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314 Colorado
C- Composite 51.44
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$87,500

314 Colorado · Sugar City, CO 81076
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 374 Days on market
Built 1948 0.26 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Back on the Market and Seller is still going with the PRICE REDUCED!! This is a deal for this well maintained 2 Bedroom home. Wonderful spacious yard for the gardener. The storage shed could easily be converted to a 1 car garage. The Town of Sugar City offers the serenity for quiet and relaxed living.

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Storage shed
  • 0.26 acre lot

Tags

SPACIOUS YARDSTORAGE SHED

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential; Frame and stucco construction
  • Construction: Composition roof; Crawl space / no finished basement
  • Exterior features: Garden; Covered patio/porch; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Space heater; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Master bedroom on the main level; Double pane windows

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $88k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $112 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $80k (8.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $77k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#396 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Crowley County School District No. Re-1-J (rural): math 16% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #150 of 176 in CO (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Crowley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $605 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crowley County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 374 days — a 12% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $21k; list at $88k implies a 317% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $77,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 374 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
7.83%
Cash-on-cash
5.48%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.9%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-7,095
Equity at exit
$13,047
10-year hold
IRR
1.6%
Equity multiple
1.12×
Total profit
$2,832
Equity at exit
$7,565

Cash invested: $24,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 81076

Home prices YoY
-1.8%
Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$800 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$459
Tax from tax record
$24 /mo · $293/yr
Insurance
$36
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$168
Net cashflow
$112

Break-even live

Break-even rent $658
Max offer price $87,500
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $161 -5% $137 +0% $112 +5% $87 +10% $62
Rent -10% $49 -5% $80 +0% $112 +5% $143 +10% $175
Rate -1.0pp $156 -0.5pp $134 base $112 +0.5pp $89 +1.0pp $66

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,875
Closing costs
$2,625
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $87,500 Active 374 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $87,500 Active 373 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $87,500 Active 372 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $87,500 Active 371 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $87,500 Active 370 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $87,500 Active 368 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $87,500 Active 367 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $87,500 Active 364 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $87,500 Active 363 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $87,500 Active 358 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $87,500 Active 357 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $87,500 Active 356 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $87,500 Active 355 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $87,500 Active 354 DOM
  15. 2026-04-17
    status Active
  16. 2026-03-27
    historical Active Under Contract
  17. 2026-01-07
    status Active
  18. 2025-12-10
    status Active
  19. 2025-11-07
    historical Active Under Contract
  20. 2025-08-13
    status Active
  21. 2025-08-04
    historical Active Under Contract
  22. 2025-07-18
    price $87,500
  23. 2025-06-27
    status Active
  24. 2025-06-19
    historical Active Under Contract
  25. 2025-06-06
    listed $94,500 Active
  26. 2003-09-22
    soldstatus $21,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$293 · $24/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$481 · $40/mo
Expected delta
+$188/yr (+$16/mo · 64.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,594
− Mortgage interest
−$4,901
− Property taxes
−$293
− Insurance
−$438
− Repairs & maintenance
−$768
− Management
−$768
− Depreciation
−$2,545
Taxable loss
−$119
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$28
After-tax cash flow
$1,371/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crowley County School District No. Re-1-J
NCES district ID
0803210
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$35,031
Composite
21.28/100
National rank
#13663
State rank
#150 of 176 in CO

Livability — Sugar City

Score
51/100
State rank
#396
US rank
#25381

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sugar City, CO
Population (ZIP)
618

Population outlook (Crowley County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,612 people
By 2030
5,725 · +2.0%
By 2040
6,092 · +8.6%
By 2050
6,391 · +13.9%
By 2075
6,250 · +11.4%
By 2100
5,349 · -4.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 23%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 5% Portuguese 2% Danish 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Crowley

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.4) · D 24.7% · R 72.2% · Other 3.1%
2008→2024 swing
-20.2pp toward R · 2008: -27.2pp · 2024: -47.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.4 2020: R+47.7 2016: R+48.5 2012: R+25.9 2008: R+27.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -3.19%
Current HPI
175.3715
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+316.7% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Relisted PARMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Contingent PARMLS
  • 2026-01-07 Relisted PARMLS
  • 2025-12-10 Relisted PARMLS
  • 2025-11-07 Contingent PARMLS
  • 2025-08-13 Relisted PARMLS
  • 2025-08-04 Contingent PARMLS
  • 2025-07-18 Price Changed $87,500 PARMLS
  • 2025-06-27 Relisted PARMLS
  • 2025-06-19 Contingent PARMLS
  • 2025-06-06 Listed $94,500 PARMLS
  • 2003-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $293 · +222.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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