibles con 20 porciento de down. 3 commercial properties: 705 N Broadway St, 302 Jefferson St, and 709 N Broadway St. All information provided is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified.
-
2023-04-25soldstatus Closed 652-char remark
Show marketing remark (652 chars)
Bring your ideas to this great home. Great potential and strong bones. 15 property-package offered as a bundle. 12 residential and 3 commercial, not listed here. See attached offer package with the addresses and proposal. The price for all of them combined is $575,000. A potential of over $1,200,000 ARV and a potential monthly rental income of $12,000 per month. Finaciamiento de DUENO A DUENO disponible. Terminos flexibles con 20 porciento de down. 3 commercial properties: 705 N Broadway St, 302 Jefferson St, and 709 N Broadway St. All information provided is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified.
-
2023-02-09$44,900 Active 652-char remark
Show marketing remark (652 chars)
Bring your ideas to this great home. Great potential and strong bones. 15 property-package offered as a bundle. 12 residential and 3 commercial, not listed here. See attached offer package with the addresses and proposal. The price for all of them combined is $575,000. A potential of over $1,200,000 ARV and a potential monthly rental income of $12,000 per month. Finaciamiento de DUENO A DUENO disponible. Terminos flexibles con 20 porciento de down. 3 commercial properties: 705 N Broadway St, 302 Jefferson St, and 709 N Broadway St. All information provided is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified.
-
2022-11-29historical
-
2022-08-15$44,900 Active
-
2022-07-25soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $540 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $714 · $59/mo
- Expected delta
- +$174/yr (+$15/mo · 32.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,860
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,185
- − Property taxes
- −$540
- − Insurance
- −$195
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,109
- − Management
- −$1,109
- − Depreciation
- −$1,135
- Taxable income
- $7,589
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,821
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,939/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wichita Falls ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4845780
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,604
- Composite
- 27.06/100
- National rank
- #7051
- State rank
- #585 of 826 in TX
Livability — Wichita Falls
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #437
- US rank
- #8940
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wichita Falls, TX
- County
- Wichita County · 95,694 people
- City population
- 95,694
- Metro
- Wichita Falls, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,963
- Household income
- $46,957
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 235.0
Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 129,638 people
- By 2030
- 128,366 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 124,466 · -4.0%
- By 2050
- 120,499 · -7.0%
- By 2075
- 113,884 · -12.2%
- By 2100
- 101,818 · -21.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 16% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 8% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wichita
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.29%
- Current HPI
- 165.6314
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.81%
- Metro
- Wichita Falls, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-13.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Listed $39,000 NTREIS
- 2023-04-25 Pending — NTREIS
- 2023-04-25 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2023-02-09 Listed $44,900 NTREIS
- 2022-11-29 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2022-08-15 Listed $44,900 NTREIS
- 2022-07-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $540 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…