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1901 Kris Dr
B Composite 74.85
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$94,760

1901 Kris Dr · Ozark, AR 72949
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,552 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 84 Days on market
Built 1981 9,204 sqft lot $61/sqft · 42% below area Est $162k · 42% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This home offers a great value close to schools, shopping and only minutes from downtown. This 4 bed 2 bath 1552 sft home (sft per tax records) features central heating and air, chain link fencing, and a two story concrete floored workshop complete with power. The lot has access from two streets for convienence coming and going and is ready for it's nerw owner. Call for your private showing today! Case Number: 031-584684 “HUD homes are Sold As Is” www. olympusams-at.com www. HudHomeStore. gov

Key facts

  • 9,204 sq ft lot
  • Built 1981
  • Listed 84 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $417 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 3.1% in Ozark — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#258 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Ozark School District (town): math 41% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #80 of 238 in AR (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 23 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $655 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Franklin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $89,074 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
11.57%
Cash-on-cash
18.86%
DSCR
1.84
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$162,261
List price
$94,760
Delta
-41.60%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2021 Jeffers Dr 0.21mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,541 (-1%) 23mo $171,100 $111 63
1703 Walden Dr 0.49mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,476 (-5%) 3mo $210,000 $142 59
1117 18th St 0.08mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,330 (-14%) 12mo $52,500 $39 55
310 26th St 0.65mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,505 (-3%) 8mo $209,000 $139 50
406 24th St 0.53mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,652 (+6%) 18mo $245,000 $148 42
1612 School St 0.70mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,526 (-2%) 21mo $104,500 $68 42
413 N 28th St 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,496 (-4%) 16mo $245,000 $164 41
1560 Airport Rd 0.40mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,680 (+8%) 24mo $205,000 $122 37
1701 W Gibson St 0.64mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,705 (+10%) 15mo $148,000 $87 34
214 N 25th St 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,737 (+12%) 22mo $289,900 $167 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
1.42×
Total profit
$11,195
Equity at exit
$14,129
10-year hold
IRR
19.7%
Equity multiple
2.65×
Total profit
$43,899
Equity at exit
$8,193

Cash invested: $26,533 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72949

Home prices YoY
-14.4%
Active inventory
81
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,289 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$497
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $778/yr
Insurance
$39
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$271
Net cashflow
$417

Break-even live

Break-even rent $761
Max offer price $94,760
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,690
Closing costs
$2,843
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    status $94,760 Pending 84 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $94,760 Active 84 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $94,760 Active 83 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $94,760 Active 82 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $94,760 Active 81 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $94,760 Active 79 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $94,760 Active 76 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,760 Active 75 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,760 Active 74 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,760 Active 73 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $94,760 Active 70 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $94,760 Active 69 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,760 Active 68 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,760 Active 67 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,760 Active 66 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,760 Active 65 DOM
  17. 2026-05-12
    price $94,760 510-char remark
    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    This home offers a great value close to schools, shopping and only minutes from downtown. This 4 bed 2 bath 1552 sft home (sft per tax records) features central heating and air, chain link fencing, and a two story concrete floored workshop complete with power. The lot has access from two streets for convienence coming and going and is ready for it's nerw owner. Call for your private showing today! Case Number: 031-584684 “HUD homes are Sold As Is” www. olympusams-at.com www. HudHomeStore. gov

  18. 2026-03-26
    listed $103,000 Active 510-char remark
    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    This home offers a great value close to schools, shopping and only minutes from downtown. This 4 bed 2 bath 1552 sft home (sft per tax records) features central heating and air, chain link fencing, and a two story concrete floored workshop complete with power. The lot has access from two streets for convienence coming and going and is ready for it's nerw owner. Call for your private showing today! Case Number: 031-584684 “HUD homes are Sold As Is” www. olympusams-at.com www. HudHomeStore. gov

  19. 2023-08-09
    soldstatus $135,000
  20. 2023-08-06
    soldstatus 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    Home is located close to Walmart and Arkansas Tech University and minutes from downtown. It features a new roof, new heating and air system. There is a two story workshop with power in back yard on concrete pad. Lot has ingress and egress on two streets. Currently renters living there so 24 hour notice is required for showing. To schedule appointment please call listing agent Ray Lawless @ 479-209-6125 or office @ 479-667-2159.

  21. 2023-01-03
    listed $140,000 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    Home is located close to Walmart and Arkansas Tech University and minutes from downtown. It features a new roof, new heating and air system. There is a two story workshop with power in back yard on concrete pad. Lot has ingress and egress on two streets. Currently renters living there so 24 hour notice is required for showing. To schedule appointment please call listing agent Ray Lawless @ 479-209-6125 or office @ 479-667-2159.

  22. 1999-04-21
    soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$778 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$778 · $65/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,468
− Mortgage interest
−$5,308
− Property taxes
−$778
− Insurance
−$474
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,237
− Management
−$1,237
− Depreciation
−$2,757
Taxable income
$3,677
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$882
After-tax cash flow
$4,123/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ozark School District
NCES district ID
0511010
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$33,306
Composite
32.5/100
National rank
#5703
State rank
#80 of 238 in AR

Livability — Ozark

Score
60/100
State rank
#258
US rank
#18601

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ozark, AR
Population (ZIP)
9,474

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
16,946 people
By 2030
16,403 · -3.2%
By 2040
15,303 · -9.7%
By 2050
14,243 · -16.0%
By 2075
12,136 · -28.4%
By 2100
10,443 · -38.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.4) · D 17.7% · R 80.1% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-23.1pp toward R · 2008: -39.3pp · 2024: -62.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.4 2020: R+61.4 2016: R+54.6 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+39.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -30.41%
Current HPI
180.3194
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+89.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $94,760 NWARMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $103,000 NWARMLS
  • 2023-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
  • 2023-08-06 Sold (MLS) CARMLS
  • 2023-01-03 Listed $140,000 CARMLS
  • 1999-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $778 · +180.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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