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13427 E 43 Dr
C+ Composite 63.8
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$142,500

13427 E 43 Dr · Fortuna Foothills, AZ 85367
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,052 sqft · Manufactured public records · 57 Days on market
Built 1979 6,500 sqft lot Est $207k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Don't Miss Out on this 2 Bedroom/ 2 Bath with New Carpet, Refrigerator, Newer A/C, Washer & Dryer, Double Wide with Enclosed AZ Room, Covered Patio & Carport, Nice Patio area for entertaining, 2 Sheds/Workshop, Desert Landscape, Move In Ready!

Key facts

  • Easy-care yard
  • Covered carport
  • Foothills area

Tags

FOOTHILLS AREAMOUNTAIN VIEWSENCLOSED ARIZONA ROOMCOVERED CARPORTEASY-CARE YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 1 parking space total; 1 covered space / 1-car carport; RV access/parking
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Septic needed
  • Home design: Manufactured home (mobile home); Residential property
  • Construction: Workshop structure
  • Exterior features: Patio; Workshop; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Electric range
  • Flooring: Carpet; Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heating; Cooling
  • Interior features: Refrigerator, Dishwasher, Electric Range; Smoke detectors; No fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $142k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $306 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $142k).
  • Recommended offer: $138k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.2% in Fortuna Foothills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#174 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Yuma Union High School District (4507) (urban): math 14% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #212 of 249 in AZ (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 413 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,399 units permitted in Yuma County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $985 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Yuma County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 5→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $138,225 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.87%
Cash-on-cash
9.20%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$207,244
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12544 S El Camino Del Diablo 0.18mi 2/2.0 1,128 (+7%) 2mo $180,000 $160 78
12754 S Joleane Ave 0.47mi 2/2.0 1,056 (+0%) 3mo $185,000 $175 75
12552 S El Camino Del Diablo 0.19mi 2/2.0 1,185 (+13%) 2mo $235,000 $198 68
13239 E 48 Dr 0.70mi 2/2.0 1,056 (+0%) 0mo $219,000 $207 67
13323 E 46 St 0.37mi 2/2.0 1,152 (+10%) 1mo $235,000 $204 66
13714 E 47 Ln 0.65mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,056 (+0%) 1mo $220,000 $208 63
13145 E 43 Dr 0.35mi 2/2.0 1,181 (+12%) 2mo $195,000 $165 61
13614 E 46 St 0.40mi 2/2.0 1,167 (+11%) 2mo $230,000 $197 61
13572 E 46 St 0.37mi 2/2.0 1,200 (+14%) 1mo $138,000 $115 58
13218 E 39 Pl 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,116 (+6%) 0mo $208,000 $186 57
13555 E 47 Dr 0.53mi 2/3.0 938 (-11%) 2mo $215,000 $229 52
13128 E 47 Ln 0.64mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,188 (+13%) 1mo $233,500 $197 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.46% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.9%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-1,456
Equity at exit
$21,247
10-year hold
IRR
10.1%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$32,946
Equity at exit
$12,321

Cash invested: $39,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85367

Home prices YoY
-26.2%
Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
413
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,483 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$747
Tax from tax record
$59 /mo · $708/yr
Insurance
$59
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$311
Net cashflow
$306

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,096
Max offer price $142,500
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,625
Closing costs
$4,275
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13308 E 45th St Yuma, AZ 3.0 2.0 1290 $1,800 $1.40 13d 1 0.21mi
13388 E 41st Dr Yuma, AZ 2.0 1.0 832 $1,200 $1.44 13d 1 0.27mi
13244 E 41st Ln Yuma, AZ 2.0 1.0 948 $1,200 $1.27 13d 1 0.31mi
13292 E 41st St Yuma, AZ 1.0 1.0 700 $1,195 $1.71 13d 1 0.35mi
13117 E 41st St Yuma, AZ 2.0 2.0 1091 $1,400 $1.28 13d 1 0.47mi
13239 E 49th Dr Yuma, AZ 2.0 2.0 1352 $1,800 $1.33 13d 1 0.80mi
13595 E 51st St Yuma, AZ 1.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 13d 1 0.99mi
12615 E 49th St Yuma, AZ 3.0 2.0 1477 $1,750 $1.18 13d 1 1.03mi
13818 E 52nd Dr Yuma, AZ 2.0 1.0 864 $1,300 $1.50 13d 1 1.23mi
13289 S Onammi Ave Yuma, AZ 2.0 2.0 950 $1,600 $1.68 13d 1 1.27mi
12255 E 37th St Yuma, AZ 2.0 2.0 967 $1,600 $1.65 13d 1 1.41mi
13407 E 55th St Yuma, AZ 2.0 2.0 1298 $1,600 $1.23 21d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    price $142,500
  2. 2026-03-30
    listed $157,500 Active
  3. 2022-06-23
    soldstatus $148,000 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Don't Miss Out on this 2 Bedroom/ 2 Bath with New Carpet, Refrigerator, Newer A/C, Washer & Dryer, Double Wide with Enclosed AZ Room, Covered Patio & Carport, Nice Patio area for entertaining, 2 Sheds/Workshop, Desert Landscape, Move In Ready!

  4. 2022-06-23
    soldstatus $148,000
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Don't Miss Out on this 2 Bedroom/ 2 Bath with New Carpet, Refrigerator, Newer A/C, Washer & Dryer, Double Wide with Enclosed AZ Room, Covered Patio & Carport, Nice Patio area for entertaining, 2 Sheds/Workshop, Desert Landscape, Move In Ready!

  5. 2022-05-04
    listed $144,900 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Don't Miss Out on this 2 Bedroom/ 2 Bath with New Carpet, Refrigerator, Newer A/C, Washer & Dryer, Double Wide with Enclosed AZ Room, Covered Patio & Carport, Nice Patio area for entertaining, 2 Sheds/Workshop, Desert Landscape, Move In Ready!

  6. 2019-08-25
    listed $107,500
  7. 2008-02-29
    soldstatus $99,900
  8. 2003-03-10
    soldstatus $57,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$708 · $59/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$940 · $78/mo
Expected delta
+$233/yr (+$19/mo · 32.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 5 d/yr ≥113°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,794
− Mortgage interest
−$7,982
− Property taxes
−$708
− Insurance
−$712
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,424
− Management
−$1,424
− Depreciation
−$4,145
Taxable income
$1,399
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$336
After-tax cash flow
$3,334/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Yuma Union High School District (4507)
NCES district ID
0409630
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$40,512
Composite
12.86/100
National rank
#9592
State rank
#212 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Fortuna Foothills

Score
60/100
State rank
#174
US rank
#18663

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fortuna Foothills, AZ
County
Yuma County · 149,809 people
City population
21,356
Metro
Yuma, AZ
Population (ZIP)
22,074
Household income
$58,469
Rent vs Own
16.8% rent · 83.2% own
Severe rent burden
408.0

Population outlook (Yuma County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
211,633 people
By 2030
214,114 · +1.2%
By 2040
217,856 · +2.9%
By 2050
220,276 · +4.1%
By 2075
222,359 · +5.1%
By 2100
198,880 · -6.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 11% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Yuma

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.3% · R 59.8%
2008→2024 swing
-6.6pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -20.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.4 2020: R+6.2 2016: R+5.5 2012: R+16.1 2008: R+13.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.81%
Current HPI
227.2692
Rent YoY
▲ 4.46%
Metro
Yuma, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+150.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $142,500 YAR
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $157,500 YAR
  • 2022-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $148,000 Public Records
  • 2022-06-23 Sold (MLS) $148,000 YAR
  • 2022-05-04 Listed $144,900 YAR
  • 2019-08-25 Listed $107,500 YAR
  • 2008-02-29 Sold (Public Records) $99,900 Public Records
  • 2003-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $708 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…