112 Rotary Ln · Thomasville, NC
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.47%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 20.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.9/15.0
- Cash flow +11.4/30.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Investor Special! Property has New appliances, New Granite, New Paint & Flooring. Schedule to preview!
Key facts
- Large deck
- Quiet setting
- Single story
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed by eXp Realty
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electric water heater
- Home design: Residential stick/site-built house; One story
- Construction: Built in 2001; Vinyl siding exterior; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Public maintained road access; Public water
Interior
- Kitchen: Pantry (kitchen storage)
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on the main level (dimensions vary)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Pantry; Primary bedroom on the main level
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer connection; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-60 ($-723/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (6.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (25.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $130k (25.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.1% in Thomasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#16 in NC, #1,454 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, employment F.
- Davidson County Schools (rural): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #62 of 178 in NC (top 35%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 307 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 990 units permitted in Davidson County in 2024 (54 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Davidson County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($159k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $147k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.48%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $209,272
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Rotary Cir | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,105 (+7%) | 16mo | $214,000 | $194 | 62 |
| 103 Lakeshore Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (+8%) | 10mo | $255,000 | $228 | 59 |
| 105 Lakeshore Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (+8%) | 11mo | $265,000 | $237 | 59 |
| 10 Rotary Cir | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,169 (+13%) | 12mo | $236,000 | $202 | 59 |
| 506 Roosevelt Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (+0%) | 23mo | $212,500 | $204 | 52 |
| 912 Alice Dr | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,066 (+3%) | 8mo | $190,000 | $178 | 51 |
| 916 Liberty Dr | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (+10%) | 5mo | $100,000 | $87 | 49 |
| 4348 Valley View Rd | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,170 (+13%) | 8mo | $250,000 | $214 | 43 |
| 909 Liberty Dr | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,188 (+15%) | 24mo | $180,000 | $152 | 32 |
| 808 Georgia Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,096 (+6%) | 23mo | $175,000 | $160 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.34% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-30,452
- Equity at exit
- $26,078
- IRR
- -7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-24,174
- Equity at exit
- $15,122
Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27360
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 307
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,302 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$917
- Tax from tax record
- −$99 /mo · $1,184/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $-60
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,725
- Closing costs
- $5,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 Arthur Dr Unit I Thomasville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $895 | $1.02 | 19d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 309 Woodlawn St Thomasville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1340 | $1,650 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 14 W Sunrise Ave Apt 14 Thomasville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 915 | $925 | $1.01 | 23d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 106 Spruce St Thomasville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1131 | $1,450 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 406 Fisher Ferry St Thomasville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,450 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $174,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $174,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-16pricedays on market $174,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $180,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $180,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $180,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $180,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $180,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $180,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $180,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $180,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $180,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $180,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $180,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $180,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $180,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-04-27price $184,900
-
2026-04-17status Active
-
2026-04-07historical Due Diligence Period
-
2026-03-30price $187,500
-
2026-02-26$190,000 Active
-
2023-03-10soldstatus $147,000 Closed 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
Great Investor Special! Property has New appliances, New Granite, New Paint & Flooring. Schedule to preview!
-
2023-03-10soldstatus $147,000
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
Great Investor Special! Property has New appliances, New Granite, New Paint & Flooring. Schedule to preview!
-
2023-02-02status Pending Accepting Backup Offers 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
Great Investor Special! Property has New appliances, New Granite, New Paint & Flooring. Schedule to preview!
-
2022-11-18status Active 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
Great Investor Special! Property has New appliances, New Granite, New Paint & Flooring. Schedule to preview!
-
2022-11-08status Pending 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
Great Investor Special! Property has New appliances, New Granite, New Paint & Flooring. Schedule to preview!
-
2022-09-07$150,000 Active 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
Great Investor Special! Property has New appliances, New Granite, New Paint & Flooring. Schedule to preview!
-
2021-06-30soldstatus $146,000
-
2021-04-07soldstatus $86,500
-
1999-01-01soldstatus $13,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,184 · $99/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,434 · $120/mo
- Expected delta
- +$250/yr (+$21/mo · 21.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 47% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,623
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,797
- − Property taxes
- −$1,184
- − Insurance
- −$874
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,250
- − Management
- −$1,250
- − Depreciation
- −$5,088
- Taxable loss
- −$3,820
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$917
- After-tax cash flow
- $194/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Davidson County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3701140
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,696
- Composite
- 42.76/100
- National rank
- #3157
- State rank
- #62 of 178 in NC
Livability — Thomasville
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #1454
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Thomasville, NC
- County
- Davidson County · 129,088 people
- City population
- 49,510
- Metro
- Winston-Salem, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,510
- Household income
- $61,983
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1052.0
Population outlook (Davidson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 167,156 people
- By 2030
- 167,216 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 164,524 · -1.6%
- By 2050
- 157,229 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 138,084 · -17.4%
- By 2100
- 112,729 · -32.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 11% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Davidson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.1) · D 25.9% · R 73.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -47.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.1 2020: R+47.5 2016: R+49.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+33.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -146.33%
- Current HPI
- 243.0953
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.34%
- Metro
- Winston-Salem, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
||
Price history
+1322.3% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $184,900 Triad MLS
- 2026-04-17 Relisted — Triad MLS
- 2026-04-07 Contingent — Triad MLS
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $187,500 Triad MLS
- 2026-02-26 Listed $190,000 Triad MLS
- 2023-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $147,000 Public Records
- 2023-03-10 Sold (MLS) $147,000 Triad MLS
- 2023-02-02 Pending — Triad MLS
- 2022-11-18 Relisted — Triad MLS
- 2022-11-08 Pending — Triad MLS
- 2022-09-07 Listed $150,000 Triad MLS
- 2021-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $146,000 Public Records
- 2021-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $86,500 Public Records
- 1999-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,184 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…