314 Colorado · Sugar City, CO
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Appreciation +3.4/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$87,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Back on the Market and Seller is still going with the PRICE REDUCED!! This is a deal for this well maintained 2 Bedroom home. Wonderful spacious yard for the gardener. The storage shed could easily be converted to a 1 car garage. The Town of Sugar City offers the serenity for quiet and relaxed living.
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Storage shed
- 0.26 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association amenities
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential; Frame and stucco construction
- Construction: Composition roof; Crawl space / no finished basement
- Exterior features: Garden; Covered patio/porch; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Space heater; No central cooling
- Interior features: Master bedroom on the main level; Double pane windows
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $88k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $112 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $80k (8.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $77k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#396 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
- Crowley County School District No. Re-1-J (rural): math 16% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #150 of 176 in CO (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Crowley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $605 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Crowley County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 374 days — a 12% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $21k; list at $88k implies a 317% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 374 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.48%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-7,095
- Equity at exit
- $13,047
- IRR
- 1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $2,832
- Equity at exit
- $7,565
Cash invested: $24,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 81076
- Home prices YoY
- -1.8%
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $800 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$459
- Tax from tax record
- −$24 /mo · $293/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$168
- Net cashflow
- $112
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $161 | -5% $137 | +0% $112 | +5% $87 | +10% $62 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $49 | -5% $80 | +0% $112 | +5% $143 | +10% $175 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $156 | -0.5pp $134 | base $112 | +0.5pp $89 | +1.0pp $66 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,875
- Closing costs
- $2,625
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
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2026-06-19days on market $87,500 Active 374 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $87,500 Active 373 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $87,500 Active 372 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $87,500 Active 371 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $87,500 Active 370 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $87,500 Active 368 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $87,500 Active 367 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $87,500 Active 364 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $87,500 Active 363 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $87,500 Active 358 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $87,500 Active 357 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $87,500 Active 356 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $87,500 Active 355 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $87,500 Active 354 DOM
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2026-04-17status Active
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2026-03-27historical Active Under Contract
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2026-01-07status Active
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2025-12-10status Active
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2025-11-07historical Active Under Contract
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2025-08-13status Active
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2025-08-04historical Active Under Contract
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2025-07-18price $87,500
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2025-06-27status Active
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2025-06-19historical Active Under Contract
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2025-06-06$94,500 Active
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2003-09-22soldstatus $21,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $293 · $24/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $481 · $40/mo
- Expected delta
- +$188/yr (+$16/mo · 64.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,594
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,901
- − Property taxes
- −$293
- − Insurance
- −$438
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$768
- − Management
- −$768
- − Depreciation
- −$2,545
- Taxable loss
- −$119
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$28
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,371/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crowley County School District No. Re-1-J
- NCES district ID
- 0803210
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,031
- Composite
- 21.28/100
- National rank
- #13663
- State rank
- #150 of 176 in CO
Livability — Sugar City
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #396
- US rank
- #25381
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sugar City, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 618
Population outlook (Crowley County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,612 people
- By 2030
- 5,725 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 6,092 · +8.6%
- By 2050
- 6,391 · +13.9%
- By 2075
- 6,250 · +11.4%
- By 2100
- 5,349 · -4.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 23%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 5% Portuguese 2% Danish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Crowley
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.4) · D 24.7% · R 72.2% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.2pp toward R · 2008: -27.2pp · 2024: -47.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+47.7 2016: R+48.5 2012: R+25.9 2008: R+27.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.19%
- Current HPI
- 175.3715
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+316.7% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Relisted — PARMLS
- 2026-03-27 Contingent — PARMLS
- 2026-01-07 Relisted — PARMLS
- 2025-12-10 Relisted — PARMLS
- 2025-11-07 Contingent — PARMLS
- 2025-08-13 Relisted — PARMLS
- 2025-08-04 Contingent — PARMLS
- 2025-07-18 Price Changed $87,500 PARMLS
- 2025-06-27 Relisted — PARMLS
- 2025-06-19 Contingent — PARMLS
- 2025-06-06 Listed $94,500 PARMLS
- 2003-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $293 · +222.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…