841 Sage Hill Dr · High Point, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 14.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.7/30.0
- ARV discount +4.3/15.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$315,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The Nandina floor plan features four bedrooms and 2.5 baths with options that include granite kitchen counters, deluxe vanity in primary bath, 10'x 12' patio, and so much more! Seller offering up to $5,000 in closing costs with use of preferred vendors. Contact on site agent for offer details.
Key facts
- Low-maintenance yard
- Open layout
- Gas-log fireplace
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions available for property location
- HOA & community: Part of the Winston-Salem association; Monthly association fee of $28.50; Subdivision: Sagemount
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Driveway
- Utilities: Public sewer; Gas water heater
- Home design: Residential stick/site-built house; Two levels; Built in 2022; Existing structure
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Cleared lot; Public water
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Free-standing range
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms located on the second level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Electric heating; Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Pull-down attic stairs; One fireplace in the living room
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer connection; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $315k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $22 ($264/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $264k (16.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $264k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.0% in High Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#31 in NC, #3,084 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime F.
- Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Jamestown Elementary (math 49% / reading 45%, grade D-, #497 of 1,410 statewide, top 38%, 441 students, 99% FRL); Jamestown Middle (math 26% / reading 42%, grade F, #294 of 475 statewide, top 63%, 940 students, 69% FRL); Lucy Ragsdale High (math 45% / reading 58%, grade D+, #299 of 535 statewide, top 56%, 1,346 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 52% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 245 days — a 12% lower offer ($277k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 245 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.30%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $293,832
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 824 Sage Hill Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,880 (-2%) | 10mo | $329,000 | $175 | 82 |
| 817 Sage Hill Dr | 0.06mi | 4/3.0 | 2,015 (+6%) | 11mo | $345,000 | $171 | 77 |
| 3310 Colony Dr | 0.35mi | 4/2.5 | 1,878 (-2%) | 6mo | $258,000 | $137 | 76 |
| 813 Pineburr Rd | 0.31mi | 4/2.5 | 1,892 (-1%) | 11mo | $235,000 | $124 | 75 |
| 809 Sagemount St | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,693 (-11%) | 9mo | $356,000 | $210 | 64 |
| 1000 New Hampshire Dr | 0.61mi | 4/2.5 | 2,010 (+5%) | 3mo | $365,000 | $182 | 60 |
| 3011 Colony Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,935 (+1%) | 5mo | $218,000 | $113 | 59 |
| 4025 Sherry Ct | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,659 (-13%) | 8mo | $212,000 | $128 | 58 |
| 911 New Hampshire Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,010 (+5%) | 5mo | $309,000 | $154 | 53 |
| 3203 Colony Dr | 0.51mi | 4/2.5 | 2,173 (+14%) | 7mo | $280,000 | $129 | 47 |
| 3014 Colony Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,070 (+8%) | 11mo | $360,000 | $174 | 45 |
| 507 Valleybrook Dr | 0.57mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,158 (+13%) | 4mo | $305,000 | $141 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-49,673
- Equity at exit
- $46,968
- IRR
- -7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-41,578
- Equity at exit
- $27,235
Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27282
- Home prices YoY
- -21.2%
- Active inventory
- 143
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,635 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,652
- Tax from tax record
- −$249 /mo · $2,982/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- HOA
- −$28
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$553
- Net cashflow
- $22
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $200 | -5% $111 | +0% $22 | +5% $-67 | +10% $-156 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-186 | -5% $-82 | +0% $22 | +5% $126 | +10% $230 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $181 | -0.5pp $102 | base $22 | +0.5pp $-60 | +1.0pp $-143 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,750
- Closing costs
- $9,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 809 Sage Hill Dr Jamestown, NC | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2312 | $2,335 | $1.01 | 25d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 3005 Manchester Dr Jamestown, NC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2104 | $2,400 | $1.14 | 16d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 112 Red Plum Ln Jamestown, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1620 | $2,100 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $28 · $336/yr
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18status $315,000 Pending 245 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $315,000 Due Diligence Period 245 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $315,000 Due Diligence Period 244 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $315,000 Due Diligence Period 243 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $315,000 Due Diligence Period 241 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $315,000 Due Diligence Period 238 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $315,000 Due Diligence Period 237 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $315,000 Due Diligence Period 236 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $315,000 Due Diligence Period 235 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $315,000 Due Diligence Period 231 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $315,000 Due Diligence Period 230 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $315,000 Due Diligence Period 229 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $315,000 Due Diligence Period 228 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $315,000 Due Diligence Period 227 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $315,000
-
2026-03-20status Active
-
2026-03-20price $317,000
-
2026-03-13historical
-
2026-02-22price $320,000
-
2025-11-07price $325,000
-
2025-10-09$330,000 Active
-
2024-12-30historical $2,400
-
2024-12-26$2,400
-
2022-12-15soldstatus $299,990 Closed 294-char remark
Show marketing remark (294 chars)
The Nandina floor plan features four bedrooms and 2.5 baths with options that include granite kitchen counters, deluxe vanity in primary bath, 10'x 12' patio, and so much more! Seller offering up to $5,000 in closing costs with use of preferred vendors. Contact on site agent for offer details.
-
2022-11-22status Pending 294-char remark
Show marketing remark (294 chars)
The Nandina floor plan features four bedrooms and 2.5 baths with options that include granite kitchen counters, deluxe vanity in primary bath, 10'x 12' patio, and so much more! Seller offering up to $5,000 in closing costs with use of preferred vendors. Contact on site agent for offer details.
-
2022-11-05historical Due Diligence Period 294-char remark
Show marketing remark (294 chars)
The Nandina floor plan features four bedrooms and 2.5 baths with options that include granite kitchen counters, deluxe vanity in primary bath, 10'x 12' patio, and so much more! Seller offering up to $5,000 in closing costs with use of preferred vendors. Contact on site agent for offer details.
-
2022-10-08$299,990 Active 294-char remark
Show marketing remark (294 chars)
The Nandina floor plan features four bedrooms and 2.5 baths with options that include granite kitchen counters, deluxe vanity in primary bath, 10'x 12' patio, and so much more! Seller offering up to $5,000 in closing costs with use of preferred vendors. Contact on site agent for offer details.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,982 · $249/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,982 · $249/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,621
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,645
- − Property taxes
- −$2,982
- − Insurance
- −$1,575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,530
- − Management
- −$2,530
- − HOA
- −$336
- − Depreciation
- −$9,164
- Taxable loss
- −$5,140
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,234
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,498/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Guilford County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3701920
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,315
- Composite
- 35.78/100
- National rank
- #4842
- State rank
- #99 of 178 in NC
Livability — High Point
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #3084
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- High Point, NC
- County
- Guilford County · 487,190 people
- City population
- 102,450
- Metro
- Greensboro-High Point, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,927
- Household income
- $91,512
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 374.0
Population outlook (Guilford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 584,596 people
- By 2030
- 616,851 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 678,451 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 734,788 · +25.7%
- By 2075
- 862,985 · +47.6%
- By 2100
- 948,704 · +62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 5% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2% Korean 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Guilford
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.2% · R 38.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.8 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.56%
- Current HPI
- 206.6685
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Greensboro-High Point, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+5.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $315,000 Triad MLS
- 2026-03-20 Relisted — Triad MLS
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $317,000 Triad MLS
- 2026-03-13 Delisted — Triad MLS
- 2026-02-22 Price Changed $320,000 Triad MLS
- 2025-11-07 Price Changed $325,000 Triad MLS
- 2025-10-09 Listed $330,000 Triad MLS
- 2024-12-30 Rental Removed $2,400 Avail
- 2024-12-26 Listed for Rent $2,400 Avail
- 2022-12-15 Sold (MLS) $299,990 Triad MLS
- 2022-11-22 Pending — Triad MLS
- 2022-11-05 Contingent — Triad MLS
- 2022-10-08 Listed $299,990 Triad MLS
Property tax history
+140.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,982 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…