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1609 7th St S
D+ Composite 49.12
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.0/30.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$174,900

1609 7th St S · Phenix City, AL 36869
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,431 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 40 Days on market
Built 1970 Est $157k · 11% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Property is owned by The US Dept of HUD Case #011-645802 Info & Disclosures found at HudHomeStore.com Home is sold as is and no repairs are allowed prior to closing. Home is Insured W/ Escrow subject to appraisal. Seller makes no representation or warranties as to property condition. HUD Homes are sold "As Is". EHO. Earnest Money must be a Cashier Check or Money Order made out to Listing Broker. Seller may contribute 3% CC upon request. Built in 1970 Pre 1978 Properties to include LBP notice Property is owned by the US Dept of HUD. Case Number is 011-645802 Property is Insured W/ Escrow under FHA standards and subject to appraisal. Earnest Money must be Cashier's Check or Money Order made out to Listing Broker. Seller may contribute up to 3% for buyers closing cost upon buyer's request. HUD Homes are sold "As Is" and no repairs are allowed prior to closing. Built in 1970. 3 bed 2.5 bat

Key facts

  • Built 1970
  • Listed 40 days

Tags

WORKSHOPS IN THE BACKGREAT PLACE FOR STORAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $312 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $170k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 5.0% in Phenix City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#297 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Phenix City (suburban): math 22% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #59 of 129 in AL (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 107 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 183 units permitted in Russell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Russell County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $63k; list at $175k implies a 177% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $169,653 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.43%
Cash-on-cash
7.64%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$157,410
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1110 16th Ct S 0.29mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,394 (-3%) 1mo $158,605 $114 72
1703 Ridgecrest Dr 0.42mi 4/2.0 1,456 (+2%) 4mo $222,500 $153 70
802 17th Ave S 0.11mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,416 (-1%) 20mo $137,000 $97 68
1605 7th St S 0.03mi 4/2.0 1,269 (-11%) 20mo $174,000 $137 59
1718 Epworth St 0.27mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,404 (-2%) 20mo $154,000 $110 59
709 9th Ave S 0.75mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,426 (-0%) 16mo $119,700 $84 42
1301 8th St South 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,640 (+15%) 5mo $165,000 $101 38
1616 Ridgecrest Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,612 (+13%) 23mo $155,000 $96 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.43% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.4%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-13,087
Equity at exit
$26,078
10-year hold
IRR
-1.3%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-3,746
Equity at exit
$15,122

Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36869

Home prices YoY
-22.2%
Rents YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
107
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,811 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$917
Tax from tax record
$129 /mo · $1,546/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$380
Net cashflow
$312

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,416
Max offer price $174,900
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $411 -5% $361 +0% $312 +5% $262 +10% $213
Rent -10% $169 -5% $240 +0% $312 +5% $383 +10% $455
Rate -1.0pp $400 -0.5pp $356 base $312 +0.5pp $266 +1.0pp $220

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,725
Closing costs
$5,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14 Brentwood Dr Phenix City, AL 4.0 2.0 1718 $1,795 $1.04 14d 1 1.11mi
414 21st Ave Phenix City, AL 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,250 $1.16 14d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2025-04-24
    status Pending
  2. 2025-04-10
    price $174,900
  3. 2025-04-03
    status Active
  4. 2025-03-25
    status Pending
  5. 2025-03-06
    listed $179,900 Active
  6. 2020-07-23
    soldstatus $63,200 924-char remark
    Show marketing remark (512 chars)

    Property is owned by The US Dept of HUD Case #011-645802 Info & Disclosures found at HudHomeStore.com Home is sold as is and no repairs are allowed prior to closing. Home is Insured W/ Escrow subject to appraisal. Seller makes no representation or warranties as to property condition. HUD Homes are sold "As Is". EHO. Earnest Money must be a Cashier Check or Money Order made out to Listing Broker. Seller may contribute 3% CC upon request. Built in 1970 Pre 1978 Properties to include LBP notice

  7. 2020-07-23
    soldstatus $63,200 512-char remark
    Show marketing remark (512 chars)

    Property is owned by The US Dept of HUD Case #011-645802 Info & Disclosures found at HudHomeStore.com Home is sold as is and no repairs are allowed prior to closing. Home is Insured W/ Escrow subject to appraisal. Seller makes no representation or warranties as to property condition. HUD Homes are sold "As Is". EHO. Earnest Money must be a Cashier Check or Money Order made out to Listing Broker. Seller may contribute 3% CC upon request. Built in 1970 Pre 1978 Properties to include LBP notice

  8. 2019-12-13
    listed $63,200 924-char remark
    Show marketing remark (512 chars)

    Property is owned by The US Dept of HUD Case #011-645802 Info & Disclosures found at HudHomeStore.com Home is sold as is and no repairs are allowed prior to closing. Home is Insured W/ Escrow subject to appraisal. Seller makes no representation or warranties as to property condition. HUD Homes are sold "As Is". EHO. Earnest Money must be a Cashier Check or Money Order made out to Listing Broker. Seller may contribute 3% CC upon request. Built in 1970 Pre 1978 Properties to include LBP notice

  9. 2019-12-13
    listed $63,200 512-char remark
    Show marketing remark (512 chars)

    Property is owned by The US Dept of HUD Case #011-645802 Info & Disclosures found at HudHomeStore.com Home is sold as is and no repairs are allowed prior to closing. Home is Insured W/ Escrow subject to appraisal. Seller makes no representation or warranties as to property condition. HUD Homes are sold "As Is". EHO. Earnest Money must be a Cashier Check or Money Order made out to Listing Broker. Seller may contribute 3% CC upon request. Built in 1970 Pre 1978 Properties to include LBP notice

  10. 2005-06-09
    soldstatus $85,395

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,546 · $129/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,546 · $129/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,729
− Mortgage interest
−$9,797
− Property taxes
−$1,546
− Insurance
−$874
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,738
− Management
−$1,738
− Depreciation
−$5,088
Taxable income
$947
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$227
After-tax cash flow
$3,512/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Phenix City
NCES district ID
0102700
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$36,228
Composite
27.29/100
National rank
#7001
State rank
#59 of 129 in AL

Livability — Phenix City

Score
60/100
State rank
#297
US rank
#19037

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Phenix City, AL
County
Russell County · 53,055 people
City population
62,290
Metro
Columbus, GA-AL
Population (ZIP)
21,518
Household income
$50,061
Rent vs Own
39.8% rent · 60.2% own
Severe rent burden
789.0

Population outlook (Russell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
70,137 people
By 2030
75,826 · +8.1%
By 2040
87,858 · +25.3%
By 2050
99,721 · +42.2%
By 2075
128,009 · +82.5%
By 2100
149,251 · +112.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Black 50% White 41% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Russell

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.4% · R 48.7%
2008→2024 swing
-5.6pp toward R · 2008: 7.3pp · 2024: 1.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.7 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+1.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+7.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -47.69%
Current HPI
166.9094
Rent YoY
▲ 0.43%
Metro
Columbus, GA-AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+104.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2025-04-24 Pending EABOR
  • 2025-04-10 Price Changed $174,900 EABOR
  • 2025-04-03 Relisted EABOR
  • 2025-03-25 Pending EABOR
  • 2025-03-06 Listed $179,900 EABOR
  • 2020-07-23 Sold (MLS) $63,200 EABOR
  • 2020-07-23 Sold (MLS) $63,200 EABOR
  • 2019-12-13 Listed $63,200 EABOR
  • 2019-12-13 Listed $63,200 EABOR
  • 2005-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $85,395 Public Records

Property tax history

+20.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,546 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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