508 Stowell Ave · Alton, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.5/15.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Looking for an inexpensive little house with tons of curb appeal? See this 2 bed/1 bath. Full basement, nice level yard. New roof, siding, updated windows, and HVAC. All the mechanics are in great shape! Recent appraisal is available at home.
Key facts
- Level yard
- Hvac
- Updated windows
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported as 800 (source: appraiser)
- Financial info: Seller may consider concessions; Lease not considered
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Cable available; Natural gas connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Private ownership
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Architectural shingle roof; Basement with 8 ft+ poured construction; House structure
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Back yard; Front yard; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Built-in bookcases; Ceiling fans; Laminate countertops; Insulated windows; Tilt-in windows
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $306 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 6.4% in Alton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#701 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities D-.
- Alton CUSD 11 (suburban): math 12% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #544 of 620 in IL (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: West Elementary School (math 7% / reading 9%, grade F, #1,621 of 2,056 statewide, top 79%, 400 students, 0% FRL); Alton Middle School (math 10% / reading 11%, grade F, #580 of 665 statewide, top 88%, 1,241 students, 0% FRL); Alton High School (math 20% / reading 25%, grade F, #317 of 693 statewide, top 46%, 1,990 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 60% district-wide (60 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 169 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $19k; list at $80k implies a 321% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.41%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $81,820
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- -2.22%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3512 Wickenhauser Ave | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 791 (-1%) | 5mo | $105,000 | $133 | 82 |
| 3410 Leo St | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 804 (+0%) | 9mo | $75,000 | $93 | 78 |
| 504 Goodfellow Ave | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 740 (-8%) | 9mo | $58,000 | $78 | 75 |
| 3404 Oak Dr | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (-9%) | 0mo | $122,900 | $169 | 72 |
| 2923 Buena Vista Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (-2%) | 10mo | $104,900 | $134 | 68 |
| 608 Milton Rd | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 910 (+14%) | 4mo | $87,000 | $96 | 67 |
| 3708 Coronado Dr | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 755 (-6%) | 6mo | $110,000 | $146 | 63 |
| 613 Leonard St | 0.34mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 730 (-9%) | 4mo | $48,500 | $66 | 61 |
| 809 Maurice St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 886 (+11%) | 4mo | $55,000 | $62 | 58 |
| 1207 Milton Rd | 0.61mi | 2/1.5 | 918 (+15%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $120 | 43 |
| 405 Niagara St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (-12%) | 4mo | $59,000 | $84 | 42 |
| 210 Wisconsin Ave | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 | 880 (+10%) | 8mo | $154,900 | $176 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $12,023
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 25.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.70×
- Total profit
- $60,513
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62002
- Home prices YoY
- -33.6%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 169
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,037 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$60 /mo · $724/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$218
- Net cashflow
- $306
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $352 | -5% $329 | +0% $306 | +5% $284 | +10% $261 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $224 | -5% $265 | +0% $306 | +5% $347 | +10% $388 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $347 | -0.5pp $327 | base $306 | +0.5pp $286 | +1.0pp $265 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3400 Milton Dr Alton, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 972 | $1,350 | $1.39 | 6d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 140 Illinois St East Alton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $695 | $0.72 | 0d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3305 Franor St Alton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $549 | $0.55 | 3d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 806 Center St East Alton, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $675 | $1.09 | 0d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1408 Willard St Alton, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 568 | $750 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 123 Irwin St East Alton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,225 | $1.55 | 6d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 306 Lampert St Alton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,000 | $1.08 | 0d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3303 Jackson St Alton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,295 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2418 Sanford Ave Alton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 958 | $875 | $0.91 | 22d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 176 S Pence St East Alton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 0d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 120 Lakeside Ave East Alton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 12d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 134 Lakeside Ave East Alton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $775 | $0.97 | 12d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $80,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $80,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-11$90,000 Active 244-char remark
-
2011-07-11soldstatus $19,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $724 · $60/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,270 · $106/mo
- Expected delta
- +$546/yr (+$45/mo · 75.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,449
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$724
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$996
- − Management
- −$996
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $2,525
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$606
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,070/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alton CUSD 11
- NCES district ID
- 1703600
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,257
- Composite
- 11.34/100
- National rank
- #9710
- State rank
- #544 of 620 in IL
Livability — Alton
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #701
- US rank
- #14289
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Alton, IL
- County
- Madison County · 189,064 people
- City population
- 29,543
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,543
- Household income
- $61,414
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 960.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 258,371 people
- By 2030
- 251,523 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 233,640 · -9.6%
- By 2050
- 213,042 · -17.5%
- By 2075
- 165,255 · -36.0%
- By 2100
- 123,953 · -52.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 20% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.3) · D 42.5% · R 55.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -13.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.3 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.4 2008: D+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.43%
- Current HPI
- 194.7313
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.24%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+321.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $80,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-11 Listed $90,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.8%/yrLatest (2024): $724 · +14.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…