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841 Sage Hill Dr
D- Composite 37.87
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +4.3/15.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$315,000

841 Sage Hill Dr · High Point, NC 27282
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,908 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 245 Days on market
Built 2022 8,712 sqft lot Est $294k · 7% over $28/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The Nandina floor plan features four bedrooms and 2.5 baths with options that include granite kitchen counters, deluxe vanity in primary bath, 10'x 12' patio, and so much more! Seller offering up to $5,000 in closing costs with use of preferred vendors. Contact on site agent for offer details.

Key facts

  • Low-maintenance yard
  • Open layout
  • Gas-log fireplace

Tags

OPEN LAYOUTGAS-LOG FIREPLACEGRANITE KITCHEN COUNTERTOPSLOW-MAINTENANCE YARDSAGEMOUNT COMMUNITY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions available for property location
  • HOA & community: Part of the Winston-Salem association; Monthly association fee of $28.50; Subdivision: Sagemount

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Driveway
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Gas water heater
  • Home design: Residential stick/site-built house; Two levels; Built in 2022; Existing structure
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Cleared lot; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Free-standing range
  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms located on the second level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Electric heating; Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Pull-down attic stairs; One fireplace in the living room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer connection; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $315k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $22 ($264/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $264k (16.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $264k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.0% in High Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#31 in NC, #3,084 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime F.
  • Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Jamestown Elementary (math 49% / reading 45%, grade D-, #497 of 1,410 statewide, top 38%, 441 students, 99% FRL); Jamestown Middle (math 26% / reading 42%, grade F, #294 of 475 statewide, top 63%, 940 students, 69% FRL); Lucy Ragsdale High (math 45% / reading 58%, grade D+, #299 of 535 statewide, top 56%, 1,346 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 52% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 245 days — a 12% lower offer ($277k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $263,508 (16.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 245 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.38%
Cash-on-cash
0.30%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$293,832
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
824 Sage Hill Dr 0.05mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,880 (-2%) 10mo $329,000 $175 82
817 Sage Hill Dr 0.06mi 4/3.0 2,015 (+6%) 11mo $345,000 $171 77
3310 Colony Dr 0.35mi 4/2.5 1,878 (-2%) 6mo $258,000 $137 76
813 Pineburr Rd 0.31mi 4/2.5 1,892 (-1%) 11mo $235,000 $124 75
809 Sagemount St 0.05mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,693 (-11%) 9mo $356,000 $210 64
1000 New Hampshire Dr 0.61mi 4/2.5 2,010 (+5%) 3mo $365,000 $182 60
3011 Colony Dr 0.59mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,935 (+1%) 5mo $218,000 $113 59
4025 Sherry Ct 0.16mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,659 (-13%) 8mo $212,000 $128 58
911 New Hampshire Dr 0.62mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,010 (+5%) 5mo $309,000 $154 53
3203 Colony Dr 0.51mi 4/2.5 2,173 (+14%) 7mo $280,000 $129 47
3014 Colony Dr 0.56mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,070 (+8%) 11mo $360,000 $174 45
507 Valleybrook Dr 0.57mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,158 (+13%) 4mo $305,000 $141 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.8%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-49,673
Equity at exit
$46,968
10-year hold
IRR
-7.5%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-41,578
Equity at exit
$27,235

Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27282

Home prices YoY
-21.2%
Active inventory
143
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,635 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,652
Tax from tax record
$249 /mo · $2,982/yr
Insurance
$131
HOA
$28
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$553
Net cashflow
$22

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,607
Max offer price $315,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $200 -5% $111 +0% $22 +5% $-67 +10% $-156
Rent -10% $-186 -5% $-82 +0% $22 +5% $126 +10% $230
Rate -1.0pp $181 -0.5pp $102 base $22 +0.5pp $-60 +1.0pp $-143

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$78,750
Closing costs
$9,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
809 Sage Hill Dr Jamestown, NC 4.0 3.0 2312 $2,335 $1.01 25d 1 0.11mi
3005 Manchester Dr Jamestown, NC 4.0 2.5 2104 $2,400 $1.14 16d 1 0.45mi
112 Red Plum Ln Jamestown, NC 3.0 2.5 1620 $2,100 $1.30 23d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$28 · $336/yr

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $315,000 Pending 245 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $315,000 Due Diligence Period 245 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $315,000 Due Diligence Period 244 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $315,000 Due Diligence Period 243 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $315,000 Due Diligence Period 241 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $315,000 Due Diligence Period 238 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $315,000 Due Diligence Period 237 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $315,000 Due Diligence Period 236 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $315,000 Due Diligence Period 235 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $315,000 Due Diligence Period 231 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $315,000 Due Diligence Period 230 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $315,000 Due Diligence Period 229 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $315,000 Due Diligence Period 228 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $315,000 Due Diligence Period 227 DOM
  15. 2026-05-12
    price $315,000
  16. 2026-03-20
    status Active
  17. 2026-03-20
    price $317,000
  18. 2026-03-13
    historical
  19. 2026-02-22
    price $320,000
  20. 2025-11-07
    price $325,000
  21. 2025-10-09
    listed $330,000 Active
  22. 2024-12-30
    historical $2,400
  23. 2024-12-26
    listed $2,400
  24. 2022-12-15
    soldstatus $299,990 Closed 294-char remark
    Show marketing remark (294 chars)

    The Nandina floor plan features four bedrooms and 2.5 baths with options that include granite kitchen counters, deluxe vanity in primary bath, 10'x 12' patio, and so much more! Seller offering up to $5,000 in closing costs with use of preferred vendors. Contact on site agent for offer details.

  25. 2022-11-22
    status Pending 294-char remark
    Show marketing remark (294 chars)

    The Nandina floor plan features four bedrooms and 2.5 baths with options that include granite kitchen counters, deluxe vanity in primary bath, 10'x 12' patio, and so much more! Seller offering up to $5,000 in closing costs with use of preferred vendors. Contact on site agent for offer details.

  26. 2022-11-05
    historical Due Diligence Period 294-char remark
    Show marketing remark (294 chars)

    The Nandina floor plan features four bedrooms and 2.5 baths with options that include granite kitchen counters, deluxe vanity in primary bath, 10'x 12' patio, and so much more! Seller offering up to $5,000 in closing costs with use of preferred vendors. Contact on site agent for offer details.

  27. 2022-10-08
    listed $299,990 Active 294-char remark
    Show marketing remark (294 chars)

    The Nandina floor plan features four bedrooms and 2.5 baths with options that include granite kitchen counters, deluxe vanity in primary bath, 10'x 12' patio, and so much more! Seller offering up to $5,000 in closing costs with use of preferred vendors. Contact on site agent for offer details.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,982 · $249/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,982 · $249/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,621
− Mortgage interest
−$17,645
− Property taxes
−$2,982
− Insurance
−$1,575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,530
− Management
−$2,530
− HOA
−$336
− Depreciation
−$9,164
Taxable loss
−$5,140
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,234
After-tax cash flow
$1,498/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Guilford County Schools
NCES district ID
3701920
Math proficiency
39% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$46,315
Composite
35.78/100
National rank
#4842
State rank
#99 of 178 in NC

Livability — High Point

Score
77/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#3084

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
High Point, NC
County
Guilford County · 487,190 people
City population
102,450
Metro
Greensboro-High Point, NC
Population (ZIP)
15,927
Household income
$91,512
Rent vs Own
30.9% rent · 69.1% own
Severe rent burden
374.0

Population outlook (Guilford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
584,596 people
By 2030
616,851 · +5.5%
By 2040
678,451 · +16.1%
By 2050
734,788 · +25.7%
By 2075
862,985 · +47.6%
By 2100
948,704 · +62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 5% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2% Korean 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Guilford

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.2% · R 38.4% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 21.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.8 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -55.56%
Current HPI
206.6685
Rent YoY
Metro
Greensboro-High Point, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+5.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $315,000 Triad MLS
  • 2026-03-20 Relisted Triad MLS
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $317,000 Triad MLS
  • 2026-03-13 Delisted Triad MLS
  • 2026-02-22 Price Changed $320,000 Triad MLS
  • 2025-11-07 Price Changed $325,000 Triad MLS
  • 2025-10-09 Listed $330,000 Triad MLS
  • 2024-12-30 Rental Removed $2,400 Avail
  • 2024-12-26 Listed for Rent $2,400 Avail
  • 2022-12-15 Sold (MLS) $299,990 Triad MLS
  • 2022-11-22 Pending Triad MLS
  • 2022-11-05 Contingent Triad MLS
  • 2022-10-08 Listed $299,990 Triad MLS

Property tax history

+140.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,982 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…