172 Coneflower Rd · Savannah, GA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.0/30.0
- ARV discount +8.5/15.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Rent growth +1.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover low-maintenance living in the desirable Pines at New Hampstead! This furnished 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhome offers modern style and everyday comfort. The open-concept main level features durable LVP flooring, a spacious kitchen with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and plenty of cabinet space. Upstairs, all bedrooms provide privacy, including the owner’s suite with a walk-in closet and private ensuite bath. For added convenience, the washer and dryer are included, along with all existing furniture, allowing for a truly turnkey opportunity.
Key facts
- $300 HOA
- Garage
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $250k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-60 ($-725/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $239k (4.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $242k (3.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $235k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.1% in Savannah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#1 in GA, #397 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: employment D, schools F.
- Savannah-Chatham County (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #134 of 174 in GA (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.5%/yr); 341 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 63d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,694 units permitted in Chatham County in 2024 (973 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chatham County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.04%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $255,930
- List price
- $250,000
- Delta
- -2.32%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 184 Coneflower Rd | 0.01mi | 3/2.5 | 1,418 (0%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $180 | 99 |
| 435 Salvia Rd | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 | 1,418 (0%) | 1mo | $182,750 | $129 | 96 |
| 203 Coneflower Rd | 0.04mi | 3/2.5 | 1,418 (0%) | 5mo | $250,000 | $176 | 94 |
| 1061 Bergamot Rd | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,475 (+4%) | 0mo | $319,250 | $216 | 86 |
| 1050 Bergamot Rd | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,475 (+4%) | 0mo | $334,900 | $227 | 85 |
| 113 Pipit Cir | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-5%) | 8mo | $285,000 | $212 | 57 |
| 14 Canvasback Dr | 0.96mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,440 (+2%) | 4mo | $225,000 | $156 | 54 |
| 142 Stone Crab Cir | 1.28mi | 3/2.5 | 1,682 (+19%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $152 | 40 |
| 160 Stone Crab Cir | 1.44mi | 3/2.5 | 1,682 (+19%) | 5mo | $279,838 | $166 | 36 |
| 664 Old River Rd | 1.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,669 (+18%) | 2mo | $600,000 | $359 | 35 |
| 5 Teal Ct | 1.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,718 (+21%) | 4mo | $245,000 | $143 | 34 |
| 156 Stone Crab Cir | 1.39mi | 3/2.5 | 1,682 (+19%) | 9mo | $285,000 | $169 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-51,264
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- -27.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.09×
- Total profit
- $-76,242
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 13 active · 4 under contract
- Months of supply
- 26.0 mo (4%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $268,990 ($190/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 10 d
- This list price
- 8% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -4.9% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 31302
- Home prices YoY
- -18.5%
- Rents YoY
- -5.5%
- Active inventory
- 341
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,420 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$257 /mo · $3,082/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$300
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$508
- Net cashflow
- $-60
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $81 | -5% $10 | +0% $-60 | +5% $-131 | +10% $-202 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-252 | -5% $-156 | +0% $-60 | +5% $35 | +10% $131 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $65 | -0.5pp $3 | base $-60 | +0.5pp $-125 | +1.0pp $-191 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214 Coneflower Rd Bloomingdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1418 | $2,300 | $1.62 | 93d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 404 Turpentine Trl Bloomingdale, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1775 | $2,350 | $1.32 | 63d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 480 John Carter Rd Bloomingdale, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1002 | $2,331 | $2.33 | 63d | 20 | 1.11mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Road surfaces: asphalt and concrete
- HOA & community
- Homeowners associationMonthly association fee $100 (derived)Additional association fee listed at $200 monthlyCommunity amenities: pool, fitness center, playground
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached garage with garage door opener (1 car)
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerCable availableUnderground utilities
- Home design
- TownhouseAttached property with 2+ common walls2 stories
- Construction
- Vinyl sidingAsphalt and tar/gravel roofConcrete perimeter foundation and slabBuilt with green energy efficient windows
- Exterior features
- Front porchPorchCommunity poolView of lagoon and pondStreet lightsSidewalks
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherMicrowaveOvenRangeDisposalRefrigeratorPantry
- Bedrooms
- Bedrooms located above main level
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (electric)Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features
- Ceiling fansDouble vanityPantryDouble-pane windowsAccessible full bath
- Laundry & utility
- Washer hookupDryerWasherUpper-level laundryElectric water heater
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $250,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $250,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $250,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $250,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $250,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $250,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $250,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $250,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $250,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $250,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $250,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $250,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $250,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $250,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $250,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $250,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $250,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $250,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $250,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $250,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $250,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $250,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $250,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $250,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $250,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $250,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $250,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $250,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $250,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $250,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $250,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $250,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $250,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $250,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $250,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $250,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $250,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $250,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $250,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $250,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $250,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $250,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $250,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $250,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $250,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $250,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $250,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $250,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $250,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $250,000 Active 14 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,082 · $257/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,082 · $257/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,036
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$3,082
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,323
- − Management
- −$2,323
- − HOA
- −$3,600
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$4,818
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,156
- After-tax cash flow
- $431/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This move-in-ready townhome offers modern style and everyday comfort with a good condition score and minimal maintenance needs.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace garage doors — Improves curb appeal and functionality ↑
- Both Install smart home features — Enhances convenience and marketability ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Savannah-Chatham County
- NCES district ID
- 1301020
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,443
- Composite
- 20.14/100
- National rank
- #8639
- State rank
- #134 of 174 in GA
Livability — Savannah
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #397
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Savannah, GA
- County
- Effingham County · 332,584 people
- City population
- 216,564
- Metro
- Savannah, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,899
- Household income
- $68,998
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8% of renters
Population outlook (Chatham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 332,584 people
- By 2030
- 355,508 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 400,030 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 443,019 · +33.2%
- By 2075
- 534,579 · +60.7%
- By 2100
- 583,863 · +75.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 8% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chatham
- 2024 margin
- D (+18.0) · D 58.6% · R 40.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.6pp toward D · 2008: 14.4pp · 2024: 18.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+18.0 2020: D+18.8 2016: D+14.5 2012: D+12.0 2008: D+14.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.89%
- Current HPI
- 293.9427
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -5.51%
- Metro
- Savannah, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-4.9% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $250,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-05-05 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $250,000 GAMLS
- 2025-12-16 Listed $267,990 GAMLS
- 2025-10-08 Rental Removed $2,000 SMLC
- 2025-09-11 Price Changed $2,000 SMLC
- 2025-08-12 Price Changed $2,500 SMLC
- 2025-07-14 Listed for Rent $3,000 SMLC
- 2025-02-17 Rental Removed $2,500 SMLC
- 2025-01-10 Listed for Rent $2,500 SMLC
- 2023-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $267,990 Public Records
- 2023-08-31 Sold (MLS) $267,990 Hive MLS
- 2023-06-05 Listed $262,990 Hive MLS
- 2023-06-05 Listed $262,990 Hive MLS
Property tax history
-44.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,082 · -44.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…