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2007 Fern Crest Ln
C- Composite 53.42
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.2/15.0
  • Appreciation +9.2/10.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$247,100

2007 Fern Crest Ln · Graniteville, SC 29829
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,665 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 2015 9,148 sqft lot Est $263k · 6% under $46/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Situated on a desirable corner lot just minutes from I-20, this beautifully maintained home offers the perfect combination of comfort, flexibility, and convenience. Inside, you'll find a split bedroom floor plan featuring a spacious owner's suite with a walk-in closet and a private bath complete with dual vanities, a soaking tub, and a separate shower. Two generously sized secondary bedrooms are thoughtfully positioned on the opposite side of the home, providing privacy for family members or guests. The open concept living area flows seamlessly into the kitchen, which features granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and abundant cabinet space. Just off the living room, french doors lead to a versatile flex room that can easily serve as a home office, playroom, or formal dining room. Step outside to enjoy the covered rear patio and backyard, ideal for entertaining, relaxing, or enjoying South Carolina's beautiful weather. Move-in ready and thoughtfully designed, this home offers space and functionality.

Key facts

  • Dual vanities
  • Walk-in closet
  • Private bath

Tags

CORNER LOTSPLIT BEDROOM FLOOR PLANOWNER'S SUITEWALK-IN CLOSETPRIVATE BATHDUAL VANITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned residential
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee of $550 (about $45.83/month); Street lights in the community; Subdivision: Sage Creek - The Crest

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story; Entry level: 1
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built as residential single family
  • Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Corner lot; Landscaped yard; Front sprinklers; Has a view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Disposal; Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Master downstairs
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Heat pump; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Master bedroom on main level; Walk-in closet(s); Ceiling fan(s); Pantry; Eat-in kitchen; Accessible full bathroom
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $247k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $59 ($702/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (11.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $218k (11.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#240 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Aiken 01 (suburban): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #36 of 80 in SC (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Byrd Elementary (math 28% / reading 36%, grade F, #369 of 597 statewide, top 64%, 657 students, 37% FRL); Leavelle Mccampbell Middle (math 19% / reading 32%, grade F, #162 of 229 statewide, top 71%, 650 students, 55% FRL); Midland Valley High (math 31% / reading 83%, grade C, #120 of 196 statewide, top 64%, 1,477 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 299 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,500 units permitted in Aiken County in 2024 (1,023 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $22k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
  • Aiken County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (8.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $69k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($243k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $217,696 (11.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.58%
Cash-on-cash
1.02%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$263,070
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
727 Turning Crest Ln 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,665 (0%) 3mo $250,000 $150 94
207 Almond Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,662 (-0%) 4mo $250,000 $150 77
150 Almond Dr 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,656 (-0%) 1mo $257,000 $155 76
4114 Stone Pass Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,561 (-6%) 6mo $245,999 $158 65
4091 Stone Pass Dr 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,550 (-7%) 4mo $249,900 $161 64
4104 Stone Pass Dr 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,495 (-10%) 3mo $238,900 $160 60
8096 Cozy Knl 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,532 (-8%) 4mo $251,500 $164 58
2018 Winding Trail Rd 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,506 (-10%) 2mo $250,000 $166 57
4046 Stone Pass Dr 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,536 (-8%) 10mo $244,900 $159 55
6201 Vermilion Loop Rd 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,768 (+6%) 6mo $270,000 $153 50
159 Almond Dr 0.45mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,872 (+12%) 4mo $270,000 $144 50
3158 Carmine Ave 0.67mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,768 (+6%) 7mo $265,000 $150 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.6%
Equity multiple
2.61×
Total profit
$111,563
Equity at exit
$194,154
10-year hold
IRR
19.8%
Equity multiple
5.64×
Total profit
$321,304
Equity at exit
$391,688

Cash invested: $69,188 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29829

Home prices YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
299
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,177 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,296
Tax from tax record
$216 /mo · $2,598/yr
Insurance
$103
HOA
$46
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$457
Net cashflow
$59

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,103
Max offer price $247,100
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,775
Closing costs
$7,413
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
507 Satinwood Cir Graniteville, SC 3.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1776 $1,989 $1.12 13d 5 0.11mi
934 Quaint Parish Cir Graniteville, SC 3.0 2.5 1435 $1,800 $1.25 23d 1 0.15mi
4060 Stone Pass Dr Graniteville, SC 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,925 $1.20 23d 1 0.53mi
4074 Thimbleberry Dr Graniteville, SC 3.0 2.5 1854 $1,900 $1.02 21d 1 0.66mi
6130 Mahogany Ter Graniteville, SC 4.0 2.0 1893 $2,250 $1.19 13d 1 0.66mi
4044 Thimbleberry Dr Graniteville, SC 3.0 2.5 1694 $1,925 $1.14 21d 1 0.69mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$46 · $552/yr

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $247,100 Pending 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $247,100 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $247,100 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $247,100 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $247,100 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $247,100 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $247,100 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $247,100 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $247,100 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-05-30
    days on market $247,100 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-05-27
    listed $247,100 Active
    Show marketing remark (1026 chars)

    Situated on a desirable corner lot just minutes from I-20, this beautifully maintained home offers the perfect combination of comfort, flexibility, and convenience. Inside, you'll find a split bedroom floor plan featuring a spacious owner's suite with a walk-in closet and a private bath complete with dual vanities, a soaking tub, and a separate shower. Two generously sized secondary bedrooms are thoughtfully positioned on the opposite side of the home, providing privacy for family members or guests. The open concept living area flows seamlessly into the kitchen, which features granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and abundant cabinet space. Just off the living room, french doors lead to a versatile flex room that can easily serve as a home office, playroom, or formal dining room. Step outside to enjoy the covered rear patio and backyard, ideal for entertaining, relaxing, or enjoying South Carolina's beautiful weather. Move-in ready and thoughtfully designed, this home offers space and functionality.

  12. 2026-05-27
    listed $247,100 Active 1026-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1026 chars)

    Situated on a desirable corner lot just minutes from I-20, this beautifully maintained home offers the perfect combination of comfort, flexibility, and convenience. Inside, you'll find a split bedroom floor plan featuring a spacious owner's suite with a walk-in closet and a private bath complete with dual vanities, a soaking tub, and a separate shower. Two generously sized secondary bedrooms are thoughtfully positioned on the opposite side of the home, providing privacy for family members or guests. The open concept living area flows seamlessly into the kitchen, which features granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and abundant cabinet space. Just off the living room, french doors lead to a versatile flex room that can easily serve as a home office, playroom, or formal dining room. Step outside to enjoy the covered rear patio and backyard, ideal for entertaining, relaxing, or enjoying South Carolina's beautiful weather. Move-in ready and thoughtfully designed, this home offers space and functionality.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,598 · $216/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,598 · $216/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,124
− Mortgage interest
−$13,841
− Property taxes
−$2,598
− Insurance
−$1,236
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,090
− Management
−$2,090
− HOA
−$552
− Depreciation
−$7,188
Taxable loss
−$3,472
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$833
After-tax cash flow
$1,535/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Aiken 01
NCES district ID
4500720
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$45,081
Composite
31.91/100
National rank
#5857
State rank
#36 of 80 in SC

Livability — Graniteville

Score
59/100
State rank
#240
US rank
#19924

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Aiken County · 116,534 people
City population
12,385
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
Population (ZIP)
12,385
Household income
$84,228
Rent vs Own
18.3% rent · 81.7% own
Severe rent burden
213.0

Population outlook (Aiken County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
178,003 people
By 2030
182,876 · +2.7%
By 2040
189,970 · +6.7%
By 2050
193,840 · +8.9%
By 2075
199,453 · +12.1%
By 2100
192,403 · +8.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Swedish 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Aiken

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.9) · D 36.4% · R 62.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-1.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.0pp · 2024: -25.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.9 2020: R+22.7 2016: R+27.5 2012: R+26.0 2008: R+24.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.38%
Current HPI
286.4155
Rent YoY
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $247,100 Hive MLS
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $247,100 AMLS

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,598 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…