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1263 James St
B- Composite 69.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

1263 James St · Baltimore, MD 21223
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,372 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1898 6,098 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to the historic Pigtown neighborhood, one of Baltimore’s most established and sought-after communities. Offered strictly AS-IS, this property presents an exceptional opportunity for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to customize a home to their own vision. Ideally situated with convenient access to public transportation, major highways, downtown Baltimore, and just minutes from M & T Bank Stadium, Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Horseshoe Casino, the Inner Harbor, and a variety of dining, shopping, and entertainment destinations. With significant potential and a prime location, this property is ready for its next chapter. Please contact the Listing Agent for showing in

Key facts

  • M t bank stadium
  • Horseshoe casino
  • Downtown baltimore

Tags

HISTORIC PIGTOWN NEIGHBORHOODMAJOR HIGHWAYSDOWNTOWN BALTIMOREM T BANK STADIUMORIOLE PARK AT CAMDEN YARDSHORSESHOE CASINO

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Finished above-grade area recorded by assessor; Below-grade unfinished area recorded by assessor

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Fee simple ownership; Brick construction
  • Construction: Brick construction; Building not winterized
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Ground rent paid annually; Tidal water not present; Other structures above and below grade; Pets allowed with no pet restrictions

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level; One bedroom on the lower level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level); One full bathroom total
  • Heating & cooling: Radiator heating; Natural gas heating and natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Basement present (other type)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $883 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.9% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 425 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,878/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 1755% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $100k implies a 163% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1898 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $98,500 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1898 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.88%
Cap rate
16.89%
Cash-on-cash
37.84%
DSCR
2.68
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.6%
Equity multiple
2.75×
Total profit
$48,915
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
47.1%
Equity multiple
6.54×
Total profit
$155,028
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21223

Rents YoY
7.5%
Active inventory
425
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,878 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$35 /mo · $414/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$394
Net cashflow
$883

Break-even live

Break-even rent $760
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $940 -5% $911 +0% $883 +5% $855 +10% $826
Rent -10% $735 -5% $809 +0% $883 +5% $957 +10% $1,031
Rate -1.0pp $933 -0.5pp $908 base $883 +0.5pp $857 +1.0pp $831

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1262 Glyndon Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 3.0 1258 $1,850 $1.47 25d 1 0.03mi
1101 S Carey St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1400 $1,200 $0.86 23d 1 0.04mi
1215 James St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 960 $1,500 $1.56 45d 1 0.05mi
1253 Sargeant St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,695 $1.41 25d 1 0.06mi
1303 James St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1160 $1,350 $1.16 25d 1 0.07mi
1127 S Carey St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1340 $1,900 $1.42 5d 1 0.07mi
1243 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1148 $1,950 $1.70 45d 1 0.10mi
1259 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1232 $2,999 $2.43 5d 1 0.10mi
1160 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 960 $1,575 $1.64 25d 1 0.13mi
1142 Sargeant St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1080 $1,601 $1.48 3d 1 0.13mi
1163 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 1012 $1,700 $1.68 13d 1 0.13mi
1127 Sargeant St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1080 $1,275 $1.18 25d 1 0.14mi
1125 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.5 1200 $2,750 $2.29 19d 1 0.16mi
1205 Cleveland St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1232 $1,900 $1.54 45d 1 0.22mi
305 S Calhoun St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 23d 1 0.23mi
1226 W Cross St Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1551 $2,250 $1.45 45d 1 0.24mi
1432 Carroll St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 912 $1,900 $2.08 45d 1 0.26mi
923 McHenry St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,625 $1.61 45d 1 0.26mi
1132 Nanticoke St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 1500 $1,875 $1.25 25d 1 0.28mi
104 S Carrollton Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 4.0 1232 $2,400 $1.95 5d 1 0.30mi
847 McHenry St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 952 $1,795 $1.89 5d 1 0.30mi
1115 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1468 $2,100 $1.43 45d 1 0.31mi
1111 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,295 $1.08 5d 1 0.31mi
508 Wyeth St Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1234 $1,850 $1.50 45d 1 0.34mi
827 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1512 $2,000 $1.32 25d 1 0.34mi
819 Ramsay St Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.5 1856 $3,000 $1.62 13d 1 0.34mi
1324 W Lombard St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 25d 1 0.36mi
1324 W Lombard St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,450 $1.32 45d 1 0.36mi
913 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1452 $1,600 $1.10 25d 1 0.37mi
110 S Poppleton St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1800 $1,900 $1.06 45d 1 0.37mi
805 Washington Blvd Unit A Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,650 $1.57 45d 1 0.38mi
805 Washington Blvd Unit B Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1106 $1,650 $1.49 21d 1 0.38mi
324 Scott St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.5 1656 $3,000 $1.81 45d 1 0.39mi
1315 Hollins St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1096 $1,950 $1.78 13d 1 0.40mi
1315 Hollins St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1096 $1,860 $1.70 5d 1 0.40mi
709 Scott St Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1448 $2,500 $1.73 16d 1 0.40mi
709 Scott St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1448 $2,500 $1.73 25d 1 0.40mi
519 Scott St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1600 $3,000 $1.88 45d 1 0.40mi
803 McHenry St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.5 1856 $2,599 $1.40 4d 1 0.41mi
1125 Wicomico St Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1068 $1,955 $1.83 25d 1 0.41mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $100,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    remarks 689-char remark
  10. 2026-06-07
    listed $100,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$414 · $35/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$752 · $63/mo
Expected delta
+$338/yr (+$28/mo · 81.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,535
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$414
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,803
− Management
−$1,803
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$9,505
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,281
After-tax cash flow
$8,315/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
19,572
Household income
$45,840
Rent vs Own
68.0% rent · 32.0% own
Severe rent burden
1755.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (72%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 72% White 16% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -97.99%
Current HPI
140.5836
Rent YoY
▲ 7.51%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1049.4% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $100,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-05 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-04 Price Changed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-10 Price Changed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-01 Price Changed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-05-06 Price Changed $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-12-09 Listed $140,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-11-10 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-11-03 Listed $85,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-01-17 Delisted MRIS
  • 2008-10-14 Relisted MRIS
  • 2008-10-14 Delisted MRIS
  • 2008-10-13 Listed MRIS
  • 2000-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
  • 2000-09-28 Sold (MLS) $38,000 MRIS
  • 2000-07-12 Listed $38,000 MRIS
  • 2000-07-12 Delisted MRIS
  • 1999-03-25 Sold (MLS) $7,500 MRIS
  • 1998-12-26 Delisted MRIS
  • 1998-12-22 Listed $10,000 MRIS
  • 1996-10-07 Delisted MRIS
  • 1996-04-08 Listed MRIS
  • 1995-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $8,700 Public Records

Property tax history

-10.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $414 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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