514 W Tom Stafford St · Weatherford, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.0/30.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Introducing a cozy 2-bed, 1-bath home in Weatherford, OK, nestled in a serene alley setting. Spanning 789 sq ft, this charming property boasts inviting wood floors and a stylish tile kitchen floor. Enjoy the convenience of washer/dryer hookups and relax on the stained and sealed front and back porches overlooking a private backyard retreat. Perfect for those seeking privacy without sacrificing convenience, this home offers a peaceful haven in a central location close to amenities. Don't miss out on the opportunity to make this your own slice of tranquility in Weatherford!
Key facts
- Laundry room
- Carport
- Cute white kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Homestead exemption claimed
- Financial info: Loan qualification available; Not assumable
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Home design: Single family residence; One-level property; Residential property; Existing property
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Conventional foundation
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Interior lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating
- Interior features: No fireplace; No in-law plan
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-25 ($-305/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $101k (4.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $84k (20.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $84k (20.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.2% in Weatherford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#44 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Weatherford (town): math 28% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #83 of 270 in OK (top 31%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Burcham Es (534 students, 0% FRL); Weatherford Ms (math 24% / reading 23%, grade F, #113 of 345 statewide, top 34%, 345 students, 0% FRL); Weatherford Hs (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #48 of 447 statewide, top 14%, 636 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 40% district-wide (40 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 233 active listings in the ZIP; 28 units permitted in Custer County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Custer County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 220 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 220 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.04%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $88,578
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215 N 7th St | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 880 (+10%) | 5mo | $97,500 | $111 | 75 |
| 614 W Franklin St | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-10%) | 6mo | $62,000 | $86 | 73 |
| 615 W Franklin St | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (-9%) | 11mo | $90,000 | $124 | 72 |
| 315 E Huber | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 780 (-2%) | 7mo | $40,000 | $51 | 64 |
| 306 E Franklin Ave | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 802 (+0%) | 18mo | $105,000 | $131 | 60 |
| 508 N Bradley St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 884 (+11%) | 3mo | $90,000 | $102 | 55 |
| 512 N Bradley St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 884 (+11%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $51 | 54 |
| 817 N Indiana St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 748 (-6%) | 21mo | $89,000 | $119 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-18,644
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- -10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-18,365
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73096
- Home prices YoY
- -7.1%
- Active inventory
- 233
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $836 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$92 /mo · $1,098/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$176
- Net cashflow
- $-25
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $34 | -5% $4 | +0% $-25 | +5% $-55 | +10% $-85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-91 | -5% $-58 | +0% $-25 | +5% $8 | +10% $41 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $27 | -0.5pp $1 | base $-25 | +0.5pp $-53 | +1.0pp $-80 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $105,000 Pending 220 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $105,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $105,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $105,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $105,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $105,000
-
2025-12-06price $110,000
-
2025-11-04$115,000 Active
-
2024-07-30soldstatus $100,000
-
2024-07-29soldstatus $100,000 Closed 578-char remark
Show marketing remark (578 chars)
Introducing a cozy 2-bed, 1-bath home in Weatherford, OK, nestled in a serene alley setting. Spanning 789 sq ft, this charming property boasts inviting wood floors and a stylish tile kitchen floor. Enjoy the convenience of washer/dryer hookups and relax on the stained and sealed front and back porches overlooking a private backyard retreat. Perfect for those seeking privacy without sacrificing convenience, this home offers a peaceful haven in a central location close to amenities. Don't miss out on the opportunity to make this your own slice of tranquility in Weatherford!
-
2024-06-25status Pending 578-char remark
Show marketing remark (578 chars)
Introducing a cozy 2-bed, 1-bath home in Weatherford, OK, nestled in a serene alley setting. Spanning 789 sq ft, this charming property boasts inviting wood floors and a stylish tile kitchen floor. Enjoy the convenience of washer/dryer hookups and relax on the stained and sealed front and back porches overlooking a private backyard retreat. Perfect for those seeking privacy without sacrificing convenience, this home offers a peaceful haven in a central location close to amenities. Don't miss out on the opportunity to make this your own slice of tranquility in Weatherford!
-
2024-06-20$105,000 Active 578-char remark
Show marketing remark (578 chars)
Introducing a cozy 2-bed, 1-bath home in Weatherford, OK, nestled in a serene alley setting. Spanning 789 sq ft, this charming property boasts inviting wood floors and a stylish tile kitchen floor. Enjoy the convenience of washer/dryer hookups and relax on the stained and sealed front and back porches overlooking a private backyard retreat. Perfect for those seeking privacy without sacrificing convenience, this home offers a peaceful haven in a central location close to amenities. Don't miss out on the opportunity to make this your own slice of tranquility in Weatherford!
-
2022-08-29soldstatus $80,000 Sold 46-char remark
Show marketing remark (46 chars)
Adorable 2 bed/1 bath house with many updates.
-
2022-08-19historical 46-char remark
Show marketing remark (46 chars)
Adorable 2 bed/1 bath house with many updates.
-
2022-08-18$80,000 46-char remark
Show marketing remark (46 chars)
Adorable 2 bed/1 bath house with many updates.
-
2018-08-24soldstatus $70,000
-
2018-06-05soldstatus $84,500
-
2017-04-10$75,000
-
2015-03-24soldstatus $27,500
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2015-03-18soldstatus $27,500
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2015-03-18$27,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,098 · $92/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,098 · $92/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,033
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,098
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$803
- − Management
- −$803
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable loss
- −$2,132
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$512
- After-tax cash flow
- $207/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Weatherford
- NCES district ID
- 4032070
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,799
- Composite
- 23.33/100
- National rank
- #7916
- State rank
- #83 of 270 in OK
Livability — Weatherford
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #44
- US rank
- #7987
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Weatherford, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,282
Population outlook (Custer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,356 people
- By 2030
- 37,162 · +8.2%
- By 2040
- 43,354 · +26.2%
- By 2050
- 50,458 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 71,075 · +106.9%
- By 2100
- 91,129 · +165.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 12% Native American 5% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Custer
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.2) · D 22.4% · R 75.7% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: -49.3pp · 2024: -53.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.2 2020: R+53.2 2016: R+54.3 2012: R+51.9 2008: R+49.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -17.63%
- Current HPI
- 230.2732
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+281.8% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $105,000 MLSOK
- 2025-12-06 Price Changed $110,000 MLSOK
- 2025-11-04 Listed $115,000 MLSOK
- 2024-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2024-07-29 Sold (MLS) $100,000 MLSOK
- 2024-06-25 Pending — MLSOK
- 2024-06-20 Listed $105,000 MLSOK
- 2022-08-29 Sold (MLS) $80,000 MLSOK
- 2022-08-19 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2022-08-18 Listed $80,000 MLSOK
- 2018-08-24 Sold (MLS) $70,000 MLSOK
- 2018-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $84,500 Public Records
- 2017-04-10 Listed $75,000 MLSOK
- 2015-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $27,500 Public Records
- 2015-03-18 Listed $27,500 MLSOK
- 2015-03-18 Sold (MLS) $27,500 MLSOK
Property tax history
+17.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,098 · +210.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…