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2309 Ithica St
D Composite 42.08
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$224,900

2309 Ithica St · Columbia, SC 29204
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,543 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 2006 5,662 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

FOR COMP PURPOSES ONLY

Key facts

  • Added privacy
  • Corner home
  • Shady front porch

Tags

CORNER HOMESHADY FRONT PORCHREAR PATIOADDED PRIVACYOUTDOOR SPACECONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home
  • Construction: Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.13 acres

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heat (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Central heating and central cooling

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $27 ($328/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (12.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $196k (12.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 5.1% in Columbia — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#18 in SC, #2,436 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Richland 01 (urban): math 26% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #54 of 80 in SC (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Carver-Lyon Elementary (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #421 of 597 statewide, top 73%, 387 students, 100% FRL); W. A. Perry Middle (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #216 of 229 statewide, top 96%, 309 students, 100% FRL); C. A. Johnson High (math 34% / reading 84%, grade C+, #110 of 196 statewide, top 58%, 364 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 64% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,958/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 1045% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $195,799 (12.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.44%
Cash-on-cash
0.52%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.73% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.6%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-31,225
Equity at exit
$33,533
10-year hold
IRR
-2.2%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-10,175
Equity at exit
$19,445

Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29204

Home prices YoY
-34.9%
Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
115
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,958 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,179
Tax from tax record
$246 /mo · $2,956/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$411
Net cashflow
$27

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,923
Max offer price $224,900
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $155 -5% $91 +0% $27 +5% $-36 +10% $-100
Rent -10% $-127 -5% $-50 +0% $27 +5% $105 +10% $182
Rate -1.0pp $141 -0.5pp $85 base $27 +0.5pp $-31 +1.0pp $-90

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,225
Closing costs
$6,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3419 Piedmont Ave Columbia, SC 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,195 $1.09 25d 1 0.68mi
1318 House St Columbia, SC 4.0 4.0 1500 $2,900 $1.93 25d 2 0.85mi
1840 Hampton St Unit 3 Columbia, SC 4.0 2.0 1514 $1,895 $1.25 25d 1 0.92mi
1840 Hampton St Unit 1 Columbia, SC 4.0 2.0 1056 $1,795 $1.70 25d 1 0.92mi
3500 Grand St Columbia, SC 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,000 $1.54 16d 1 0.96mi
1121 Zeigler St Unit B Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1550 $3,300 $2.13 23d 1 1.07mi
27 Bethune Ct Columbia, SC 3.0 2.0 1523 $1,625 $1.07 25d 1 1.20mi
1018 Laurens St Columbia, SC 3.0 1.0 1500 $2,700 $1.80 25d 1 1.22mi
2928 English Ave Unit NA Columbia, SC 3.0 1.0 1320 $1,590 $1.20 13d 1 1.24mi
2229 Greene St Columbia, SC 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,695 $1.61 21d 1 1.32mi
2241 Hurst St Columbia, SC 4.0 2.0 1980 $1,595 $0.81 25d 1 1.33mi
2617 River Dr Columbia, SC 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1038 $993 $0.96 16d 2 1.40mi
3040 Girardeau Ave Columbia, SC 3.0 1.5 1400 $2,150 $1.54 25d 1 1.40mi
3040 Girardeau Ave Columbia, SC 3.0 1.5 1400 $2,150 $1.54 16d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $224,900 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $224,900 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $224,900 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $224,900 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $224,900 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $224,900 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $224,900 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $224,900 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $224,900 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $224,900 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $224,900 Active 5 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $224,900 Active 4 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $224,900 Active 3 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $224,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,956 · $246/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,956 · $246/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,496
− Mortgage interest
−$12,598
− Property taxes
−$2,956
− Insurance
−$1,124
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,880
− Management
−$1,880
− Depreciation
−$6,543
Taxable loss
−$3,484
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$836
After-tax cash flow
$1,165/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richland 01
NCES district ID
4503360
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$38,931
Composite
25.94/100
National rank
#7335
State rank
#54 of 80 in SC

Livability — Columbia

Score
78/100
State rank
#18
US rank
#2436

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Columbia, SC
County
Richland County · 389,530 people
City population
335,994
Metro
Columbia, SC
Population (ZIP)
18,159
Household income
$50,189
Rent vs Own
41.3% rent · 58.7% own
Severe rent burden
1045.0

Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
459,667 people
By 2030
487,524 · +6.1%
By 2040
542,035 · +17.9%
By 2050
595,371 · +29.5%
By 2075
732,998 · +59.5%
By 2100
820,415 · +78.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 48% White 44% Two or more races 3% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Richland

2024 margin
Solid D (+34.6) · D 66.4% · R 31.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+5.7pp toward D · 2008: 28.9pp · 2024: 34.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+34.6 2020: D+38.3 2016: D+32.9 2012: D+33.3 2008: D+28.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -104.76%
Current HPI
195.2246
Rent YoY
▲ 4.73%
Metro
Columbia, SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+107.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $224,900 Consolidated MLS
  • 2016-07-05 Sold (Public Records) $360,054 Public Records
  • 2016-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2016-03-09 Sold (MLS) $85,000 Charleston Trident MLS
  • 2016-03-01 Listed $85,000 Charleston Trident MLS
  • 2006-07-05 Sold (Public Records) $108,463 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,956 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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