51 Cranebill Pl · DeFuniak Springs, FL 32433

$203,990

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,114 sqft · SingleFamily · 14 Days on market

Built 2026 Excellent condition 10,018 sqft lot Est $213k · at est.

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +14.6/30.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +9.4/15.0
• Schools +5.2/10.0
• Condition / age +5.0/5.0
• DSCR +4.5/10.0
• 1% rule +4.0/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this NEW Single-Story Home in the Mossy Head Community! The desirable Lanier Plan boasts an open design encompassing the Living and Kitchen spaces. The Kitchen features gorgeous cabinets, quartz countertops, and Stainless-Steel Appliances (including Range with a Microwave hood and Dishwasher). The primary suite has a private bath and a walk-in closet. This Home also includes 2 more bedrooms and a secondary bathroom. Energy-efficient Low-E insulated dual-pane vinyl windows and a one-year limited warranty ensure comfort and peace of mind. Ask sales counselor about new enhanced kitchen cabinet features and updated farmhouse style trim package!

Key facts

• Quartz countertops
• Open design
• Mossy head community

Tags

• SINGLE-STORY HOME
• MOSSY HEAD COMMUNITY
• OPEN DESIGN
• GORGEOUS CABINETS
• QUARTZ COUNTERTOPS
• STAINLESS-STEEL APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Zoned for single-family residential
• Financial info: Financial details not provided
• HOA & community: Subdivision: Mossy Head

Exterior

• Parking: Parking details not provided
• Security: Security details not provided
• Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Electric water heater
• Home design: Ranch-style home; Single-story; Facing direction not specified
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Built in 2026
• Exterior features: Paved road access; Paved road surface; Lot dimensions approximately 124 x 79

Interior

• Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor; Microwave; Dishwasher
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; Primary bedroom on the first floor; Bedroom sizes — Primary: 12 x 11 ft; Bedroom 2: 11 x 10 ft; Bedroom 3: 10 x 10 ft
• Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpet
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heat control
• Interior features: Washer/dryer hookup; Double-pane windows
• Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup; Electric water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $204k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $49 ($584/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (9.5% below list).
• Recommended offer: $185k (9.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.8% in DeFuniak Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#694 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, amenities F.
• Walton (rural): math 62% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #10 of 73 in FL (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Mossy Head School (math 72% / reading 57%, grade B, #525 of 2,144 statewide, top 26%, 439 students, 86% FRL); Walton High School (math 52% / reading 53%, grade C-, #154 of 667 statewide, top 24%, 856 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 48% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 422 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,883 units permitted in Walton County in 2024 (1,322 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $22k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Walton County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $184,609 (9.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.90% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.58%
• Cash-on-cash: 1.02%
• DSCR: 1.05
• GRM: 9.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $212,774
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
64 Bobwhite Ln	0.03mi	3/2.0	1,209 (+8%)	14mo	$240,000	$199	72
103 E Hyacinth Ave	0.25mi	3/2.0	1,165 (+5%)	13mo	$215,000	$185	70
92 E Larkspur Ave	0.37mi	3/2.0	1,145 (+3%)	11mo	$224,000	$196	69
174 E Larkspur Ave	0.35mi	3/2.0	1,145 (+3%)	13mo	$224,000	$196	68
145 E Dogwood Ave	0.38mi	3/2.0	1,145 (+3%)	12mo	$219,000	$191	68
95 E Dogwood Ave	0.39mi	3/2.0	1,145 (+3%)	12mo	$219,000	$191	67
175 E Dogwood Ave	0.37mi	3/2.0	1,145 (+3%)	14mo	$224,000	$196	66
624 Tiger Lily Ln	0.60mi	3/2.0	1,114 (0%)	9mo	$199,990	$180	65
969 Walden Rd	0.51mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,152 (+3%)	8mo	$200,990	$174	59
390 E Iris Ln	0.74mi	3/2.0	1,114 (0%)	9mo	$199,990	$180	58
38 W Crocus Ave	0.38mi	3/2.0	1,272 (+14%)	12mo	$206,990	$163	48
28 W Crocus Ave	0.38mi	3/2.0	1,272 (+14%)	13mo	$210,990	$166	48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 25.0%
• Equity multiple: 3.00×
• Total profit: $114,227
• Equity at exit: $183,770

10-year hold

• IRR: 22.1%
• Equity multiple: 6.85×
• Total profit: $333,996
• Equity at exit: $396,308

Cash invested: $57,117 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32433

• Home prices YoY: 4.2%
• Active inventory: 422
• Price-to-rent: 9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,846 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,070
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$255 /mo · $3,060/yr
• Insurance: −$85
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$388
• Net cashflow: $49

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,784

Max offer price $203,990

Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $50,998
• Closing costs: $6,120
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
150 Hibiscus Ave Defuniak Springs, FL	3.0	2.0	1256	$1,950	$1.55	21d	1	0.30mi
71 Lafavre Ln Defuniak Springs, FL	2.0	1.0	806	$1,650	$2.05	21d	1	0.93mi
135 Tiger Lily Ln Defuniak Springs, FL	3.0	2.0	1114	$1,795	$1.61	13d	1	1.10mi

Listing history 12 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $203,990 Active 14 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $203,990 Active 13 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $203,990 Active 12 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $203,990 Active 11 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $203,990 Active 9 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $203,990 Active 8 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $203,990 Active 6 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $203,990 Active 5 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $203,990 Active 4 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $203,990 Active 3 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    remarks 664-char remark
12. 2026-06-05
    listed $203,990 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,153
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,427
• − Property taxes: −$3,060
• − Insurance: −$1,020
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,772
• − Management: −$1,772
• − Depreciation: −$5,934
• Taxable loss: −$2,832
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$680
• After-tax cash flow: $1,264/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This single-story home in the Mossy Head Community is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. The open kitchen and bathrooms, well-maintained exterior, and good landscaping make it a move-in-ready property with high resale and rental potential.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making the home more attractive to potential buyers and renters.
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhancing the landscaping can improve the curb appeal and add value to the property.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making the home more attractive to potential buyers and renters. ↑
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhancing the landscaping can improve the curb appeal and add value to the property. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Walton
• NCES district ID: 1201980
• Math proficiency: 62% ▼ -4.00%
• Reading proficiency: 61% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $46,794
• Composite: 52.03/100
• National rank: #1634
• State rank: #10 of 73 in FL

Livability — DeFuniak Springs

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #694
• US rank: #14475

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Walton County · 70,839 people
• City population: 19,746
• Metro: Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
• Population (ZIP): 19,746
• Household income: $52,199
• Rent vs Own: 25.4% rent · 74.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 356.0

Population outlook (Walton County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 80,014 people
• By 2030: 88,120 · +10.1%
• By 2040: 103,537 · +29.4%
• By 2050: 117,034 · +46.3%
• By 2075: 143,901 · +79.8%
• By 2100: 155,138 · +93.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (75%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 75% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 5%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Walton

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+57.8) · D 20.7% · R 78.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -12.0pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -57.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+57.8 2020: R+51.7 2016: R+56.1 2012: R+52.0 2008: R+45.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 14.77%
• Current HPI: 367.046
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-04 Listed $203,990 ECAR