310 Center St · Pasadena, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.2/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,497
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Very close to the freeway and 16 minutes to downtown. Nice fixer home for the buyer with a vision. Priced to move 2/1 with a detached garage. A blank canvas to work your magic
Key facts
- 6,351 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1941
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $252 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $77k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 3.4% in Pasadena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#600 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, crime F.
- Pasadena ISD (suburban): math 29% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #612 of 826 in TX (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 104 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $550 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.60%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $166,523
- List price
- $79,497
- Delta
- -52.26%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 310 Center St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,130 (0%) | 1mo | $79,497 | $70 | 99 |
| 904 Jackson Ave | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,106 (-2%) | 8mo | $179,990 | $163 | 75 |
| 510 Witter St | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,128 (-0%) | 9mo | $170,000 | $151 | 73 |
| 515 Main St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,102 (-2%) | 0mo | $154,000 | $140 | 72 |
| 202 Jackson Ave | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 1,154 (+2%) | 7mo | $80,000 | $69 | 72 |
| 907 Leonard St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,056 (-6%) | 10mo | $140,000 | $133 | 57 |
| 516 Spooner St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,025 (-9%) | 7mo | $99,900 | $97 | 56 |
| 710 Alvin St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,082 (-4%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $125 | 52 |
| 133 Pomeroy Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,250 (+11%) | 6mo | $156,000 | $125 | 52 |
| 1105 Richard Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (-12%) | 12mo | $159,999 | $160 | 47 |
| 1406 Taylor Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,188 (+5%) | 4mo | $219,990 | $185 | 46 |
| 510 Alvin St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,207 (+7%) | 12mo | $110,000 | $91 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $3,298
- Equity at exit
- $11,853
- IRR
- 13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.08×
- Total profit
- $24,016
- Equity at exit
- $6,873
Cash invested: $22,259 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77506
- Home prices YoY
- -15.5%
- Active inventory
- 104
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,207 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$417
- Tax from tax record
- −$252 /mo · $3,019/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $252
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,874
- Closing costs
- $2,385
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133 Pomeroy Ave Pasadena, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,875 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 727 S Richey St Pasadena, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,275 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 910 Main St Pasadena, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $925 | $1.30 | 43d | 2 | 0.81mi |
| 407 S Richey St Unit 481 Pasadena, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $707 | $1.01 | 2d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 407 S Richey St Unit 458 Pasadena, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $699 | $1.00 | 12d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 407 S Richey St Unit 2162 Pasadena, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $890 | $1.11 | 5d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 407 S Richey St Unit 440 Pasadena, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,345 | $1.22 | 12d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 407 S Richey St Unit 481 Pasadena, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $745 | $1.06 | 12d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 407 S Richey St Unit 1162 Pasadena, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $710 | $1.01 | 5d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 407 S Richey St Unit 510 Pasadena, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,032 | $1.03 | 2d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 407 S Richey St Unit 2047 Pasadena, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $882 | $1.10 | 2d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 407 S Richey St Unit 3047 Pasadena, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,075 | $1.07 | 11d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 407 Richey St Pasadena, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 700 | $908 | $1.30 | 20d | 13 | 0.86mi |
| 1007 Spooner St Pasadena, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1182 | $1,650 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 621 Richey St Unit 654 Pasadena, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,332 | $1.21 | 2d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 621 Richey St Unit 424 Pasadena, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 770 | $1,040 | $1.35 | 5d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1129 Witter St Pasadena, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,075 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 205 Tilden Dr Pasadena, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1208 | $1,550 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1009 Richey St Pasadena, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 885 | $1,144 | $1.29 | 3d | 26 | 1.26mi |
| 1034 W Village Ct Unit C Pasadena, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $945 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1744 Jenkins Rd Pasadena, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 807 | $1,365 | $1.69 | 5d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1750 Jenkins Rd Pasadena, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 926 | $1,135 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1000 Curtis Ave Pasadena, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 744 | $1,274 | $1.71 | 5d | 14 | 1.42mi |
| 2405 Pomona Dr Pasadena, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1162 | $1,499 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 719 Burke Rd Pasadena, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1158 | $2,000 | $1.73 | 4d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
Very close to the freeway and 16 minutes to downtown. Nice fixer home for the buyer with a vision. Priced to move 2/1 with a detached garage. A blank canvas to work your magic
-
2026-05-11price $79,497 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
Very close to the freeway and 16 minutes to downtown. Nice fixer home for the buyer with a vision. Priced to move 2/1 with a detached garage. A blank canvas to work your magic
-
2026-04-30price $89,497 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
Very close to the freeway and 16 minutes to downtown. Nice fixer home for the buyer with a vision. Priced to move 2/1 with a detached garage. A blank canvas to work your magic
-
2026-04-09$99,497 Active 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
Very close to the freeway and 16 minutes to downtown. Nice fixer home for the buyer with a vision. Priced to move 2/1 with a detached garage. A blank canvas to work your magic
-
1994-06-05soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,019 · $252/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,019 · $252/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,489
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,453
- − Property taxes
- −$3,019
- − Insurance
- −$397
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,159
- − Management
- −$1,159
- − Depreciation
- −$2,313
- Taxable income
- $1,989
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$477
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,550/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasadena ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4834320
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,163
- Composite
- 26.15/100
- National rank
- #7275
- State rank
- #612 of 826 in TX
Livability — Pasadena
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #600
- US rank
- #11438
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pasadena, TX
- City population
- 109,190
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,243
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 89% Two or more races 36% White 9% Black 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 77%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 39% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 30% English-only · Spanish 69%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.82%
- Current HPI
- 315.9695
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-20.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $79,497 HARMLS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $89,497 HARMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $99,497 HARMLS
- 1994-06-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,019 · -1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…