1627 SE Green Acres Cir Unit Z203 · Port St. Lucie, FL 34952

$162,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 874 sqft · Condo public records · 126 Days on market

Built 1987 $436/mo HOA · 23% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +11.3/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +6.7/10.0
• Schools +3.7/10.0
• DSCR +3.3/10.0
• Rent growth +3.0/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Don't miss this opportunity to own a charming, light-filled coastal second-floor condo. This two-bedroom, two-bath residence features vaulted ceilings, creating an open and spacious feel. The updated kitchen offers white shaker-style cabinetry, Corian countertops, a glass tile backsplash, and stainless-steel appliances, including a Bosch dishwasher. Tile flooring runs throughout the unit. The guest bedroom features a private balcony, while the main bath includes a tub/shower combination. Two sets of French-door sliders open from the living room and primary bedroom to a screened-in porch featuring roll down shades, perfect for enjoying the coastal breeze. Take the next step and make your off

Key facts

• Screened-in porch
• Private balcony
• Updated kitchen

Tags

• COASTAL SECOND-FLOOR CONDO
• UPDATED KITCHEN
• PRIVATE BALCONY
• SCREENED-IN PORCH
• IMPACT-RESISTANT WINDOWS
• STACKABLE WASHER AND DRYER

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Pets allowed with breed restrictions
• HOA & community: Community clubhouse and pool; Street lights; HOA fee paid monthly; HOA covers insurance, grounds maintenance, pest control, sewer, trash, water, common areas, common real estate tax, and recreation facility

Exterior

• Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Three-phase electric; Cable available
• Home design: Condominium; Multi/split levels; Entry-level living area; Faces north
• Construction: Block construction; Composition/shingle roof; 2 total stories
• Exterior features: Paved road access; Not waterfront

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
• Interior features: Cathedral and vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closet(s); Split bedroom layout; Blinds, drapes, and sliding windows
• Laundry & utility: Laundry inside with washer hookup; Unfurnished

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $162k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-59 ($-704/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $154k (5.2% below list).
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $162k).
• Recommended offer: $143k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.9% in Port St. Lucie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Savanna Ridge Elementary School (math 40% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,383 of 2,144 statewide, top 65%, 452 students, 75% FRL); Port St. Lucie High School (math 21% / reading 43%, grade F, #415 of 667 statewide, top 63%, 1,748 students, 67% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 639 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 5 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $116k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $142,560 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.17% ✓
• Cap rate: 5.86%
• Cash-on-cash: -1.55%
• DSCR: 0.93
• GRM: 7.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -20.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.30×
• Total profit: $-31,730
• Equity at exit: $24,155

10-year hold

• IRR: -16.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.13×
• Total profit: $-39,418
• Equity at exit: $14,007

Cash invested: $45,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34952

• Home prices YoY: -29.6%
• Rents YoY: 1.9%
• Active inventory: 639
• Price-to-rent: 7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,895 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$850
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$202 /mo · $2,430/yr
• Insurance: −$68
• HOA: −$436
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$398
• Net cashflow: $-59

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,969

Max offer price $153,507

Occupancy floor 98%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $40,500
• Closing costs: $4,860
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 24 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1516 SE Royal Green Cir #202 Port St Lucie, FL	3.0	2.0	921	$2,100	$2.28	23d	1	0.12mi
1520 SE Royal Green Cir Unit K-203 Port St. Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	886	$1,800	$2.03	23d	1	0.12mi
1524 SE Royal Green Cir Unit Q102 Port St. Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	865	$1,800	$2.08	14d	1	0.13mi
1550 SE Royal Green Cir Port St. Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	782	$1,850	$2.37	14d	1	0.14mi
1562 SE Royal Green Cir Unit T-204 Port St. Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	782	$1,900	$2.43	23d	1	0.14mi
1536 SE Royal Green Cir #101 Port St Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	782	$1,750	$2.24	23d	1	0.18mi
1537 SE Royal Green Cir Unit E204 Port St. Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	886	$1,750	$1.98	14d	1	0.20mi
1565 SE Royal Green Cir #108 Port St Lucie, FL	1.0	1.0	705	$1,595	$2.26	14d	1	0.24mi
1503 SE Royal Green Cir Unit V104 Port St. Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	865	$1,750	$2.02	23d	1	0.24mi
1550 SE Royal Green Cir Unit P-203 Port St. Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	782	$1,750	$2.24	23d	1	0.27mi
1548 SE Royal Green Cir Unit M-103 Port St. Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	886	$1,800	$2.03	23d	1	0.28mi
1548 SE Royal Green Cir #108 Port St Lucie, FL	1.0	1.0	705	$1,650	$2.34	14d	1	0.28mi
1566 SE Royal Green Cir #203 Port St Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	782	$2,000	$2.56	14d	1	0.28mi
1455 SE Colchester Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	921	$1,795	$1.95	14d	1	0.32mi
1456 SE Rivergreen Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	921	$1,825	$1.98	14d	1	0.53mi
1350 SE La Haven Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	1041	$2,100	$2.02	23d	1	0.56mi
9905 S US Highway 1 Port Saint Lucie, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	966	$2,239	$2.32	14d	15	0.56mi
1810 SE Pinewood Trl Port Saint Lucie, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	1013	$2,055	$2.03	14d	7	0.63mi
1811 SE Walton Lakes Dr Port Saint Lucie, FL	2.0	1.0–2.0	1117	$1,926	$1.72	14d	6	0.73mi
1500 SE Tiffany Club Pl Port Saint Lucie, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	895	$1,922	$2.15	14d	7	0.82mi
2051 SE Hillmoor Dr Port Saint Lucie, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	1014	$2,539	$2.50	23d	15	0.94mi
1131 SE Parrish Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL	2.0	1.0	902	$2,000	$2.22	23d	1	1.21mi
991 SE Walters Ter Port Saint Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	1040	$8,500	$8.17	23d	1	1.36mi
1900 Bella Vista Way Port Saint Lucie, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	995	$1,764	$1.77	14d	15	1.42mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $436 · $5,232/yr
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 34 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $162,000 Active 126 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $162,000 Active 125 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $162,000 Active 124 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $162,000 Active 123 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $162,000 Active 121 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $162,000 Active 120 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $162,000 Active 118 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $162,000 Active 117 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $162,000 Active 116 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $162,000 Active 115 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $162,000 Active 112 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $162,000 Active 111 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $162,000 Active 110 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $162,000 Active 109 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $162,000 Active 108 DOM
16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $162,000 Active 107 DOM
17. 2026-03-16
    price $168,500
18. 2026-02-12
    listed $179,000 Active
19. 2025-11-03
    historical
20. 2025-09-16
    price $183,000
21. 2025-05-02
    listed $192,000 Active
22. 2019-07-22
    soldstatus $116,000
23. 2017-03-17
    soldstatus $80,000
24. 2014-10-07
    historical
25. 2013-05-09
    soldstatus $39,900
26. 2013-05-09
    soldstatus $39,900
27. 2013-04-10
    historical
28. 2012-10-08
    listed $39,900
29. 2008-05-20
    listed $99,500
30. 2007-10-17
    historical
31. 2007-09-04
    listed $145,000
32. 2005-04-19
    soldstatus $125,000
33. 2002-08-26
    soldstatus $58,200
34. 1987-07-01
    soldstatus $72,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,737
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,075
• − Property taxes: −$2,430
• − Insurance: −$810
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,819
• − Management: −$1,819
• − HOA: −$5,232
• − Depreciation: −$4,713
• Taxable loss: −$3,160
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$758
• After-tax cash flow: $54/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: St. Lucie
• NCES district ID: 1201770
• Math proficiency: 40% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 48% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $44,737
• Composite: 37.28/100
• National rank: #4449
• State rank: #51 of 73 in FL

Livability — Port St. Lucie

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• Census place: Port St. Lucie, FL
• County: Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
• City population: 221,051
• Metro: Port St. Lucie, FL
• Population (ZIP): 42,655
• Household income: $61,628
• Rent vs Own: 25.8% rent · 74.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 1759.0

Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 338,016 people
• By 2030: 355,687 · +5.2%
• By 2040: 385,521 · +14.1%
• By 2050: 406,106 · +20.1%
• By 2075: 441,054 · +30.5%
• By 2100: 436,885 · +29.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
• Race & ethnicity: White 62% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Black 10% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 1%
• Foreign-born: 18% · Canada, Jamaica, China
• Languages at home: 76% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -155.80%
• Current HPI: 371.0573
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.92%
• Metro: Port St. Lucie, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+132.4% since first listed

18 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-16 Price Changed $168,500 Beaches MLS
• 2026-02-12 Listed $179,000 Beaches MLS
• 2025-11-03 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
• 2025-09-16 Price Changed $183,000 Beaches MLS
• 2025-05-02 Listed $192,000 Beaches MLS
• 2019-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $116,000 Public Records
• 2017-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
• 2014-10-07 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
• 2013-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $39,900 Public Records
• 2013-05-09 Sold (MLS) $39,900 Beaches MLS
• 2013-04-10 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
• 2012-10-08 Listed $39,900 Beaches MLS
• 2008-05-20 Listed $99,500 Beaches MLS
• 2007-10-17 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
• 2007-09-04 Listed $145,000 Beaches MLS
• 2005-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
• 2002-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $58,200 Public Records
• 1987-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $72,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-15.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $189 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.