511 S Pearl St · Jerseyville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity is knocking! With nearly 1,400 square feet of living space, this sturdy home is ready for its next chapter. Bring your ideas and a little TLC to transform this 3 bedroom property into the home you've always envisioned. As an added bonus, a brand-new roof will be installed through an insurance claim, giving you a great head start on improvements. Outside, you'll find a large yard with plenty of room for gardening, play, or entertaining, along with an oversized 2 car garage offering ample storage and workspace. Tucked away on a dead-end street, this property offers the location buyers are always searching for. Whether you're looking for a personal residence, an investment opportun
Key facts
- Brand new roof
- Large yard
- Dead end street
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage (approx. 25 x 25)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected (single phase); Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence, attached; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 76.2 x 183; Chip-and-seal road frontage on a city street
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level; Microwave; Gas oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms, all on the main level; Bedroom sizes include 10x12, 12x9, and 9x11
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level (one total)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Living room with fireplace; Family room; Dining room; Crawl space basement; 9 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (6x11); Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $248 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 4.6% in Jerseyville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#327 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities D+, commute F.
- Jersey CUSD 100 (town): math 25% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #260 of 620 in IL (top 42%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 101 units permitted in Jersey County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Jersey County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $58k; list at $100k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.64%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $171,339
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 506 Hiview Dr | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,335 (-4%) | 4mo | $140,000 | $105 | 72 |
| 300 Clay St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,304 (-6%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $69 | 68 |
| 1115 W Exchange St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,362 (-2%) | 1mo | $159,000 | $117 | 66 |
| 201 W Barr Ave | 0.48mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,360 (-2%) | 6mo | $165,000 | $121 | 62 |
| 911 W Exchange St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,517 (+9%) | 4mo | $202,000 | $133 | 60 |
| 910 W Pine St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,281 (-8%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $137 | 58 |
| 812 W Exchange St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,241 (-11%) | 8mo | $170,000 | $137 | 57 |
| 209 W Spruce St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,363 (-2%) | 10mo | $210,000 | $154 | 56 |
| 412 Cross Ave | 0.20mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,554 (+12%) | 11mo | $218,500 | $141 | 56 |
| 400 S Arch St | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 | 1,567 (+12%) | 9mo | $179,900 | $115 | 54 |
| 304 Fletcher St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,218 (-13%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $123 | 46 |
| 208 Ferguson St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,583 (+14%) | 7mo | $148,700 | $94 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.51×
- Total profit
- $70,340
- Equity at exit
- $90,088
- IRR
- 27.7%
- Equity multiple
- 7.96×
- Total profit
- $194,838
- Equity at exit
- $194,278
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62052
- Home prices YoY
- 10.2%
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,286 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$202 /mo · $2,423/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$270
- Net cashflow
- $248
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $305 | -5% $277 | +0% $248 | +5% $220 | +10% $192 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $147 | -5% $197 | +0% $248 | +5% $299 | +10% $350 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $299 | -0.5pp $274 | base $248 | +0.5pp $222 | +1.0pp $196 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-10status $100,000 Pending 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$100,000 Active 4 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,423 · $202/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,423 · $202/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,437
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$2,423
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,235
- − Management
- −$1,235
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $1,533
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$368
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,611/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jersey CUSD 100
- NCES district ID
- 1720430
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,066
- Composite
- 25.13/100
- National rank
- #7522
- State rank
- #260 of 620 in IL
Livability — Jerseyville
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #327
- US rank
- #6498
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jerseyville, IL
- City population
- 12,483
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,483
Population outlook (Jersey County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,031 people
- By 2030
- 20,138 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 18,077 · -14.0%
- By 2050
- 15,882 · -24.5%
- By 2075
- 11,718 · -44.3%
- By 2100
- 8,546 · -59.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jersey
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.2) · D 24.1% · R 74.3% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.5pp toward R · 2008: -2.7pp · 2024: -50.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.2 2020: R+48.1 2016: R+46.4 2012: R+23.9 2008: R+2.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 23.63%
- Current HPI
- 255.48
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+72.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $100,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1995-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2022): $2,423 · +88.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…