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9314 Canyon Rd E #85
B Composite 70.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$128,000

9314 Canyon Rd E #85 · Summit, WA 98371
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,460 sqft · Manufactured public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1986 $88/sqft · 50% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 1.25-bath home located in the sought-after 55+ Canyon Terrace Community! Thoughtfully maintained and extensively upgraded, this home features a heat pump, crawl space insulation, double and triple-pane windows, updated flooring, a newer roof, left gutter guards, interior paint, carpet, and high-end appliances in the remodeled kitchen. Enjoy the bright and spacious layout with a large living room and open kitchen/dining area perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The generous primary suite includes its own ensuite bathroom with a walk-in shower, while abundant storage throughout the home adds convenience and functionality. Step outside an

Key facts

  • Heat pump
  • Newer roof
  • Updated flooring

Tags

HEAT PUMPCRAWL SPACE INSULATIONDOUBLE AND TRIPLE-PANE WINDOWSUPDATED FLOORINGNEWER ROOFLEFT GUTTER GUARDS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential - Manufactured Home; Calculated living area: 1,460; Green feature: Double pane windows
  • Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or Conventional; Land lease: $1,035 (monthly)
  • HOA & community: Located in Canyon Terrace manufactured home park; Park amenities: Clubhouse, common area, RV parking; 87 homes in the park; Park approved for sale; Senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; RV parking (park amenity)
  • Utilities: Electric energy source; Electric water heater; Community water (through park); Sewer through park; Tacoma Public Utilities power
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; One level; Manufactured after 6/15/1976; Mobile home remains; Good condition; Make: ZIMM, Model: NASHUA; Style: Manufactured - Double Wide
  • Construction: Wood construction; Composition roof; Tie down foundation
  • Exterior features: Wood exterior; Paved lot; Has view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: One three-quarter bathroom; One half bathroom; One shower
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump; Forced air cooling; Heat pump cooling
  • Interior features: Water heater; Vaulted ceilings; Ceiling fan(s); Double pane windows; Awnings; Landscaped; Patio/porch/deck; Bath off primary
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $128k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $949 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $128k).
  • Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 2.5% in Summit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#318 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment A; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Franklin Pierce School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #197 of 291 in WA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 227 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $885 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.4% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $128,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.80%
Cap rate
15.19%
Cash-on-cash
31.79%
DSCR
2.41
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$257,500
List price
$128,000
Delta
-50.29%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9314 Canyon Rd E #85 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,460 (0%) 0mo $119,000 $82 100
9314 Canyon Rd E #39 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,504 (+3%) 3mo $168,000 $112 93
9314 Canyon Rd E #82 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,526 (+4%) 5mo $100,000 $66 83
9314 Canyon Rd E #23 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,539 (+5%) 15mo $160,000 $104 79
9314 Canyon Rd E #74 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,330 (-9%) 8mo $135,000 $102 73
5115 88th Street Ct E #29 0.33mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,436 (-2%) 9mo $129,950 $90 70
5801 89th Street Ct E #5 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,496 (+2%) 10mo $151,000 $101 69
6022 89th Street Ct E #20 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,528 (+5%) 2mo $257,500 $169 66
5902 89th Street Ct E #11 0.43mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,596 (+9%) 1mo $289,000 $181 58
5123 88th Street Ct E 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,336 (-8%) 17mo $114,800 $86 57
6012 91st Street Ct E 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,599 (+10%) 10mo $309,000 $193 54
6021 90th Street Ct E #109 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,648 (+13%) 11mo $325,000 $197 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.41% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.9%
Equity multiple
2.01×
Total profit
$36,126
Equity at exit
$19,085
10-year hold
IRR
31.7%
Equity multiple
3.65×
Total profit
$95,020
Equity at exit
$11,067

Cash invested: $35,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98371

Rents YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
227
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,300 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$671
Tax from tax record
$143 /mo · $1,712/yr
Insurance
$53
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$483
Net cashflow
$949

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,098
Max offer price $128,000
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,000
Closing costs
$3,840
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2506 103rd St E Puyallup, WA 2.0 1.0 1025 $1,877 $1.83 4d 3 0.72mi
4016 84th St E Tacoma, WA 3.0 1.0 940 $1,695 $1.80 10d 1 0.87mi
10823 50th Ave E Tacoma, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 916 $2,391 $2.61 1d 3 1.07mi
6406 104th St E Unit 6402 Puyallup, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,600 $1.78 43d 1 1.07mi
5923 111th Street Ct E Puyallup, WA 3.0 2.5 1364 $2,600 $1.91 1d 1 1.24mi
6115 111th St E Puyallup, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 911 $2,391 $2.62 1d 16 1.27mi
5909 111th Street Ct E Puyallup, WA 3.0 2.5 1356 $2,395 $1.77 14d 1 1.27mi
5617 112th St E Puyallup, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 947 $2,195 $2.32 11d 17 1.29mi
9604 S Fruitland Unit 7502 Puyallup, WA 2.0 2.0 1492 $2,500 $1.68 1d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    listed $128,000 Active
  2. 2019-10-29
    soldstatus $82,500 Sold
  3. 2019-10-13
    status Pending
  4. 2019-09-25
    listed $85,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,712 · $143/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,712 · $143/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,594
− Mortgage interest
−$7,170
− Property taxes
−$1,712
− Insurance
−$640
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,208
− Management
−$2,208
− Depreciation
−$3,724
Taxable income
$9,933
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,384
After-tax cash flow
$9,008/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Franklin Pierce School District
NCES district ID
5302940
Math proficiency
35% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$49,240
Composite
39.18/100
National rank
#8227
State rank
#197 of 291 in WA

Livability — Summit

Score
66/100
State rank
#318
US rank
#11661

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D- Crime B- Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Summit, WA
County
Pierce County · 788,257 people
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
24,682
Household income
$97,242
Rent vs Own
28.1% rent · 71.9% own
Severe rent burden
507.0

Population outlook (Pierce County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
956,648 people
By 2030
1,010,862 · +5.7%
By 2040
1,113,170 · +16.4%
By 2050
1,206,524 · +26.1%
By 2075
1,436,425 · +50.2%
By 2100
1,563,654 · +63.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 11% Asian 6% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 5% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 5% Korean 2% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pierce

2024 margin
D (+10.8) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-1.4pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: 10.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.8 2020: D+11.2 2016: D+7.5 2012: D+11.0 2008: D+12.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -580.45%
Current HPI
295.2143
Rent YoY
▲ 1.41%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+40.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Sold (MLS) $119,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-22 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $128,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-10-29 Sold (MLS) $82,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-10-13 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-09-25 Listed $85,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+10.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,712 · +9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…