1263 James St · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to the historic Pigtown neighborhood, one of Baltimore’s most established and sought-after communities. Offered strictly AS-IS, this property presents an exceptional opportunity for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to customize a home to their own vision. Ideally situated with convenient access to public transportation, major highways, downtown Baltimore, and just minutes from M & T Bank Stadium, Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Horseshoe Casino, the Inner Harbor, and a variety of dining, shopping, and entertainment destinations. With significant potential and a prime location, this property is ready for its next chapter. Please contact the Listing Agent for showing in
Key facts
- M t bank stadium
- Horseshoe casino
- Downtown baltimore
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Finished above-grade area recorded by assessor; Below-grade unfinished area recorded by assessor
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Fee simple ownership; Brick construction
- Construction: Brick construction; Building not winterized
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Ground rent paid annually; Tidal water not present; Other structures above and below grade; Pets allowed with no pet restrictions
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level; One bedroom on the lower level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level); One full bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: Radiator heating; Natural gas heating and natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Basement present (other type)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $883 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.9% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 425 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,878/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 1755% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $38k; list at $100k implies a 163% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1898 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1898 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.84%
- DSCR
- 2.68
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.75×
- Total profit
- $48,915
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 47.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.54×
- Total profit
- $155,028
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21223
- Rents YoY
- 7.5%
- Active inventory
- 425
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,878 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$35 /mo · $414/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$394
- Net cashflow
- $883
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $940 | -5% $911 | +0% $883 | +5% $855 | +10% $826 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $735 | -5% $809 | +0% $883 | +5% $957 | +10% $1,031 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $933 | -0.5pp $908 | base $883 | +0.5pp $857 | +1.0pp $831 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1262 Glyndon Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1258 | $1,850 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1101 S Carey St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,200 | $0.86 | 23d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 1215 James St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 1253 Sargeant St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,695 | $1.41 | 25d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 1303 James St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1160 | $1,350 | $1.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 1127 S Carey St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1340 | $1,900 | $1.42 | 5d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 1243 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,950 | $1.70 | 45d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1259 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1232 | $2,999 | $2.43 | 5d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1160 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,575 | $1.64 | 25d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 1142 Sargeant St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,601 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 1163 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1012 | $1,700 | $1.68 | 13d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 1127 Sargeant St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,275 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1125 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $2,750 | $2.29 | 19d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1205 Cleveland St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,900 | $1.54 | 45d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 305 S Calhoun St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1226 W Cross St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1551 | $2,250 | $1.45 | 45d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1432 Carroll St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 912 | $1,900 | $2.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 923 McHenry St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,625 | $1.61 | 45d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1132 Nanticoke St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,875 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 104 S Carrollton Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1232 | $2,400 | $1.95 | 5d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 847 McHenry St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 952 | $1,795 | $1.89 | 5d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1115 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1468 | $2,100 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1111 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,295 | $1.08 | 5d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 508 Wyeth St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1234 | $1,850 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 827 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1512 | $2,000 | $1.32 | 25d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 819 Ramsay St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1856 | $3,000 | $1.62 | 13d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1324 W Lombard St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1324 W Lombard St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 913 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1452 | $1,600 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 110 S Poppleton St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1800 | $1,900 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 805 Washington Blvd Unit A Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,650 | $1.57 | 45d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 805 Washington Blvd Unit B Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $1,650 | $1.49 | 21d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 324 Scott St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1656 | $3,000 | $1.81 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1315 Hollins St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,950 | $1.78 | 13d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1315 Hollins St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,860 | $1.70 | 5d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 709 Scott St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1448 | $2,500 | $1.73 | 16d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 709 Scott St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1448 | $2,500 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 519 Scott St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1600 | $3,000 | $1.88 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 803 McHenry St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1856 | $2,599 | $1.40 | 4d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1125 Wicomico St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1068 | $1,955 | $1.83 | 25d | 1 | 0.41mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $100,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 689-char remark
-
2026-06-07$100,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $414 · $35/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $752 · $63/mo
- Expected delta
- +$338/yr (+$28/mo · 81.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,535
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$414
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,803
- − Management
- −$1,803
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $9,505
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,281
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,315/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,572
- Household income
- $45,840
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1755.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 72% White 16% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.99%
- Current HPI
- 140.5836
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.51%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+1049.4% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $100,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-05 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-04 Price Changed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-10 Price Changed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-01 Price Changed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-05-06 Price Changed $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-12-09 Listed $140,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-11-10 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-11-03 Listed $85,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-01-17 Delisted — MRIS
- 2008-10-14 Relisted — MRIS
- 2008-10-14 Delisted — MRIS
- 2008-10-13 Listed — MRIS
- 2000-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
- 2000-09-28 Sold (MLS) $38,000 MRIS
- 2000-07-12 Listed $38,000 MRIS
- 2000-07-12 Delisted — MRIS
- 1999-03-25 Sold (MLS) $7,500 MRIS
- 1998-12-26 Delisted — MRIS
- 1998-12-22 Listed $10,000 MRIS
- 1996-10-07 Delisted — MRIS
- 1996-04-08 Listed — MRIS
- 1995-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $8,700 Public Records
Property tax history
-10.9%/yrLatest (2025): $414 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…