9314 Canyon Rd E #85 · Summit, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$128,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 1.25-bath home located in the sought-after 55+ Canyon Terrace Community! Thoughtfully maintained and extensively upgraded, this home features a heat pump, crawl space insulation, double and triple-pane windows, updated flooring, a newer roof, left gutter guards, interior paint, carpet, and high-end appliances in the remodeled kitchen. Enjoy the bright and spacious layout with a large living room and open kitchen/dining area perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The generous primary suite includes its own ensuite bathroom with a walk-in shower, while abundant storage throughout the home adds convenience and functionality. Step outside an
Key facts
- Heat pump
- Newer roof
- Updated flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential - Manufactured Home; Calculated living area: 1,460; Green feature: Double pane windows
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or Conventional; Land lease: $1,035 (monthly)
- HOA & community: Located in Canyon Terrace manufactured home park; Park amenities: Clubhouse, common area, RV parking; 87 homes in the park; Park approved for sale; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; RV parking (park amenity)
- Utilities: Electric energy source; Electric water heater; Community water (through park); Sewer through park; Tacoma Public Utilities power
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; One level; Manufactured after 6/15/1976; Mobile home remains; Good condition; Make: ZIMM, Model: NASHUA; Style: Manufactured - Double Wide
- Construction: Wood construction; Composition roof; Tie down foundation
- Exterior features: Wood exterior; Paved lot; Has view
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate; Carpet
- Bathrooms: One three-quarter bathroom; One half bathroom; One shower
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump; Forced air cooling; Heat pump cooling
- Interior features: Water heater; Vaulted ceilings; Ceiling fan(s); Double pane windows; Awnings; Landscaped; Patio/porch/deck; Bath off primary
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $128k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $949 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $128k).
- Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 2.5% in Summit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#318 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment A; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Franklin Pierce School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #197 of 291 in WA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 227 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $885 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.4% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.80% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.79%
- DSCR
- 2.41
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $257,500
- List price
- $128,000
- Delta
- -50.29%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9314 Canyon Rd E #85 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,460 (0%) | 0mo | $119,000 | $82 | 100 |
| 9314 Canyon Rd E #39 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,504 (+3%) | 3mo | $168,000 | $112 | 93 |
| 9314 Canyon Rd E #82 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,526 (+4%) | 5mo | $100,000 | $66 | 83 |
| 9314 Canyon Rd E #23 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,539 (+5%) | 15mo | $160,000 | $104 | 79 |
| 9314 Canyon Rd E #74 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,330 (-9%) | 8mo | $135,000 | $102 | 73 |
| 5115 88th Street Ct E #29 | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,436 (-2%) | 9mo | $129,950 | $90 | 70 |
| 5801 89th Street Ct E #5 | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,496 (+2%) | 10mo | $151,000 | $101 | 69 |
| 6022 89th Street Ct E #20 | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,528 (+5%) | 2mo | $257,500 | $169 | 66 |
| 5902 89th Street Ct E #11 | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,596 (+9%) | 1mo | $289,000 | $181 | 58 |
| 5123 88th Street Ct E | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,336 (-8%) | 17mo | $114,800 | $86 | 57 |
| 6012 91st Street Ct E | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,599 (+10%) | 10mo | $309,000 | $193 | 54 |
| 6021 90th Street Ct E #109 | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,648 (+13%) | 11mo | $325,000 | $197 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $36,126
- Equity at exit
- $19,085
- IRR
- 31.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.65×
- Total profit
- $95,020
- Equity at exit
- $11,067
Cash invested: $35,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98371
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 227
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,300 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$671
- Tax from tax record
- −$143 /mo · $1,712/yr
- Insurance
- −$53
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$483
- Net cashflow
- $949
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,000
- Closing costs
- $3,840
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2506 103rd St E Puyallup, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,877 | $1.83 | 4d | 3 | 0.72mi |
| 4016 84th St E Tacoma, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,695 | $1.80 | 10d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 10823 50th Ave E Tacoma, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 916 | $2,391 | $2.61 | 1d | 3 | 1.07mi |
| 6406 104th St E Unit 6402 Puyallup, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 5923 111th Street Ct E Puyallup, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1364 | $2,600 | $1.91 | 1d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 6115 111th St E Puyallup, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 911 | $2,391 | $2.62 | 1d | 16 | 1.27mi |
| 5909 111th Street Ct E Puyallup, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1356 | $2,395 | $1.77 | 14d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 5617 112th St E Puyallup, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 947 | $2,195 | $2.32 | 11d | 17 | 1.29mi |
| 9604 S Fruitland Unit 7502 Puyallup, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1492 | $2,500 | $1.68 | 1d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-08$128,000 Active
-
2019-10-29soldstatus $82,500 Sold
-
2019-10-13status Pending
-
2019-09-25$85,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,712 · $143/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,712 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,594
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,170
- − Property taxes
- −$1,712
- − Insurance
- −$640
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,208
- − Management
- −$2,208
- − Depreciation
- −$3,724
- Taxable income
- $9,933
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,384
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,008/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Franklin Pierce School District
- NCES district ID
- 5302940
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,240
- Composite
- 39.18/100
- National rank
- #8227
- State rank
- #197 of 291 in WA
Livability — Summit
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #318
- US rank
- #11661
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Summit, WA
- County
- Pierce County · 788,257 people
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,682
- Household income
- $97,242
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 507.0
Population outlook (Pierce County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 956,648 people
- By 2030
- 1,010,862 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,113,170 · +16.4%
- By 2050
- 1,206,524 · +26.1%
- By 2075
- 1,436,425 · +50.2%
- By 2100
- 1,563,654 · +63.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 11% Asian 6% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 5% Korean 2% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pierce
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.8) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: 10.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.8 2020: D+11.2 2016: D+7.5 2012: D+11.0 2008: D+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -580.45%
- Current HPI
- 295.2143
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.41%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+40.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Sold (MLS) $119,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-22 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-08 Listed $128,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-29 Sold (MLS) $82,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-13 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-09-25 Listed $85,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+10.8%/yrLatest (2026): $1,712 · +9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…