413 NW 143rd St · Oklahoma City, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.8/15.0
- Cash flow +12.7/30.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$285,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NEW HOME BY GRAND VALLEY PROPERTIES SOLD AS A CUSTOM..
Key facts
- Large covered patio
- Crown moldings
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Built in 1999
- Construction: Built in 1999
- Exterior features: Located in the Glen Oaks Residential subdivision
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $285k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-32 ($-379/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $279k (2.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $238k (16.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $238k (16.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.7% in Oklahoma City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#3 in OK, #1,635 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F.
- Edmond (suburban): math 38% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #11 of 270 in OK (top 4%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 654 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $158k; list at $285k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.48%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $322,890
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 500 NW 143rd St | 0.12mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,340 (+2%) | 2mo | $285,000 | $122 | 84 |
| 14521 Waterfront Rd | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,219 (-3%) | 2mo | $340,000 | $153 | 74 |
| 14609 N Waterfront Rd | 0.31mi | 4/2.5 | 2,230 (-3%) | 14mo | $323,500 | $145 | 68 |
| 14605 N Waterfront Rd | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 | 2,056 (-10%) | 0mo | $307,000 | $149 | 65 |
| 805 NW 142nd St | 0.41mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,307 (+1%) | 9mo | $297,500 | $129 | 65 |
| 404 NW 140th St | 0.20mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,154 (-6%) | 13mo | $305,000 | $142 | 63 |
| 13804 Oakmond Rd | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 | 2,077 (-9%) | 6mo | $267,000 | $129 | 59 |
| 1112 NW 140th Ter | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,268 (-1%) | 3mo | $285,000 | $126 | 55 |
| 713 NW 143rd St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,144 (-6%) | 10mo | $285,900 | $133 | 55 |
| 705 NW 142nd St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,996 (-13%) | 8mo | $259,000 | $130 | 47 |
| 15300 Olde Lake Ln | 0.70mi | 4/3.5 | 2,548 (+11%) | 14mo | $475,000 | $186 | 35 |
| 14016 Apache Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,951 (-15%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $141 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-47,861
- Equity at exit
- $42,494
- IRR
- -8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-42,894
- Equity at exit
- $24,642
Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73013
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 654
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,377 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,495
- Tax from tax record
- −$296 /mo · $3,556/yr
- Insurance
- −$119
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$499
- Net cashflow
- $-32
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,250
- Closing costs
- $8,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 413 NW 143rd St Edmond, OK | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2290 | $2,395 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 413 NW 143rd St Edmond, OK | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2290 | $2,395 | $1.05 | 2d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 605 NW 138th St Edmond, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1631 | $1,745 | $1.07 | 2d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1800 Napa Valley Rd Edmond, OK | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1901 | $2,200 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 13 NW 156th St Edmond, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1746 | $2,200 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2609 Foxglove Ln Edmond, OK | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2350 | $2,650 | $1.13 | 4d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2609 Foxglove Ln Edmond, OK | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2350 | $2,650 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 16108 N Western Ave Edmond, OK | 3.0–4.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $2,098 | $1.23 | 3d | 6 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-12$285,000 Active
-
2000-01-13soldstatus $157,725 54-char remark
Show marketing remark (54 chars)
NEW HOME BY GRAND VALLEY PROPERTIES SOLD AS A CUSTOM..
-
1999-06-17$157,725 54-char remark
Show marketing remark (54 chars)
NEW HOME BY GRAND VALLEY PROPERTIES SOLD AS A CUSTOM..
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,556 · $296/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,556 · $296/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,527
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,964
- − Property taxes
- −$3,556
- − Insurance
- −$1,425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,282
- − Management
- −$2,282
- − Depreciation
- −$8,291
- Taxable loss
- −$5,274
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,266
- After-tax cash flow
- $886/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Edmond
- NCES district ID
- 4010590
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,212
- Composite
- 35.88/100
- National rank
- #4814
- State rank
- #11 of 270 in OK
Livability — Oklahoma City
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1635
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oklahoma City, OK
- County
- Oklahoma County · 771,644 people
- City population
- 498,656
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 58,023
- Household income
- $113,870
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1313.0
Population outlook (Oklahoma County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 911,875 people
- By 2030
- 982,413 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,130,468 · +24.0%
- By 2050
- 1,288,422 · +41.3%
- By 2075
- 1,711,482 · +87.7%
- By 2100
- 2,088,448 · +129.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Two or more races 11% Black 9% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oklahoma
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.7% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +15.1pp toward D · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -1.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.7 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+10.5 2012: R+16.7 2008: R+16.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -201.41%
- Current HPI
- 214.2251
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.14%
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+80.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $285,000 FSBO.com
- 2000-01-13 Sold (MLS) $157,725 MLSOK
- 1999-06-17 Listed $157,725 MLSOK
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,556 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…