🏗️ New Construction
Westchester Plan · Orland Park, IL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$676,990
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
For bigger families, Westchester excels. A large mudroom keeps backpacks and briefcases handy, but out of the way. A vast kitchen with dramatic island overlooks the entertaining area, with a walk-in pantry and Pulte Planning Center® in easy reach. Flex space off the foyer makes a great den and an upstairs loft offers a family retreat in your new home. Storage is a huge plus with a 3-car garage.
Key facts
- Vast kitchen
- Upstairs loft
- Flex space
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listing status: Active
- Financial info: List price $669,990
Exterior
- Parking: 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
- Home design: Westchester plan model; Located at 16107 Massimo Dr, Orland Park, IL 60467
- Exterior features: Living area approximately 3300
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms, 1 half bathroom
- Interior features: Plan: Westchester (new construction)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $677k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-44 ($-534/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $671k (1.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $595k (12.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $595k (12.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.3% in Orland Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#29 in IL, #529 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+.
- Cons Hsd 230 (suburban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #146 of 620 in IL (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 119 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($667k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.14%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-112,404
- Equity at exit
- $100,941
- IRR
- -8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-100,997
- Equity at exit
- $58,534
Cash invested: $189,557 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60467
- Home prices YoY
- -30.4%
- Active inventory
- 119
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,950 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,550
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$846 /mo · $10,155/yr
- Insurance
- −$282
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,250
- Net cashflow
- $-44
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $169,248
- Closing costs
- $20,310
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15538 Royal Glen Ct Orland Park, IL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3584 | $5,950 | $1.66 | 3d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $676,990 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $676,990 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $676,990 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $676,990 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $676,990 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $676,990 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $676,990 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $676,990 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $674,990 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $674,990 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $674,990 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $674,990 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $674,990 Active 9 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $71,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$37,922
- − Property taxes
- −$10,155
- − Insurance
- −$4,182
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,712
- − Management
- −$5,712
- − Depreciation
- −$19,694
- Taxable loss
- −$11,978
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,875
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,341/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This home is in good condition with a good curb appeal and interior finish. It has potential for further value increases through minor cosmetic updates and maintenance.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.
- Resale Kitchen appliances — Upgrading appliances can attract more buyers.
- Resale Bathroom fixtures — Modernizing bathrooms can increase appeal to potential buyers.
- Both HVAC system maintenance — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency, attracting buyers and renters alike.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property. ↑
- Resale Kitchen appliances — Upgrading appliances can attract more buyers. ↑
- Resale Bathroom fixtures — Modernizing bathrooms can increase appeal to potential buyers. ↑
- Both HVAC system maintenance — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency, attracting buyers and renters alike. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cons Hsd 230
- NCES district ID
- 1708400
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,953
- Composite
- 34.29/100
- National rank
- #5244
- State rank
- #146 of 620 in IL
Livability — Orland Park
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #29
- US rank
- #529
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Orland Park, IL
- City population
- 41,456
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,952
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 5% Two or more races 4% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 15% Armenian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Arabic 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Indo-European 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -82.13%
- Current HPI
- 188.3676
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…