258 Glade Hollow Dr · Lebanon, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.2/30.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- Appreciation +5.9/10.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.1/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great ranch style home in beautiful Russell County. This three bedroom, one bathroom, is currently being used as a long-term rental property. Owners are selling a second home on the same street perfect for investors looking for a bargain! Both are being sold as-is.
Key facts
- Ranch style home
- 0.75 acre lot
- Built 1980
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $228 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (0.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 2.7% in Lebanon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#115 in VA, #3,561 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, schools A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities D-, commute F.
- Russell County Public School District (rural): math 58% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #44 of 131 in VA (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 35 units permitted in Russell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
- Russell County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 755 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 755 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.51%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $106,907
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- 7.57%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 399 Rose Dr | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,120 (+12%) | 14mo | $162,000 | $145 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.71% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $20,695
- Equity at exit
- $43,566
- IRR
- 15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.96×
- Total profit
- $63,270
- Equity at exit
- $61,386
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24266
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,149 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $337/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$241
- Net cashflow
- $228
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $115,000 Active 755 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 754 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 753 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 752 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 751 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $115,000 Active 749 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 748 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $115,000 Active 746 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 745 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 744 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 743 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 738 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 737 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 736 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $115,000 Active 735 DOM
-
2025-09-04status Active 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Great ranch style home in beautiful Russell County. This three bedroom, one bathroom, is currently being used as a long-term rental property. Owners are selling a second home on the same street perfect for investors looking for a bargain! Both are being sold as-is.
-
2025-08-27historical Active Under Contract 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Great ranch style home in beautiful Russell County. This three bedroom, one bathroom, is currently being used as a long-term rental property. Owners are selling a second home on the same street perfect for investors looking for a bargain! Both are being sold as-is.
-
2025-06-02price $115,000 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Great ranch style home in beautiful Russell County. This three bedroom, one bathroom, is currently being used as a long-term rental property. Owners are selling a second home on the same street perfect for investors looking for a bargain! Both are being sold as-is.
-
2025-04-15price $134,900 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Great ranch style home in beautiful Russell County. This three bedroom, one bathroom, is currently being used as a long-term rental property. Owners are selling a second home on the same street perfect for investors looking for a bargain! Both are being sold as-is.
-
2024-05-25$139,900 Active 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Great ranch style home in beautiful Russell County. This three bedroom, one bathroom, is currently being used as a long-term rental property. Owners are selling a second home on the same street perfect for investors looking for a bargain! Both are being sold as-is.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $337 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $943 · $79/mo
- Expected delta
- +$606/yr (+$50/mo · 179.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,785
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$337
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,103
- − Management
- −$1,103
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $880
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$211
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,530/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Russell County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103420
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,970
- Composite
- 54.14/100
- National rank
- #1384
- State rank
- #44 of 131 in VA
Livability — Lebanon
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #115
- US rank
- #3561
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,688
Population outlook (Russell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,787 people
- By 2030
- 24,485 · -5.0%
- By 2040
- 21,750 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 19,214 · -25.5%
- By 2075
- 14,500 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 10,629 · -58.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Russell
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+67.5) · D 16.1% · R 83.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -54.8pp toward R · 2008: -12.7pp · 2024: -67.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+67.5 2020: R+63.5 2016: R+58.9 2012: R+37.0 2008: R+12.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.71%
- Current HPI
- 184.8412
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
-17.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-04 Relisted — SWVAR
- 2025-08-27 Contingent — SWVAR
- 2025-06-02 Price Changed $115,000 SWVAR
- 2025-04-15 Price Changed $134,900 SWVAR
- 2024-05-25 Listed $139,900 SWVAR
Property tax history
-1.0%/yrLatest (2024): $337 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…