13427 E 43 Dr · Fortuna Foothills, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 113°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$142,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don't Miss Out on this 2 Bedroom/ 2 Bath with New Carpet, Refrigerator, Newer A/C, Washer & Dryer, Double Wide with Enclosed AZ Room, Covered Patio & Carport, Nice Patio area for entertaining, 2 Sheds/Workshop, Desert Landscape, Move In Ready!
Key facts
- Easy-care yard
- Covered carport
- Foothills area
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1 parking space total; 1 covered space / 1-car carport; RV access/parking
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Septic needed
- Home design: Manufactured home (mobile home); Residential property
- Construction: Workshop structure
- Exterior features: Patio; Workshop; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Electric range
- Flooring: Carpet; Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heating; Cooling
- Interior features: Refrigerator, Dishwasher, Electric Range; Smoke detectors; No fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $142k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $306 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $142k).
- Recommended offer: $138k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.2% in Fortuna Foothills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#174 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime F.
- Yuma Union High School District (4507) (urban): math 14% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #212 of 249 in AZ (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 413 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,399 units permitted in Yuma County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $985 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yuma County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 5→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.20%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $207,244
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12544 S El Camino Del Diablo | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 | 1,128 (+7%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $160 | 78 |
| 12754 S Joleane Ave | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (+0%) | 3mo | $185,000 | $175 | 75 |
| 12552 S El Camino Del Diablo | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 | 1,185 (+13%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $198 | 68 |
| 13239 E 48 Dr | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (+0%) | 0mo | $219,000 | $207 | 67 |
| 13323 E 46 St | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (+10%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $204 | 66 |
| 13714 E 47 Ln | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+0%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $208 | 63 |
| 13145 E 43 Dr | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 | 1,181 (+12%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $165 | 61 |
| 13614 E 46 St | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 | 1,167 (+11%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $197 | 61 |
| 13572 E 46 St | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (+14%) | 1mo | $138,000 | $115 | 58 |
| 13218 E 39 Pl | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,116 (+6%) | 0mo | $208,000 | $186 | 57 |
| 13555 E 47 Dr | 0.53mi | 2/3.0 | 938 (-11%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $229 | 52 |
| 13128 E 47 Ln | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,188 (+13%) | 1mo | $233,500 | $197 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.46% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,456
- Equity at exit
- $21,247
- IRR
- 10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $32,946
- Equity at exit
- $12,321
Cash invested: $39,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85367
- Home prices YoY
- -26.2%
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 413
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,483 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$747
- Tax from tax record
- −$59 /mo · $708/yr
- Insurance
- −$59
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $306
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,625
- Closing costs
- $4,275
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13308 E 45th St Yuma, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1290 | $1,800 | $1.40 | 13d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 13388 E 41st Dr Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,200 | $1.44 | 13d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 13244 E 41st Ln Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 948 | $1,200 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 13292 E 41st St Yuma, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,195 | $1.71 | 13d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 13117 E 41st St Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1091 | $1,400 | $1.28 | 13d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 13239 E 49th Dr Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $1,800 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 13595 E 51st St Yuma, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 12615 E 49th St Yuma, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1477 | $1,750 | $1.18 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 13818 E 52nd Dr Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,300 | $1.50 | 13d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 13289 S Onammi Ave Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,600 | $1.68 | 13d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 12255 E 37th St Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 967 | $1,600 | $1.65 | 13d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 13407 E 55th St Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,600 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-11price $142,500
-
2026-03-30$157,500 Active
-
2022-06-23soldstatus $148,000 255-char remark
Show marketing remark (255 chars)
Don't Miss Out on this 2 Bedroom/ 2 Bath with New Carpet, Refrigerator, Newer A/C, Washer & Dryer, Double Wide with Enclosed AZ Room, Covered Patio & Carport, Nice Patio area for entertaining, 2 Sheds/Workshop, Desert Landscape, Move In Ready!
-
2022-06-23soldstatus $148,000
Show marketing remark (255 chars)
Don't Miss Out on this 2 Bedroom/ 2 Bath with New Carpet, Refrigerator, Newer A/C, Washer & Dryer, Double Wide with Enclosed AZ Room, Covered Patio & Carport, Nice Patio area for entertaining, 2 Sheds/Workshop, Desert Landscape, Move In Ready!
-
2022-05-04$144,900 255-char remark
Show marketing remark (255 chars)
Don't Miss Out on this 2 Bedroom/ 2 Bath with New Carpet, Refrigerator, Newer A/C, Washer & Dryer, Double Wide with Enclosed AZ Room, Covered Patio & Carport, Nice Patio area for entertaining, 2 Sheds/Workshop, Desert Landscape, Move In Ready!
-
2019-08-25$107,500
-
2008-02-29soldstatus $99,900
-
2003-03-10soldstatus $57,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $708 · $59/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $940 · $78/mo
- Expected delta
- +$233/yr (+$19/mo · 32.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 5 d/yr ≥113°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,794
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,982
- − Property taxes
- −$708
- − Insurance
- −$712
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,424
- − Management
- −$1,424
- − Depreciation
- −$4,145
- Taxable income
- $1,399
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$336
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,334/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Yuma Union High School District (4507)
- NCES district ID
- 0409630
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,512
- Composite
- 12.86/100
- National rank
- #9592
- State rank
- #212 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Fortuna Foothills
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #174
- US rank
- #18663
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fortuna Foothills, AZ
- County
- Yuma County · 149,809 people
- City population
- 21,356
- Metro
- Yuma, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,074
- Household income
- $58,469
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 408.0
Population outlook (Yuma County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 211,633 people
- By 2030
- 214,114 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 217,856 · +2.9%
- By 2050
- 220,276 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 222,359 · +5.1%
- By 2100
- 198,880 · -6.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 11% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Yuma
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.3% · R 59.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.6pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -20.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.4 2020: R+6.2 2016: R+5.5 2012: R+16.1 2008: R+13.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.81%
- Current HPI
- 227.2692
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.46%
- Metro
- Yuma, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
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Price history
+150.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $142,500 YAR
- 2026-03-30 Listed $157,500 YAR
- 2022-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $148,000 Public Records
- 2022-06-23 Sold (MLS) $148,000 YAR
- 2022-05-04 Listed $144,900 YAR
- 2019-08-25 Listed $107,500 YAR
- 2008-02-29 Sold (Public Records) $99,900 Public Records
- 2003-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $708 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…