2807 Pea Ridge Rd · Brewton, AL 36426

$144,900

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,932 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 88 Days on market

Built 1970 1.00 ac lot $75/sqft · 9% below area Est $158k · 9% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +19.8/30.0
• ARV discount +11.4/15.0
• DSCR +6.3/10.0
• 1% rule +5.2/10.0
• Appreciation +3.3/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.3/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Located just outside the city limits of Brewton on Pea Ridge Road, this brick home offers plenty of space and potential on a generous one-acre lot. The property features 4 bedrooms and 2½ bathrooms with a mix of wood and tile flooring throughout. With solid brick construction and a spacious layout, this home provides a great opportunity for buyers looking to add their own touches and make it their own. Just minutes from town! With a little work, this property could truly shine. More photos coming soon! Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.

Key facts

• 1 acre lot
• 2 parking spots
• Built 1970

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $171 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $145k).
• Recommended offer: $136k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.8% in Brewton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#185 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
• Escambia County (town): math 17% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #83 of 129 in AL (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Escambia County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $136,206 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.02% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.71%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.06%
• DSCR: 1.23
• GRM: 8.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $158,463
• List price: $144,900
• Delta: -8.56%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -8.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.69×
• Total profit: $-12,553
• Equity at exit: $21,605

10-year hold

• IRR: 1.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.08×
• Total profit: $3,201
• Equity at exit: $12,528

Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 36426

• Home prices YoY: -1.1%
• Active inventory: 84
• Price-to-rent: 8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,484 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$760
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$181 /mo · $2,174/yr
• Insurance: −$60
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$312
• Net cashflow: $171

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,268

Max offer price $144,900

Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $271	-5% $221	+0% $171	+5% $121	+10% $71
Rent	-10% $54	-5% $113	+0% $171	+5% $230	+10% $288
Rate	-1.0pp $244	-0.5pp $208	base $171	+0.5pp $134	+1.0pp $95

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $36,225
• Closing costs: $4,347
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 13 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $144,900 Active 88 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $144,900 Active 87 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $144,900 Active 86 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $144,900 Active 85 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $144,900 Active 84 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $144,900 Active 82 DOM
7. 2026-06-12
   days on market $144,900 Active 81 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $144,900 Active 78 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $144,900 Active 77 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $144,900 Active 76 DOM
11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $144,900 Active 72 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $144,900 Active 71 DOM
13. 2026-03-11
    listed $144,900 Active 569-char remark

    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    Located just outside the city limits of Brewton on Pea Ridge Road, this brick home offers plenty of space and potential on a generous one-acre lot. The property features 4 bedrooms and 2½ bathrooms with a mix of wood and tile flooring throughout. With solid brick construction and a spacious layout, this home provides a great opportunity for buyers looking to add their own touches and make it their own. Just minutes from town! With a little work, this property could truly shine. More photos coming soon! Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,811
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,117
• − Property taxes: −$2,174
• − Insurance: −$724
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,425
• − Management: −$1,425
• − Depreciation: −$4,215
• Taxable loss: −$268
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$64
• After-tax cash flow: $2,119/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Escambia County
• NCES district ID: 0101350
• Math proficiency: 17% ▼ -27.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $31,905
• Composite: 22.73/100
• National rank: #8036
• State rank: #83 of 129 in AL

Livability — Brewton

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #185
• US rank: #15452

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 16,049

Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 36,683 people
• By 2030: 35,844 · -2.3%
• By 2040: 34,393 · -6.2%
• By 2050: 33,109 · -9.7%
• By 2075: 28,305 · -22.8%
• By 2100: 21,091 · -42.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (69%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 69% Black 22% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Escambia

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+46.4) · D 26.6% · R 72.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -17.8pp toward R · 2008: -28.5pp · 2024: -46.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+46.4 2020: R+37.4 2016: R+36.7 2012: R+25.5 2008: R+28.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -3.44%
• Current HPI: 294.97
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-03-11 Listed $144,900 BCAR