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1273 Shoreham Dr
C- Composite 50.53
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.3/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$269,900

1273 Shoreham Dr · College Park, GA 30349
7 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,306 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 73 Days on market
Built 1967 1.00 ac lot $117/sqft · at area comps Est $275k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for SPACE, parking, and quick access to Atlanta without the sky high price? Investors and buyers looking for VALUE, you have FOUND IT! Welcome to this spacious 2306 sq ft split level home tucked into a neighborhood with wide streets and plenty of street parking, carport and detached garage, offering 6 bedrooms to spread out while still being just minutes from ATLANTA! Inside you will find TWO comfortable living rooms, a separate dining room and 6 bedrooms and the primary bedroom easily fits a king. The lower level includes its own living space and laundry area, perfect for guests, extended family, or a private hangout spot. Enjoy the large front yard and fully fenced backyard with plenty of room for cookouts and relaxing evenings. A long private driveway leads to a fenced detached garage with additional parking in the carport also. A CAR COLLECTOR'S DREAM! With a nearby gas station and quick access to major highways, fueling up and getting on the road is easy. The generous driveway and parking also make it a great setup for truck drivers or anyone who needs extra room for larger vehicles. Everyday conveniences are nearby including H Mart and Hot Cafe. With so many great restaurants nearby, you may never cook again! Conveniently located near major employment hubs including Hartsfield Jackson International Airport, Amazon fulfillment centers, Delta Air Lines, UPS, and Southern Regional Medical Center. Bring your vision and make it your own. With flexible living space, room for everyone to have their own bedroom, generous parking, and a location close to ATLANTA, this split level home is a rare find at this price point!

Key facts

  • 1 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1967

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 7-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $83 ($991/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $221k (18.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $221k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.8% in College Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#408 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Clayton County (suburban): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #155 of 174 in GA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 651 active listings in the ZIP; 865 units permitted in Clayton County in 2024 (448 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Clayton County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $76k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($254k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $270k implies a 286% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $220,744 (18.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.66%
Cash-on-cash
1.31%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$274,601
List price
$269,900
Delta
-1.71%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.6%
Equity multiple
2.95×
Total profit
$147,702
Equity at exit
$243,147
10-year hold
IRR
21.3%
Equity multiple
6.59×
Total profit
$422,321
Equity at exit
$524,356

Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30349

Home prices YoY
4.6%
Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
651
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,207 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,415
Tax from tax record
$133 /mo · $1,601/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$464
Net cashflow
$83

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,103
Max offer price $269,900
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $235 -5% $159 +0% $83 +5% $6 +10% $-70
Rent -10% $-92 -5% $-5 +0% $83 +5% $170 +10% $257
Rate -1.0pp $219 -0.5pp $151 base $83 +0.5pp $13 +1.0pp $-58

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,475
Closing costs
$8,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-03-15
    listed $269,900 New 1659-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1659 chars)

    Looking for SPACE, parking, and quick access to Atlanta without the sky high price? Investors and buyers looking for VALUE, you have FOUND IT! Welcome to this spacious 2306 sq ft split level home tucked into a neighborhood with wide streets and plenty of street parking, carport and detached garage, offering 6 bedrooms to spread out while still being just minutes from ATLANTA! Inside you will find TWO comfortable living rooms, a separate dining room and 6 bedrooms and the primary bedroom easily fits a king. The lower level includes its own living space and laundry area, perfect for guests, extended family, or a private hangout spot. Enjoy the large front yard and fully fenced backyard with plenty of room for cookouts and relaxing evenings. A long private driveway leads to a fenced detached garage with additional parking in the carport also. A CAR COLLECTOR'S DREAM! With a nearby gas station and quick access to major highways, fueling up and getting on the road is easy. The generous driveway and parking also make it a great setup for truck drivers or anyone who needs extra room for larger vehicles. Everyday conveniences are nearby including H Mart and Hot Cafe. With so many great restaurants nearby, you may never cook again! Conveniently located near major employment hubs including Hartsfield Jackson International Airport, Amazon fulfillment centers, Delta Air Lines, UPS, and Southern Regional Medical Center. Bring your vision and make it your own. With flexible living space, room for everyone to have their own bedroom, generous parking, and a location close to ATLANTA, this split level home is a rare find at this price point!

  2. 2026-03-14
    historical $269,900 1659-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1659 chars)

    Looking for SPACE, parking, and quick access to Atlanta without the sky high price? Investors and buyers looking for VALUE, you have FOUND IT! Welcome to this spacious 2306 sq ft split level home tucked into a neighborhood with wide streets and plenty of street parking, carport and detached garage, offering 6 bedrooms to spread out while still being just minutes from ATLANTA! Inside you will find TWO comfortable living rooms, a separate dining room and 6 bedrooms and the primary bedroom easily fits a king. The lower level includes its own living space and laundry area, perfect for guests, extended family, or a private hangout spot. Enjoy the large front yard and fully fenced backyard with plenty of room for cookouts and relaxing evenings. A long private driveway leads to a fenced detached garage with additional parking in the carport also. A CAR COLLECTOR'S DREAM! With a nearby gas station and quick access to major highways, fueling up and getting on the road is easy. The generous driveway and parking also make it a great setup for truck drivers or anyone who needs extra room for larger vehicles. Everyday conveniences are nearby including H Mart and Hot Cafe. With so many great restaurants nearby, you may never cook again! Conveniently located near major employment hubs including Hartsfield Jackson International Airport, Amazon fulfillment centers, Delta Air Lines, UPS, and Southern Regional Medical Center. Bring your vision and make it your own. With flexible living space, room for everyone to have their own bedroom, generous parking, and a location close to ATLANTA, this split level home is a rare find at this price point!

  3. 2023-01-02
    historical
  4. 2022-12-12
    status Back On Market
  5. 2022-11-23
    status Under Contract
  6. 2022-10-31
    listed $255,000 New
  7. 1988-07-07
    soldstatus $70,000
  8. 1982-08-17
    soldstatus $59,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,601 · $133/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,483 · $207/mo
Expected delta
+$882/yr (+$73/mo · 55.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,489
− Mortgage interest
−$15,119
− Property taxes
−$1,601
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,119
− Management
−$2,119
− Depreciation
−$7,852
Taxable loss
−$3,670
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$881
After-tax cash flow
$1,872/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clayton County
NCES district ID
1301230
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$42,266
Composite
13.41/100
National rank
#9527
State rank
#155 of 174 in GA

Livability — College Park

Score
59/100
State rank
#408
US rank
#20212

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
City population
10,694
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
79,872
Household income
$67,023
Rent vs Own
41.2% rent · 58.8% own
Severe rent burden
4258.0

Population outlook (Clayton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
310,777 people
By 2030
329,762 · +6.1%
By 2040
368,052 · +18.4%
By 2050
401,196 · +29.1%
By 2075
472,488 · +52.0%
By 2100
500,446 · +61.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (89%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 89% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% White 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clayton

2024 margin
Solid D (+69.2) · D 84.3% · R 15.1%
2008→2024 swing
+2.8pp toward D · 2008: 66.4pp · 2024: 69.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+69.2 2020: D+70.9 2016: D+71.9 2012: D+70.1 2008: D+66.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 18.01%
Current HPI
407.99
Rent YoY
▲ 0.95%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+353.6% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-15 Listed $269,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-14 Coming Soon $269,900 GAMLS
  • 2023-01-02 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2022-12-12 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2022-11-23 Pending GAMLS
  • 2022-10-31 Listed $255,000 GAMLS
  • 1988-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 1982-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $59,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,601 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…