12845 Shelton Blvd · Corpus Christi, TX 78410

$233,990

5 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,804 sqft · Land · 198 Days on market

Built 2025 7,405 sqft lot ↓ 15% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.7/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +4.8/10.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• 1% rule +3.5/10.0
• Rent growth +3.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Introducing the Madison, part of the Liberty Series, offering and expansive layout built by National Home Corp. Designed with both comfort and functionality in mind, the Madison floor plan provides ample room while still maintaining a cozy atmosphere. This home is currently under construction and expected to be complete early spring. NHC is committed to offering homeownership opportunities at the best value. With energy-efficient features and modern construction. Visit our website for more details on available homes and how NHC deliver affordable prices .

Key facts

• 7,405 sq ft lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 2025

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath land listed at $234k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $102 ($1k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (15.2% below list).
• Recommended offer: $198k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.6% in Corpus Christi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
• Calallen ISD (urban): math 42% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #249 of 826 in TX (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 316 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 198 days — a 12% lower offer ($206k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $198,309 (15.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 198 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.85% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.81%
• Cash-on-cash: 1.86%
• DSCR: 1.08
• GRM: 9.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.98% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -14.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.49×
• Total profit: $-33,520
• Equity at exit: $34,889

10-year hold

• IRR: -7.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.55×
• Total profit: $-29,210
• Equity at exit: $20,231

Cash invested: $65,517 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 78410

• Rents YoY: 2.0%
• Active inventory: 316
• Price-to-rent: 9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,983 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,227
• Tax from tax record: −$140 /mo · $1,685/yr
• Insurance: −$97
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$416
• Net cashflow: $102

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,854

Max offer price $233,990

Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $58,498
• Closing costs: $7,020
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
4516 Pecos Ln Robstown, TX	4.0	3.0	1919	$1,900	$0.99	14d	1	1.28mi

Listing history 5 events

1. 2025-05-06
   status Pending
2. 2025-05-01
   price $233,990
3. 2025-05-01
   price $243,990
4. 2025-04-18
   price $233,990
5. 2024-10-19
   listed $275,990 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,685 · $140/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $4,282 · $357/mo
• Expected delta: +$2,597/yr (+$216/mo · 154.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,797
• − Mortgage interest: −$13,107
• − Property taxes: −$1,685
• − Insurance: −$1,170
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,904
• − Management: −$1,904
• − Depreciation: −$6,807
• Taxable loss: −$2,780
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$667
• After-tax cash flow: $1,887/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Calallen ISD
• NCES district ID: 4812420
• Math proficiency: 42% ▼ -15.00%
• Reading proficiency: 44% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $73,780
• Composite: 39.25/100
• National rank: #4004
• State rank: #249 of 826 in TX

Livability — Corpus Christi

• Score: 78/100
• State rank: #66
• US rank: #2404

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Corpus Christi, TX
• County: Nueces County · 296,836 people
• City population: 296,836
• Metro: Corpus Christi, TX
• Population (ZIP): 29,040
• Household income: $79,308
• Rent vs Own: 31.9% rent · 68.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 324.0

Population outlook (Nueces County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 418,037 people
• By 2030: 447,123 · +7.0%
• By 2040: 505,911 · +21.0%
• By 2050: 567,522 · +35.8%
• By 2075: 729,686 · +74.6%
• By 2100: 847,087 · +102.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority Hispanic (59%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 59% White 38% Two or more races 35% Black 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 54% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada
• Languages at home: 71% English-only · Spanish 28%

Political lean MEDSL · Nueces

• 2024 margin: R (+11.5) · D 43.8% · R 55.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.4pp · 2024: -11.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+11.5 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+4.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -145.45%
• Current HPI: 174.0462
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.98%
• Metro: Corpus Christi, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-15.2% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2025-05-06 Pending — CBMLS
• 2025-05-01 Price Changed $233,990 CBMLS
• 2025-05-01 Price Changed $243,990 CBMLS
• 2025-04-18 Price Changed $233,990 CBMLS
• 2024-10-19 Listed $275,990 CBMLS

Property tax history

+86.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,685 · +235.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.