55 Walker Ave · Gettysburg, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.5/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
From its convenient location to its move-in ready condition, this home is worth a look. Located just West of Gettysburg this 3 Bedroom, 1.5 bath home features new flooring, central air conditioning, 2 parking spaces with a carport, storage shed, appliances, and a large covered patio. Schedule an appointment!
Key facts
- New flooring
- Carport
- Storage shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $177 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $55k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 2.1% in Gettysburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 87/100 on livability (#45 in PA, #253 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: housing C-, employment D.
- Gettysburg Area SD (rural): math 46% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #132 of 539 in PA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 313 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 403 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Adams County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $11k; list at $60k implies a 425% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 44% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.68%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $44,337
- List price
- $59,900
- Delta
- 35.10%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 Walker Ave | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 910 (-2%) | 11mo | $40,000 | $44 | 75 |
| 98 Walker Ave | 0.08mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 852 (-8%) | 19mo | $40,000 | $47 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $1,982
- Equity at exit
- $8,931
- IRR
- 13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $17,884
- Equity at exit
- $5,179
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17325
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Active inventory
- 313
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,524 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$19 /mo · $231/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$668
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$320
- Net cashflow
- $177
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $668 · $8,016/yr
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $59,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $59,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $59,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $59,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $59,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-03-15$59,900 Active 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
From its convenient location to its move-in ready condition, this home is worth a look. Located just West of Gettysburg this 3 Bedroom, 1.5 bath home features new flooring, central air conditioning, 2 parking spaces with a carport, storage shed, appliances, and a large covered patio. Schedule an appointment!
-
2002-04-29soldstatus $11,400 152-char remark
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
VERY WELL MAINTAINED 3BR/1.5BA MOBILE IN LINCOLN ESTATES. LOT RENT $255/MO. CENTRAL AIR. CARPORT. A GREAT BUY! BUYER MUST BE APPROVED BY PARK MANAGER. |
-
2002-03-22historical 152-char remark
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
VERY WELL MAINTAINED 3BR/1.5BA MOBILE IN LINCOLN ESTATES. LOT RENT $255/MO. CENTRAL AIR. CARPORT. A GREAT BUY! BUYER MUST BE APPROVED BY PARK MANAGER. |
-
2002-03-07$10,500 152-char remark
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
VERY WELL MAINTAINED 3BR/1.5BA MOBILE IN LINCOLN ESTATES. LOT RENT $255/MO. CENTRAL AIR. CARPORT. A GREAT BUY! BUYER MUST BE APPROVED BY PARK MANAGER. |
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $231 · $19/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $589 · $49/mo
- Expected delta
- +$358/yr (+$30/mo · 154.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,282
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$231
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,463
- − Management
- −$1,463
- − HOA
- −$8,016
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $1,713
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$411
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,716/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gettysburg Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4210710
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,451
- Composite
- 46.03/100
- National rank
- #2526
- State rank
- #132 of 539 in PA
Livability — Gettysburg
- Score
- 87/100
- State rank
- #45
- US rank
- #253
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Adams County · 30,373 people
- City population
- 30,373
- Metro
- Gettysburg, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,373
- Household income
- $80,948
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 447.0
Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 102,494 people
- By 2030
- 101,890 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 98,417 · -4.0%
- By 2050
- 92,014 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 76,128 · -25.7%
- By 2100
- 58,931 · -42.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Adams
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.7% · R 66.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -33.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.6 2020: R+34.1 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+27.6 2008: R+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.49%
- Current HPI
- 282.6594
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Gettysburg, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+470.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-15 Listed $59,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-04-29 Sold (MLS) $11,400 BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-03-22 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-03-07 Listed $10,500 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2026): $231 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…