Triplex
75 Concord St · New Haven, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 53.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.0/30.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- ARV discount +2.5/15.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$549,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Nice three family completely updated, a must see. Great owner occupied or investor property.
Key facts
- 5,662 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1928
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Two-car garage
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Natural gas service
- Home design: Multi-family (3-family); Listed as Multi-Family For Sale
- Construction: Frame construction; Asbestos exterior siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Concrete and stone foundation; Built prior to or by public record living area of 3016 sq ft
- Exterior features: Deck; Level lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Six bedrooms across the three units
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Steam heating; Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Full basement; Total of 14 rooms; Three full bathrooms; Six bedrooms total; Three-unit multi-family property
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in each unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $549k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $359/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $549k).
- Recommended offer: $533k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.9% in New Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#31 in CT, #2,190 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Hamden School District (suburban): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #106 of 153 in CT (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hamden High School (math 21% / reading 44%, grade F, #125 of 194 statewide, top 66%, 1,672 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 105 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,473/mo this rent would consume 87% of the median local household income ($89k/yr) (locally 1228% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $154k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($533k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $267k; list at $549k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 53% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.40%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $494,152
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75 Concord St | 0.00mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 3,016 (-7%) | 1mo | $549,000 | $182 | 82 |
| 34 Bradley Ave | 0.32mi | 5/3.0 | 3,283 (+1%) | 15mo | $475,000 | $145 | 71 |
| 52 Collins St | 0.20mi | 5/3.0 | 3,271 (+1%) | 22mo | $400,000 | $122 | 71 |
| 42 Collins St | 0.21mi | 5/3.0 | 3,035 (-7%) | 12mo | $460,000 | $152 | 69 |
| 78 Church St | 0.03mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,853 (-12%) | 10mo | $440,000 | $154 | 64 |
| 19 Collins St | 0.20mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 3,143 (-3%) | 20mo | $540,000 | $172 | 63 |
| 1492 Dixwell Ave | 0.17mi | 6/4.0 (+1) | 2,960 (-9%) | 8mo | $580,000 | $196 | 61 |
| 116 Helen St | 0.45mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 3,426 (+5%) | 9mo | $457,000 | $133 | 57 |
| 203 Helen St | 0.48mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 3,038 (-7%) | 11mo | $550,000 | $181 | 53 |
| 106 Helen St | 0.45mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 3,103 (-5%) | 19mo | $420,000 | $135 | 46 |
| 16-18 3rd St | 0.65mi | 5/3.0 | 3,116 (-4%) | 20mo | $450,000 | $144 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-9,541
- Equity at exit
- $81,858
- IRR
- 9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $126,105
- Equity at exit
- $47,467
Cash invested: $153,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06514
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 105
- Price-to-rent
- 21.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,473 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,879
- Tax from tax record
- −$930 /mo · $11,161/yr
- Insurance
- −$229
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,359
- Net cashflow
- $1,076
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,387 | -5% $1,231 | +0% $1,076 | +5% $920 | +10% $765 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $564 | -5% $820 | +0% $1,076 | +5% $1,332 | +10% $1,587 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,352 | -0.5pp $1,215 | base $1,076 | +0.5pp $934 | +1.0pp $789 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $6,474 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $2,158 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $2,158 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $2,158 |
| Total (3 units) | $6,473 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $137,250
- Closing costs
- $16,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1546 Whitney Ave Hamden, CT | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2491 | $3,400 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 106 Butler St New Haven, CT | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3045 | $2,600 | $0.85 | 15d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-04-29status Under Contract
-
2026-04-05historical Under Contract - Continue to Show
-
2026-03-26$549,000 Active
-
2026-03-24historical $549,000
-
2009-11-16soldstatus $267,000
-
2009-11-13soldstatus $267,000 92-char remark
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Nice three family completely updated, a must see. Great owner occupied or investor property.
-
2009-08-20historical
-
2009-06-15$289,000 92-char remark
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
Nice three family completely updated, a must see. Great owner occupied or investor property.
-
2009-04-20$289,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $11,161 · $930/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,455 · $955/mo
- Expected delta
- +$294/yr (+$24/mo · 2.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 53% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $77,676
- − Mortgage interest
- −$30,753
- − Property taxes
- −$11,161
- − Insurance
- −$2,745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,214
- − Management
- −$6,214
- − Depreciation
- −$15,971
- Taxable income
- $4,618
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,108
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,801/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hamden School District
- NCES district ID
- 0901860
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,821
- Composite
- 33.34/100
- National rank
- #5490
- State rank
- #106 of 153 in CT
Livability — New Haven
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #2190
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- New Haven County · 688,236 people
- City population
- 132,813
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,803
- Household income
- $88,900
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1228.0
Population outlook (South Central Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 608,362
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% German 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 10% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · South Central Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.0% · R 38.9% · Other 2.1%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -222.59%
- Current HPI
- 251.556
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.61%
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
|
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Price history
+90.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-04-05 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2026-03-26 Listed $549,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-03-24 Coming Soon $549,000 Smart MLS
- 2009-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $267,000 Public Records
- 2009-11-13 Sold (MLS) $267,000 Smart MLS
- 2009-08-20 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2009-06-15 Listed $289,000 Smart MLS
- 2009-04-20 Listed $289,000 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2023): $11,161 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…