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207 Pioneer Way
D+ Composite 45.44
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.9/30.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$115,000

207 Pioneer Way · Burns Flat, OK 73647
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,386 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 456 Days on market
Built 1958 8,512 sqft lot Est $85k · 36% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

2 Duplexes for sale in Burns Flat, OK. Each side has 3 bedrooms and 2 baths. Fenced yards and attached garages make this income producing property a great investment. Thinking of house hacking, this would be the perfect property. Nice sized living rooms and bedrooms with little work needed. Central heat and air, one side has original hard work floors. Side A is move in ready! Corner Lot! Burns Flat, Oklahoma has many exciting things coming; get ahead of everyone. Call to see today!

Key facts

  • Fenced yards
  • Attached garages
  • Corner lot

Tags

FENCED YARDSATTACHED GARAGESCORNER LOT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Cash or conventional financing accepted; Loan qualification allowed; Not assumable
  • HOA & community: No mandatory association dues

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete driveway; 1-car garage
  • Home design: Residential half duplex; Single-story; Existing property; Located in the Indian Trails addition; Homestead eligible
  • Construction: Brick and frame construction; Composition roof; Combination foundation; Built previously (existing)
  • Exterior features: Open patio; Porch; Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range/oven
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: One living area; No fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $118 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#122 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Burns Flat-Dill City (rural): math 15% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #183 of 270 in OK (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Will Rogers Es (math 13% / reading 19%, grade F, #582 of 845 statewide, top 69%, 366 students, 0% FRL); Burns Flat-Dill City Hs (math 24% / reading 44%, grade F, #48 of 447 statewide, top 14%, 127 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 65% district-wide (65 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Washita County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
  • Washita County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 456 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $115k implies a 522% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $101,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 456 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
7.52%
Cash-on-cash
4.39%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$84,546
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
308 Cherokee Trl 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,235 (-11%) 21mo $75,000 $61 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.26% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.7%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$11,127
Equity at exit
$40,817
10-year hold
IRR
10.6%
Equity multiple
2.33×
Total profit
$42,830
Equity at exit
$55,468

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73647

Home prices YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
14
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,155 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax est. 1.5%
$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$243
Net cashflow
$118

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,006
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Active 456 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 455 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 454 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 453 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,000 Active 451 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $115,000 Active 450 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 447 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 446 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 445 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $115,000 Active 443 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $115,000 Active 441 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 440 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 439 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 438 DOM
  15. 2026-04-06
    status Active
  16. 2026-04-06
    price $115,000
  17. 2026-03-31
    historical
  18. 2025-12-01
    price $130,000
  19. 2025-09-17
    price $135,000
  20. 2025-03-14
    listed $140,000 Active
  21. 2009-07-08
    soldstatus $18,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,860
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$1,725
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,109
− Management
−$1,109
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable loss
−$445
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$107
After-tax cash flow
$1,519/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Burns Flat-Dill City
NCES district ID
4000014
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$45,907
Composite
16.25/100
National rank
#9221
State rank
#183 of 270 in OK

Livability — Burns Flat

Score
66/100
State rank
#122
US rank
#12117

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Burns Flat, OK
City population
1,968
Population (ZIP)
691

Population outlook (Washita County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
12,143 people
By 2030
12,276 · +1.1%
By 2040
12,522 · +3.1%
By 2050
12,740 · +4.9%
By 2075
13,198 · +8.7%
By 2100
13,189 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Serbian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washita

2024 margin
Solid R (+74.8) · D 11.8% · R 86.6% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: -55.9pp · 2024: -74.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+74.8 2020: R+73.0 2016: R+70.5 2012: R+61.8 2008: R+55.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.26%
Current HPI
168.3314
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+521.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-06 Relisted MLSOK
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $115,000 MLSOK
  • 2026-03-31 Listing Removed MLSOK
  • 2025-12-01 Price Changed $130,000 MLSOK
  • 2025-09-17 Price Changed $135,000 MLSOK
  • 2025-03-14 Listed $140,000 MLSOK
  • 2009-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $227 · +7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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