3141 Schneider Rd · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 2-bedroom home located in a desirable neighborhood close to schools and parks! This property offers additional living space with a fully finished attic that can be used as a third bedroom, bonus room, or easily converted back into a traditional 3-bedroom layout with minimal modifications. The home needs some cosmetic updates but has great potential for a homeowner or investor alike. Don't miss this opportunity—Minimum Bid Auction of just $79,000 on May 11th at 4 PM. Preview and registration will begin at 3 PM.
Key facts
- Close to parks
- Close to schools
- Fully finished attic
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $615 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $77k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.6% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 71 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.38%
- DSCR
- 2.49
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $184,153
- List price
- $79,000
- Delta
- -57.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1654 Charmaine Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,453 (-4%) | 2mo | $195,553 | $135 | 86 |
| 3278 Ravenwood Blvd | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,444 (-4%) | 1mo | $189,900 | $132 | 79 |
| 3438 Ravenwood Blvd | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,592 (+5%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $119 | 69 |
| 3340 Muirfield Ave | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,633 (+8%) | 6mo | $224,900 | $138 | 66 |
| 3250 Heatherdowns Blvd | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,365 (-10%) | 3mo | $198,900 | $146 | 64 |
| 1931 Cherrylawn Dr | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,562 (+3%) | 3mo | $260,000 | $166 | 62 |
| 1809 Strathmoor Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 | 1,638 (+8%) | 6mo | $190,000 | $116 | 61 |
| 3431 Cragmoor Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,710 (+13%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $129 | 55 |
| 1351 Bensch Dr | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 | 1,657 (+10%) | 4mo | $194,000 | $117 | 54 |
| 1537 Wilmore Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,682 (+11%) | 6mo | $135,000 | $80 | 45 |
| 3510 Claudia Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,711 (+13%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $134 | 40 |
| 1919 Colony Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,710 (+13%) | 5mo | $211,000 | $123 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.58×
- Total profit
- $34,994
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 44.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.43×
- Total profit
- $120,078
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43614
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Rents YoY
- 8.0%
- Active inventory
- 71
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,612 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$211 /mo · $2,531/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $615
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3042 Cragmoor Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,800 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1255 S Byrne Rd Toledo, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1080 | $1,529 | $1.42 | 14d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1510 Watova Rd Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1197 | $1,495 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3025 S Byrne Rd Unit 1 Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,095 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending 530-char remark
Show marketing remark (530 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom home located in a desirable neighborhood close to schools and parks! This property offers additional living space with a fully finished attic that can be used as a third bedroom, bonus room, or easily converted back into a traditional 3-bedroom layout with minimal modifications. The home needs some cosmetic updates but has great potential for a homeowner or investor alike. Don't miss this opportunity—Minimum Bid Auction of just $79,000 on May 11th at 4 PM. Preview and registration will begin at 3 PM.
-
2026-04-06$79,000 Active 530-char remark
Show marketing remark (530 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom home located in a desirable neighborhood close to schools and parks! This property offers additional living space with a fully finished attic that can be used as a third bedroom, bonus room, or easily converted back into a traditional 3-bedroom layout with minimal modifications. The home needs some cosmetic updates but has great potential for a homeowner or investor alike. Don't miss this opportunity—Minimum Bid Auction of just $79,000 on May 11th at 4 PM. Preview and registration will begin at 3 PM.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,531 · $211/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,531 · $211/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,342
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$2,531
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,547
- − Management
- −$1,547
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $6,598
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,583
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,799/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,075
- Household income
- $58,961
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1407.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Italian 5% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.96%
- Current HPI
- 214.7031
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.03%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — NORIS
- 2026-04-06 Listed $79,000 NORIS
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,531 · -1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…