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138 N Locust St
D+ Composite 47.72
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

138 N Locust St · Appleton, WI 54914
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,465 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1895 5,662 sqft lot Est $268k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Experience the best of downtown Appleton in this beautifully updated, move-in ready 3-bed, 2-bath Cape Cod! You will love the main-floor primary bedroom with generous walk-in closet. The central, open-concept kitchen offers abundant cabinetry & ample counter space for the aspiring chef, with sightlines to both the living room and the dining room. A full bath completes the main level. Upstairs features 2 bedrooms, a full bath, and convenient laundry. Your perfectly-sized, fenced backyard--complete with deck & pergola--is ideal for hosting your summer cookouts and offers plenty of room to play! Take advantage of the unbeatable location within walking distance of restaurants, conce

Key facts

  • Ample counter space
  • Walk-in closet
  • Open-concept kitchen

Tags

MAIN-FLOOR PRIMARY BEDROOMWALK-IN CLOSETOPEN-CONCEPT KITCHENABUNDANT CABINETRYAMPLE COUNTER SPACEFENCED BACKYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Included: range, refrigerator, microwave, dishwasher, washer, dryer, freezer in basement, 2 white storage cabinets, coat & shoe bench, playset, pergola, storage shelving in basement and garage; Excludes personal property

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage with opener included; Additional 1 parking space; Garage described as 1.5 spaces total
  • Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer; Natural gas
  • Home design: 1.5-story single-family home; Vinyl exterior; Less than 1/2 acre lot (approximately 0.13 acre); Zoned residential
  • Construction: Vinyl exterior; Stone foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Fenced yard; Sidewalks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level (13 x 11); Second bedroom on upper level (13 x 12); Third bedroom on upper level (12 x 11)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Baths include combinations of tub only, shower over tub, shower stall, and ceramic tile
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Natural gas heat
  • Interior features: Cable/satellite available; High-speed internet available; Walk-in closet(s); Crawl space and full stone basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Freezer in basement; Storage shelving in basement and garage

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $71 ($847/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (12.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $218k (12.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.2% in Appleton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#44 in WI, #1,073 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-.
  • Appleton Area School District (urban): math 33% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #224 of 342 in WI (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Ronald C Dunlap Elementary School (math 32% / reading 22%, grade F, #746 of 1,041 statewide, top 75%, 382 students, 72% FRL); Wilson Middle (math 14% / reading 24%, grade F, #354 of 383 statewide, top 93%, 364 students, 62% FRL); West High (math 19% / reading 27%, grade F, #343 of 483 statewide, top 72%, 1,157 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 32% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 52 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 460 units permitted in Outagamie County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Outagamie County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $155k; list at $250k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $218,298 (12.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.63%
Cash-on-cash
1.21%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$268,095
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
727 N Bennett St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,497 (+2%) 2mo $279,700 $187 72
731 W Elsie St 0.29mi 3/1.5 1,344 (-8%) 2mo $200,000 $149 68
1019 W Oklahoma St 0.43mi 3/1.5 1,368 (-7%) 2mo $255,000 $186 66
726 W Summer St 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,421 (-3%) 3mo $240,000 $169 63
739 W 8th St 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,680 (+15%) 2mo $224,900 $134 62
121 S Outagamie St 0.58mi 3/1.5 1,364 (-7%) 1mo $257,000 $188 59
303 N Outagamie St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,386 (-5%) 2mo $240,000 $173 58
913 N Harriman St 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,556 (+6%) 2mo $280,913 $181 58
933 W Lawrence St 0.24mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,256 (-14%) 0mo $236,000 $188 58
319 S Spruce St 0.45mi 3/1.5 1,296 (-12%) 0mo $262,000 $202 58
1417 W 8th St 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,336 (-9%) 2mo $212,000 $159 53
109 E Hancock St 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,258 (-14%) 1mo $230,000 $183 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.77% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.4%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-25,047
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$33,664
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 54914

Rents YoY
7.8%
Active inventory
52
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,183 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$239 /mo · $2,865/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$458
Net cashflow
$71

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,094
Max offer price $250,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $212 -5% $141 +0% $71 +5% $0 +10% $-71
Rent -10% $-102 -5% $-16 +0% $71 +5% $157 +10% $243
Rate -1.0pp $196 -0.5pp $134 base $71 +0.5pp $6 +1.0pp $-60

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
217 S Badger Ave Unit 1387451P Appleton, WI 3.0 2.0 1194 $3,470 $2.91 15d 1 0.22mi
826 W Elsie St Appleton, WI 4.0 2.0 1328 $1,800 $1.36 23d 1 0.34mi
806 N Richmond St Appleton, WI 4.0 1.5 1260 $2,695 $2.14 23d 1 0.43mi
609 S State St Unit 1061651P Appleton, WI 4.0 2.5 1593 $3,236 $2.03 45d 1 0.45mi
105 W College Ave Appleton, WI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 843 $1,975 $2.34 15d 15 0.54mi
1006 W Spring St Appleton, WI 2.0 1.0 900 $2,250 $2.50 45d 1 0.61mi
517 N Morrison St Appleton, WI 3.0 1.5 1400 $1,495 $1.07 15d 1 0.65mi
118 N Durkee St Appleton, WI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 849 $1,850 $2.18 15d 3 0.73mi
1114 N Superior St Unit 2 Appleton, WI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 15d 1 0.74mi
320 E College Ave Unit 603 Appleton, WI 2.0 2.0 1592 $2,995 $1.88 45d 1 0.75mi
320 E College Ave Unit 204 Appleton, WI 2.0 2.0 1298 $2,500 $1.93 23d 1 0.75mi
320 E College Ave Unit 307 Appleton, WI 3.0 2.0 1525 $2,500 $1.64 45d 1 0.75mi
320 E College Ave Unit 208 Appleton, WI 2.0 2.0 1443 $2,400 $1.66 45d 1 0.75mi
1115 N Mason St Appleton, WI 3.0 2.0 1664 $1,495 $0.90 15d 1 0.75mi
1208 N Superior St Unit 1208 LOWER Appleton, WI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,500 $1.58 45d 1 0.78mi
807 E Atlantic St Appleton, WI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,799 $1.87 23d 1 1.16mi
839 E John St Unit lower Appleton, WI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 23d 1 1.19mi
228 N Rankin St Unit 1061616P Appleton, WI 2.0 1.0 1097 $6,795 $6.19 15d 1 1.21mi
229 W Marquette St Appleton, WI 4.0 1.0 1152 $1,625 $1.41 46d 1 1.37mi
2130 W Russet Ct Appleton, WI 1.0–2.0 1.0 900 $1,270 $1.41 15d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $250,000 Pending 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    remarks 691-char remark
  3. 2026-06-13
    listed $250,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,865 · $239/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,745 · $312/mo
Expected delta
+$880/yr (+$73/mo · 30.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,196
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$2,865
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,096
− Management
−$2,096
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$3,388
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$813
After-tax cash flow
$1,660/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Appleton Area School District
NCES district ID
5500390
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$53,892
Composite
30.3/100
National rank
#6279
State rank
#224 of 342 in WI

Livability — Appleton

Score
82/100
State rank
#44
US rank
#1073

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Appleton, WI
County
Outagamie County · 155,051 people
City population
126,671
Metro
Appleton, WI
Population (ZIP)
31,849
Household income
$79,875
Rent vs Own
39.1% rent · 60.9% own
Severe rent burden
744.0

Population outlook (Outagamie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
195,863 people
By 2030
201,154 · +2.7%
By 2040
209,053 · +6.7%
By 2050
211,957 · +8.2%
By 2075
214,299 · +9.4%
By 2100
200,825 · +2.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 5% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Portuguese 4% Iranian 4%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 3% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Outagamie

2024 margin
R (+10.2) · D 44.2% · R 54.4% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-21.8pp toward R · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: -10.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+10.2 2020: R+9.9 2016: R+12.6 2012: R+1.8 2008: D+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -213.81%
Current HPI
214.5939
Rent YoY
▲ 7.77%
Metro
Appleton, WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+150.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $250,000 METROMLS
  • 2019-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
  • 2019-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
  • 2018-01-02 Sold (Public Records) $136,000 Public Records
  • 2017-04-06 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2014-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,865 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…