CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
200 15th Ct NW
B- Composite 69.48
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.4/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$87,500

200 15th Ct NW · Center Point, AL 35215
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,014 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1957 0.44 ac lot Est $91k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Another great one in Center Point offering a well-manicured, mature, and fenced lawn with irrigation system! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath, and move in ready home has smooth ceilings and wood flooring throughout. Living room flooring is newer. The kitchen offers plenty of cabinets, tiled back splash, a vented hood, and dishwasher. * HVAC 2012, Furnace Heater 2007, Roof 2005. Septic has two tanks. 1 for the bath and 1 for the kitchen. Septic cleaned 2020. Home has solid wood exterior doors and storm/security doors with 3 point locks and a Security system. All this and home is convenient to shopping, dining, and all Center Point Pkwy has to offer!

Key facts

  • 0.44 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1957

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property in Reese King subdivision; Approximately 0.44 acre lot; Not in a flood plain
  • Financial info: Fire fee charged yearly

Exterior

  • Parking: Front garage entry; Basement parking; Driveway parking; Total of 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Gas water heater; Internet availability unknown
  • Home design: Existing home; Basement foundation; Shingle exterior construction
  • Construction: Shingle construction; Basement foundation (concrete block)
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Open patio

Interior

  • Kitchen: Laminate countertops; Electric stove
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood laminate; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom with tub/shower combo (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Smooth ceilings; Unfinished basement (concrete block foundation); Main living area reported as 1,014; Unfinished basement area about 700
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room on main level; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $88k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $393 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $88k).
  • Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 7.3% in Center Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#193 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, commute A, housing A; Watch: crime D, amenities F, employment F.
  • Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Center Point Elementary School (618 students, 82% FRL); Center Point High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 774 students, 91% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 49% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 2% at this address vs 20% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Jefferson County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 334 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $605 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
11.69%
Cash-on-cash
19.27%
DSCR
1.86
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$91,260
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1640 1st St NE 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,090 (+8%) 4mo $105,000 $96 62
1628 1st St NW 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,124 (+11%) 7mo $79,900 $71 57
232 Navajo Trl 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,000 (-1%) 8mo $116,500 $117 56
341 Argonne Dr NE 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,040 (+3%) 3mo $94,000 $90 55
424 13th Ct NW 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,118 (+10%) 1mo $92,500 $83 54
1317 5th Pl NW 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,086 (+7%) 1mo $92,500 $85 54
409 13th Ct NW 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,118 (+10%) 6mo $98,672 $88 52
1720 2nd St NE 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,099 (+8%) 4mo $65,000 $59 51
1640 4th Way NW 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,144 (+13%) 4mo $149,900 $131 48
417 NW 18th Ct 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 972 (-4%) 8mo $100,000 $103 46
112 19th Ave NW 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,142 (+13%) 2mo $108,500 $95 43
308 13th Ave NW 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,144 (+13%) 7mo $87,500 $76 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.3%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$10,946
Equity at exit
$13,047
10-year hold
IRR
20.3%
Equity multiple
2.72×
Total profit
$42,071
Equity at exit
$7,565

Cash invested: $24,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35215

Home prices YoY
-34.4%
Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
334
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,258 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$459
Tax from tax record
$105 /mo · $1,257/yr
Insurance
$36
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$264
Net cashflow
$393

Break-even live

Break-even rent $760
Max offer price $87,500
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,875
Closing costs
$2,625
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1617 3rd Pl NW Center Point, AL 3.0 2.0 1404 $1,150 $0.82 23d 1 0.28mi
1541 Charter East Cir NE Birmingham, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 807 $1,095 $1.36 2d 8 0.29mi
1628 1st St NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1124 $1,150 $1.02 43d 1 0.35mi
434 15th Ter NW Center Point, AL 3.0 2.0 1053 $1,200 $1.14 43d 1 0.35mi
1629 1st St NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,025 $1.14 23d 1 0.36mi
324 13th Ter NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.5 1418 $1,295 $0.91 23d 1 0.40mi
1628 1st St NE Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1027 $1,165 $1.13 43d 1 0.40mi
108 13th Ave NW Center Point, AL 4.0 2.0 1444 $1,265 $0.88 23d 1 0.43mi
405 13th Ct NW Center Point, AL 4.0 1.5 1248 $1,415 $1.13 21d 1 0.46mi
1237 Linwood St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1066 $995 $0.93 43d 1 0.52mi
500 15th Ave NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1079 $1,050 $0.97 3d 1 0.52mi
1700 4th Pl NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 914 $1,075 $1.18 23d 1 0.54mi
405 18th Ave NW Center Point, AL 3.0 2.0 1162 $1,299 $1.12 43d 1 0.56mi
1712 4th Pl NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1182 $1,150 $0.97 23d 1 0.56mi
1612 Glenwood St NW Center Point, AL 4.0 3.0 1344 $1,480 $1.10 23d 1 0.56mi
1356 5th Pl NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,105 $1.04 43d 1 0.56mi
1333 5th Pl NW Center Point, AL 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,275 $1.21 43d 1 0.57mi
239 Lake Drive Cir NE Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1159 $1,125 $0.97 3d 1 0.58mi
1225 Birchwood St Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1092 $1,175 $1.08 3d 1 0.58mi
241 Lake Drive Cir NE Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 1358 $1,025 $0.75 2d 1 0.59mi
400 13th Ave NW Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 1100 $890 $0.81 43d 1 0.61mi
1328 5th Pl NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,050 $0.84 16d 1 0.61mi
1232 Oakwood St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1301 $1,223 $0.94 23d 1 0.61mi
224 13th Ave NE Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1213 $1,273 $1.05 21d 1 0.61mi
1305 5th Pl NW Center Point, AL 3.0 2.0 1092 $1,200 $1.10 43d 1 0.62mi
305 18th Ct NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.5 1270 $1,100 $0.87 43d 1 0.62mi
213 Meadwood Dr NE Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1194 $995 $0.83 43d 1 0.63mi
1301 5th Pl NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1170 $1,100 $0.94 3d 1 0.64mi
1153 Linwood St Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,295 $1.04 3d 1 0.64mi
1720 2nd St NE Center Point, AL 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 43d 1 0.65mi
113 19th Ave NW Center Point, AL 3.0 2.0 1407 $1,250 $0.89 11d 1 0.70mi
621 15th Ave NW Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1070 $1,200 $1.12 16d 1 0.74mi
1905 2nd St NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1258 $1,395 $1.11 43d 1 0.74mi
120 Shawnee Ln NW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,075 $0.96 43d 1 0.75mi
341 Argonne Dr NE Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,300 $1.25 3d 1 0.76mi
107 Sterling Ct NW Center Point, AL 2.0 1.5–2.0 1026 $1,062 $1.04 3d 4 0.79mi
1732 6th St NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,250 $0.96 3d 1 0.80mi
433 Orchid Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1162 $1,255 $1.08 16d 1 0.92mi
1340 Orlando Cir NE Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1329 $1,166 $0.88 23d 1 0.95mi
424 Tupelo Way Center Point, AL 4.0 2.0 1233 $1,300 $1.05 43d 1 1.00mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 532-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $87,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,257 · $105/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,257 · $105/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,092
− Mortgage interest
−$4,901
− Property taxes
−$1,257
− Insurance
−$438
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,207
− Management
−$1,207
− Depreciation
−$2,545
Taxable income
$3,535
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$848
After-tax cash flow
$3,873/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
0101920
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,712
Composite
18.4/100
National rank
#8937
State rank
#104 of 129 in AL

Livability — Center Point

Score
63/100
State rank
#193
US rank
#15671

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Center Point, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
43,903
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
43,903
Household income
$52,793
Rent vs Own
43.4% rent · 56.6% own
Severe rent burden
1729.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (75%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 75% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -112.97%
Current HPI
215.0607
Rent YoY
▲ 3.04%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+230.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $87,500 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2022-05-06 Sold (MLS) $113,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2022-04-19 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2022-04-14 Listed $119,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 1976-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $26,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,257 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…