5752 Chatsworth St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.8/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.2/15.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Built 1928
- Listed 283 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $514 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 484 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,785/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 2515% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 283 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 30 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 283 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.75%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $142,137
- List price
- $140,000
- Delta
- -1.50%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $6,075
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $31,779
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48224
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 484
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,785 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,236/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$375
- Net cashflow
- $514
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13395 Maiden St Detroit, MI | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $1,600 | $0.91 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 280 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $140,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $140,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $140,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-05-18historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-05-18historical Accepting Backup Offers
-
2026-05-13status Active
-
2026-05-13status Active
-
2026-05-08historical Accepting Backup Offers
-
2026-05-08historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-16status Active
-
2026-04-16status Active
-
2026-04-13status Pending
-
2026-04-13status Pending
-
2026-04-03status Active
-
2026-04-03status Active
-
2026-03-19historical Accepting Backup Offers
-
2026-03-19historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-02-13status Active
-
2026-02-13status Active
-
2026-01-29status Pending
-
2026-01-29status Pending
-
2026-01-03status Active
-
2026-01-03status Active
-
2025-12-18historical Accepting Backup Offers
-
2025-12-18historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-10-04price $140,000
-
2025-10-03price $140,000
-
2025-08-21historical
-
2025-08-21historical
-
2025-08-13$145,000 Active
-
2025-08-13$145,000 Active
-
2025-08-12historical
-
2025-08-11$145,000 Active
-
2025-08-11$145,000 Active
-
2025-06-29historical
-
2025-06-29historical
-
2025-05-14price $145,000
-
2025-05-13price $145,000
-
2025-04-21price $150,000
-
2025-04-21price $150,000
-
2025-03-29$135,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,236 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,696 · $141/mo
- Expected delta
- +$460/yr (+$38/mo · 37.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,417
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$1,236
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,713
- − Management
- −$1,713
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $4,139
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$993
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,180/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,668
- Household income
- $44,856
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2515.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 88% White 8% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -226.38%
- Current HPI
- 161.886
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.73%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+7.7% since first listed77 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-18 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-08 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-08 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-16 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-16 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-13 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-13 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-19 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-19 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2026-02-13 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-13 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-29 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-29 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-03 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-03 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2025-12-18 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-18 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2025-10-04 Price Changed $140,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-03 Price Changed $140,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-08-21 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-08-21 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-08-13 Listed $145,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-08-13 Listed $145,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-08-12 Coming Soon — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-08-11 Listed $145,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-08-11 Listed $145,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-06-29 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-06-29 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-05-14 Price Changed $145,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-05-13 Price Changed $145,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-04-21 Price Changed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-04-21 Price Changed $150,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-03-29 Listed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-03-29 Listed $135,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-03-28 Coming Soon — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-03-27 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-03-27 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-27 Listed $145,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-11-27 Listed $145,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-06-23 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-06-23 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-01-23 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-01-23 Listed $130,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-01-23 Listed $130,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-01-23 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2024-01-09 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-01-09 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-05-15 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2023-03-27 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-03-27 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-03-22 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-03-22 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2023-03-08 Price Changed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-03-08 Price Changed $105,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-02-25 Listed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-02-25 Listed $115,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-02-23 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-02-22 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2023-02-06 Listed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-02-06 Listed $115,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-09-21 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2022-09-20 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-08-26 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2022-07-28 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2022-07-09 Price Changed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-07-09 Price Changed $150,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-07-08 Listed $130,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-07-08 Listed $130,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-11-02 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2021-11-02 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-09-23 Listed $130,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-09-23 Listed $130,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,236 · -8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…