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533 Seminole Cir
C+ Composite 60.08
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.7/15.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,000

533 Seminole Cir · Fairfield, AL 35064
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 39 Days on market
Built 1948 7,405 sqft lot $118/sqft · 77% above area Est $89k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming all-electric home with several major updates already completed! Roof, water heater, windows, plumbing, and electrical systems were all updated approximately 6 years ago, offering added peace of mind for the new owner. HVAC has been well maintained with A/C serviced in 2025, and the furnace is approximately 5 years old. Interior features beautiful new hardwood flooring installed in 2026, adding warmth and modern appeal throughout the home. Property is being sold AS IS, making it a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. Buyer to verify all items of importance, including schools, square footage, and utilities. Seller may consider minor repairs.

Key facts

  • All electric home
  • Updated windows
  • Updated water heater

Tags

ALL ELECTRIC HOMEMAJOR UPDATESUPDATED ROOFUPDATED WATER HEATERUPDATED WINDOWSUPDATED PLUMBING

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association fees noted

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Unknown internet service availability; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Existing structure; Basement foundation
  • Construction: Wood siding exterior
  • Exterior features: No pool, patio, decks, or garden/patio; Not waterfront; Lot size approximately 0.17 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Laminate countertops
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood and tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom with tub/shower combo
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Smooth ceilings; Some finished basement area; Partial basement with unfinished areas and concrete block construction; Attic with pull-down access; No additional listed interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry with floor drain; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $160 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($893 rent vs $79k).
  • Recommended offer: $77k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#160 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, employment F.
  • Fairfield City (suburban): math 2% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #125 of 129 in AL (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Glen Oaks Elementary School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #568 of 627 statewide, top 94%, 324 students, 70% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $76,630 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
8.72%
Cash-on-cash
8.66%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$89,307
List price
$79,000
Delta
-11.54%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6605 Tensaw Ct 0.10mi 2/1.0 672 (0%) 7mo $86,000 $128 90
129 61st St 0.47mi 2/1.0 756 (+12%) 11mo $19,000 $25 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.2%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-2,626
Equity at exit
$11,779
10-year hold
IRR
6.6%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$10,853
Equity at exit
$6,830

Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35064

Home prices YoY
-28.8%
Active inventory
52
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$893 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$414
Tax est. 1.5%
$99 /mo · $1,185/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$188
Net cashflow
$160

Break-even live

Break-even rent $691
Max offer price $79,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,750
Closing costs
$2,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
125 Jerry Coleman St Fairfield, AL 2.0 1.0 715 $725 $1.01 43d 1 0.42mi
412 Fairfax Dr Unit 432-13 Fairfield, AL 1.0 1.0 555 $775 $1.40 10d 1 0.95mi
1317 Woodward Rd Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 672 $800 $1.19 1d 1 1.32mi
5712 Monte Sano Rd Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 700 $900 $1.29 43d 1 1.34mi
1045 57th St Birmingham, AL 1.0 1.0 700 $775 $1.11 43d 1 1.43mi
5710 Monte Sano Dr Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 43d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,000 Active 39 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,000 Active 38 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,000 Active 37 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,000 Active 36 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,000 Active 34 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $79,000 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,000 Active 30 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,000 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,000 Active 28 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,000 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,000 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,000 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,000 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-05-10
    listed $79,000 Active 664-char remark
  15. 2016-09-21
    price $6,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,716
− Mortgage interest
−$4,425
− Property taxes
−$1,185
− Insurance
−$395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$857
− Management
−$857
− Depreciation
−$2,298
Taxable income
$698
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$168
After-tax cash flow
$1,747/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fairfield City
NCES district ID
0101440
Math proficiency
2% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$35,288
Composite
6.92/100
National rank
#9974
State rank
#125 of 129 in AL

Livability — Fairfield

Score
64/100
State rank
#160
US rank
#14390

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fairfield, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
9,872
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
9,872
Household income
$48,692
Rent vs Own
40.5% rent · 59.5% own
Severe rent burden
784.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% White 7% Two or more races 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.47%
Current HPI
124.7012
Rent YoY
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1216.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-10 Listed $79,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2016-09-21 Price Changed $6,000 Greater Alabama MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…